IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v55y2013icp514-524.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Transforming existing weather data for worldwide locations to enable energy and building performance simulation under future climates

Author

Listed:
  • Jentsch, Mark F.
  • James, Patrick A.B.
  • Bourikas, Leonidas
  • Bahaj, AbuBakr S.

Abstract

Building performance and solar energy system simulations are typically undertaken with standardised weather files which do not generally consider future climate predictions. This paper investigates the generation of climate change adapted simulation weather data for locations worldwide from readily available data sets. An approach is presented for ‘morphing’ existing EnergyPlus/ESP-r Weather (EPW) data with UK Met Office Hadley Centre general circulation model (GCM) predictions for a ‘medium–high’ emissions scenario (A2). It was found that, for the United Kingdom (UK), the GCM ‘morphed’ data shows a smoothing effect relative to data generated from the corresponding regional climate model (RCM) outputs. This is confirmed by building performance simulations of a naturally ventilated UK office building which highlight a consistent temperature distribution profile between GCM and RCM ‘morphed’ data, yet with a shift in the distribution. It is demonstrated that, until more detailed RCM data becomes available globally, ‘morphing’ with GCM data can be considered as a viable interim approach to generating climate change adapted weather data.

Suggested Citation

  • Jentsch, Mark F. & James, Patrick A.B. & Bourikas, Leonidas & Bahaj, AbuBakr S., 2013. "Transforming existing weather data for worldwide locations to enable energy and building performance simulation under future climates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 514-524.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:55:y:2013:i:c:p:514-524
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.12.049
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148113000232
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2012.12.049?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sailor, David J. & Smith, Michael & Hart, Melissa, 2008. "Climate change implications for wind power resources in the Northwest United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 2393-2406.
    2. Pašičko, Robert & Branković, Čedo & Šimić, Zdenko, 2012. "Assessment of climate change impacts on energy generation from renewable sources in Croatia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 224-231.
    3. Pereira de Lucena, André Frossard & Szklo, Alexandre Salem & Schaeffer, Roberto & Dutra, Ricardo Marques, 2010. "The vulnerability of wind power to climate change in Brazil," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 904-912.
    4. Lehner, Bernhard & Czisch, Gregor & Vassolo, Sara, 2005. "The impact of global change on the hydropower potential of Europe: a model-based analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 839-855, May.
    5. Jason Corburn, 2009. "Cities, Climate Change and Urban Heat Island Mitigation: Localising Global Environmental Science," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 46(2), pages 413-427, February.
    6. Peacock, A.D. & Jenkins, D.P. & Kane, D., 2010. "Investigating the potential of overheating in UK dwellings as a consequence of extant climate change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3277-3288, July.
    7. Ridley, Barbara & Boland, John & Lauret, Philippe, 2010. "Modelling of diffuse solar fraction with multiple predictors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 478-483.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Schaeffer, Roberto & Szklo, Alexandre Salem & Pereira de Lucena, André Frossard & Moreira Cesar Borba, Bruno Soares & Pupo Nogueira, Larissa Pinheiro & Fleming, Fernanda Pereira & Troccoli, Alberto & , 2012. "Energy sector vulnerability to climate change: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 1-12.
    2. Rolf Golombek & Sverre Kittelsen & Ingjerd Haddeland, 2012. "Climate change: impacts on electricity markets in Western Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(2), pages 357-370, July.
    3. Wang, Bing & Ke, Ruo-Yu & Yuan, Xiao-Chen & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2014. "China׳s regional assessment of renewable energy vulnerability to climate change," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 185-195.
    4. Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad & Ma, Feng & Huynh, Toan L.D., 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and world renewable energy index volatility forecasting," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    5. Shadman, F. & Sadeghipour, S. & Moghavvemi, M. & Saidur, R., 2016. "Drought and energy security in key ASEAN countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 50-58.
    6. Kamia Handayani & Tatiana Filatova & Yoram Krozer, 2019. "The Vulnerability of the Power Sector to Climate Variability and Change: Evidence from Indonesia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-25, September.
    7. Jing-Li Fan & Bao-Jun Tang & Hao Yu & Yun-Bing Hou & Yi-Ming Wei, 2015. "Impact of climatic factors on monthly electricity consumption of China’s sectors," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(2), pages 2027-2037, January.
    8. Huang, Junling & McElroy, Michael B., 2015. "A 32-year perspective on the origin of wind energy in a warming climate," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 482-492.
    9. Früh, Wolf-Gerrit, 2013. "Long-term wind resource and uncertainty estimation using wind records from Scotland as example," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1014-1026.
    10. Bonjean Stanton, Muriel C. & Dessai, Suraje & Paavola, Jouni, 2016. "A systematic review of the impacts of climate variability and change on electricity systems in Europe," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 1148-1159.
    11. de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo & Marangon Lima, Luana M. & Marangon Lima, José W. & da Silva, Benedito C. & Scianni, Luciana A., 2016. "Climate change impacts in the energy supply of the Brazilian hydro-dominant power system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 379-389.
    12. Jane Ebinger & Walter Vergara, 2011. "Climate Impacts on Energy Systems : Key Issues for Energy Sector Adaptation," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2271.
    13. Chen, Hao & Liu, Simin & Liu, Qiufeng & Shi, Xueli & Wei, Wendong & Han, Rong & Küfeoğlu, Sinan, 2021. "Estimating the impacts of climate change on electricity supply infrastructure: A case study of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    14. Wang, Hejia & Xiao, Weihua & Wang, Yicheng & Zhao, Yong & Lu, Fan & Yang, Mingzhi & Hou, Baodeng & Yang, Heng, 2019. "Assessment of the impact of climate change on hydropower potential in the Nanliujiang River basin of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 950-959.
    15. Engeland, Kolbjørn & Borga, Marco & Creutin, Jean-Dominique & François, Baptiste & Ramos, Maria-Helena & Vidal, Jean-Philippe, 2017. "Space-time variability of climate variables and intermittent renewable electricity production – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 600-617.
    16. Ignacio Losada Carreño & Michael T. Craig & Michael Rossol & Moetasim Ashfaq & Fulden Batibeniz & Sue Ellen Haupt & Caroline Draxl & Bri-Mathias Hodge & Carlo Brancucci, 2020. "Potential impacts of climate change on wind and solar electricity generation in Texas," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 745-766, November.
    17. Handayani, Kamia & Filatova, Tatiana & Krozer, Yoram & Anugrah, Pinto, 2020. "Seeking for a climate change mitigation and adaptation nexus: Analysis of a long-term power system expansion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    18. Anna Kovacs-Györi & Pablo Cabrera-Barona & Bernd Resch & Michael Mehaffy & Thomas Blaschke, 2019. "Assessing and Representing Livability through the Analysis of Residential Preference," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    19. Dallison, Richard J.H. & Patil, Sopan D., 2023. "Impact of climate change on hydropower potential in the UK and Ireland," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 611-628.
    20. Starke, Allan R. & Lemos, Leonardo F.L. & Boland, John & Cardemil, José M. & Colle, Sergio, 2018. "Resolution of the cloud enhancement problem for one-minute diffuse radiation prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 472-484.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:55:y:2013:i:c:p:514-524. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.