IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v74y2015icp618-626.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of decomposition models of various complexity to estimate the direct solar irradiance over Belgium

Author

Listed:
  • Bertrand, Cédric
  • Vanderveken, Gilles
  • Journée, Michel

Abstract

Solar energy production is directly correlated to the amount of radiation received at a given location. Appropriate information on solar resources is therefore very important for designing and sizing solar energy systems. Concentrated solar power projects and photovoltaic tracking systems rely predominantly on direct normal irradiance (DNI). However, the availability of DNI measurements from surface observation stations has proven to be spatially too sparse to quantify solar resources at most potential sites. Satellite data can be used to calculate estimates of direct solar radiation where ground measurements do not exist. Performance of decomposition models of various complexity have been evaluated against one year of in situ observations recorded on the roof of the radiometric tower of the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium in Uccle, Brussels. Models were first evaluated on a hourly and sub-hourly basis using measurements of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) as input. Second, the best performing ground-based decomposition models were used to extract the direct component of the global radiation retrieved from Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) images. Results were then compared to direct beam estimations provided by satellite-based diffuse fraction models and evaluated against direct solar radiation data measured at Uccle. Our analysis indicates that valuable DNI estimation can be derived from MSG images over Belgium regardless of the satellite retrieved GHI accuracy. Moreover, the DNI retrieval from MSG data can be implemented on an operational basis.

