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Mixture periodic autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models

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  • Bentarzi, M.
  • Hamdi, F.

Abstract

Mixture Periodically Correlated Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (MPARCH) model, which extends the ARCH model, is proposed. The primary motivation behind this extension is to make the model consistent with high kurtosis, outliers and extreme events, and at the same time, able to capture the periodicity feature exhibited by the autocovariance structure. The second and the fourth moment periodically stationary conditions and their closed-forms are derived. Maximum likelihood estimation is obtained via the iterative Expectation Maximization algorithm and the performance of this algorithm is shown via a simulation studies and the MPARCH models are fitted to a real data set.

Suggested Citation

  • Bentarzi, M. & Hamdi, F., 2008. "Mixture periodic autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 1-16, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:53:y:2008:i:1:p:1-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C.M. & Rombouts, J.V.K., 2007. "Multivariate mixed normal conditional heteroskedasticity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3551-3566, April.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim & Ghysels, Eric, 1996. "Periodic Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 139-151, April.
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    5. Ausin, Maria Concepcion & Galeano, Pedro, 2007. "Bayesian estimation of the Gaussian mixture GARCH model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2636-2652, February.
    6. C. S. Wong & W. K. Li, 2000. "On a mixture autoregressive model," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(1), pages 95-115.
    7. Zhiqiang Zhang & Wai Keung Li & Kam Chuen Yuen, 2006. "On a Mixture GARCH Time‐Series Model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 577-597, July.
    8. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nadia Boussaha & Faycal Hamdi & Saïd Souam, 2018. "Multivariate Periodic Stochastic Volatility Models: Applications to Algerian dinar exchange rates and oil prices modeling," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-14, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    2. Nadia Boussaha & Faycal Hamdi & Saïd Souam, 2018. "Multivariate Periodic Stochastic Volatility Models: Applications to Algerian dinar exchange rates and oil prices modeling," Working Papers hal-04141780, HAL.
    3. Abdelhakim Aknouche & Nadia Rabehi, 2010. "On an independent and identically distributed mixture bilinear time‐series model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 113-131, March.

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