Suggested Citation

  • Bertrand, Cédric & Vanderveken, Gilles & Journée, Michel, 2015. "Evaluation of decomposition models of various complexity to estimate the direct solar irradiance over Belgium," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 618-626.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:74:y:2015:i:c:p:618-626
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.08.042
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148114005011
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2014.08.042?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ridley, Barbara & Boland, John & Lauret, Philippe, 2010. "Modelling of diffuse solar fraction with multiple predictors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 478-483.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Feiyan Chen & Zhigao Zhou & Aiwen Lin & Jiqiang Niu & Wenmin Qin & Zhong Yang, 2019. "Evaluation of Direct Horizontal Irradiance in China Using a Physically-Based Model and Machine Learning Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-19, January.
    2. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Abubakr, Mohamed & Khalil, Adel, 2021. "A profile-free non-parametric approach towards generation of synthetic hourly global solar irradiation data from daily totals," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 613-628.
    3. Linares-Rodriguez, Alvaro & Quesada-Ruiz, Samuel & Pozo-Vazquez, David & Tovar-Pescador, Joaquin, 2015. "An evolutionary artificial neural network ensemble model for estimating hourly direct normal irradiances from meteosat imagery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 264-273.
    4. Kostić, Rastko & Mikulović, Jovan, 2017. "The empirical models for estimating solar insolation in Serbia by using meteorological data on cloudiness," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(PB), pages 1281-1293.
    5. Bessafi, Miloud & Oree, Vishwamitra & Khoodaruth, Abdel & Chabriat, Jean-Pierre, 2020. "Impact of decomposition and kriging models on the solar irradiance downscaling accuracy in regions with complex topography," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1992-2003.
    6. Chinchilla, Monica & Santos-Martín, David & Carpintero-Rentería, Miguel & Lemon, Scott, 2021. "Worldwide annual optimum tilt angle model for solar collectors and photovoltaic systems in the absence of site meteorological data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    7. Hemmati, S. & Doshi, N. & Hanover, D. & Morgan, C. & Shahbakhti, M., 2021. "Integrated cabin heating and powertrain thermal energy management for a connected hybrid electric vehicle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    8. Despotovic, Milan & Nedic, Vladimir & Despotovic, Danijela & Cvetanovic, Slobodan, 2015. "Review and statistical analysis of different global solar radiation sunshine models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1869-1880.
    9. Every, Jeremy P. & Li, Li & Dorrell, David G., 2020. "Köppen-Geiger climate classification adjustment of the BRL diffuse irradiation model for Australian locations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 2453-2469.
    10. Despotovic, Milan & Nedic, Vladimir & Despotovic, Danijela & Cvetanovic, Slobodan, 2016. "Evaluation of empirical models for predicting monthly mean horizontal diffuse solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 246-260.
    11. Moretón, R. & Lorenzo, E. & Pinto, A. & Muñoz, J. & Narvarte, L., 2017. "From broadband horizontal to effective in-plane irradiation: A review of modelling and derived uncertainty for PV yield prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 886-903.
    12. Housmans, Caroline & Ipe, Alessandro & Bertrand, Cédric, 2017. "Tilt to horizontal global solar irradiance conversion: An evaluation at high tilt angles and different orientations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1529-1538.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Schinke-Nendza, A. & von Loeper, F. & Osinski, P. & Schaumann, P. & Schmidt, V. & Weber, C., 2021. "Probabilistic forecasting of photovoltaic power supply — A hybrid approach using D-vine copulas to model spatial dependencies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    2. Abhnil Amtesh Prasad & Merlinde Kay, 2020. "Assessment of Simulated Solar Irradiance on Days of High Intermittency Using WRF-Solar," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Copper, J.K. & Sproul, A.B., 2013. "Comparative building simulation study utilising measured and estimated solar irradiance for Australian locations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 86-93.
    4. Jentsch, Mark F. & James, Patrick A.B. & Bourikas, Leonidas & Bahaj, AbuBakr S., 2013. "Transforming existing weather data for worldwide locations to enable energy and building performance simulation under future climates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 514-524.
    5. Mayer, Martin János & Yang, Dazhi, 2023. "Pairing ensemble numerical weather prediction with ensemble physical model chain for probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    6. Deo, Ravinesh C. & Şahin, Mehmet, 2017. "Forecasting long-term global solar radiation with an ANN algorithm coupled with satellite-derived (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) for regional locations in Queensland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 828-848.
    7. Boland, John & Huang, Jing & Ridley, Barbara, 2013. "Decomposing global solar radiation into its direct and diffuse components," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 749-756.
    8. Copper, J.K. & Sproul, A.B., 2012. "Comparative study of mathematical models in estimating solar irradiance for Australia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 130-139.
    9. Castillejo-Cuberos, A. & Cardemil, J.M. & Boland, J. & Escobar, R., 2024. "Irradiance separation model parameter estimation from historical cloud cover statistical properties," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    10. Li, Huashan & Ma, Weibin & Wang, Xianlong & Lian, Yongwang, 2011. "Estimating monthly average daily diffuse solar radiation with multiple predictors: A case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 1944-1948.
    11. Yang, Dazhi, 2022. "Estimating 1-min beam and diffuse irradiance from the global irradiance: A review and an extensive worldwide comparison of latest separation models at 126 stations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    12. Kuo, Chia-Wei & Chang, Wen-Chey & Chang, Keh-Chin, 2014. "Modeling the hourly solar diffuse fraction in Taiwan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 56-61.
    13. Lauret, Philippe & Boland, John & Ridley, Barbara, 2013. "Bayesian statistical analysis applied to solar radiation modelling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 124-127.
    14. Deo, Ravinesh C. & Wen, Xiaohu & Qi, Feng, 2016. "A wavelet-coupled support vector machine model for forecasting global incident solar radiation using limited meteorological dataset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 568-593.
    15. David, Mathieu & Lauret, Philippe & Boland, John, 2013. "Evaluating tilted plane models for solar radiation using comprehensive testing procedures, at a southern hemisphere location," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 124-131.
    16. Pérez-Burgos, Ana & Román, Roberto & Bilbao, Julia & de Miguel, Argimiro & Oteiza, Pilar, 2015. "Reconstruction of long-term direct solar irradiance data series using a model based on the Cloud Modification Factor," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 115-124.
    17. Pfenninger, Stefan, 2017. "Dealing with multiple decades of hourly wind and PV time series in energy models: A comparison of methods to reduce time resolution and the planning implications of inter-annual variability," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 1-13.
    18. Haghdadi, Navid & Copper, Jessie & Bruce, Anna & MacGill, Iain, 2017. "A method to estimate the location and orientation of distributed photovoltaic systems from their generation output data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 390-400.
    19. Starke, Allan R. & Lemos, Leonardo F.L. & Barni, Cristian M. & Machado, Rubinei D. & Cardemil, José M. & Boland, John & Colle, Sergio, 2021. "Assessing one-minute diffuse fraction models based on worldwide climate features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 700-714.
    20. Chu, Yinghao & Yang, Dazhi & Yu, Hanxin & Zhao, Xin & Li, Mengying, 2024. "Can end-to-end data-driven models outperform traditional semi-physical models in separating 1-min irradiance?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:74:y:2015:i:c:p:618-626. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.