IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v237y2024ipcs0960148124019189.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial and temporal analysis of decomposition models in China

Author

Listed:
  • Sun, Ying
  • Lu, Ning

Abstract

This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of 15 decomposition models (12 empirical and 3 atmospheric transmittance models) for estimating diffuse horizontal irradiance at 17 radiation sites in China, using hourly radiation data from 2011 to 2020. Our results show distinct patterns in model performance across different geographical regions, seasons, and sky conditions. The Liu model demonstrates the best overall performance with an RMSE of 78.20 W/m2, while model accuracy shows significant geographical variation, performing best in South and Southeast China (RMSE<70 W/m2) and worst in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Northwest China (RMSE>90 W/m2). Seasonal analysis reveals better performance in winter than in summer, with RMSE differences approaching 40 W/m2, mainly due to the higher proportion of solar elevation angles exceeding 30° in summer. Under different sky conditions (classified by clearness index: 0–0.35 for overcast, 0.35–0.65 for partly cloudy, 0.65–1 for clear skies), most models follow an RMSE pattern of partly cloudy > clear sky > overcast. However, the Reindl2, Boland, DIRINT, and DIRINDEX models deviate from this trend due to their formula structure and sensitivity to atmospheric parameters. To reduce these regional disparities, we propose a new region-specific model selection strategy: the DIRINDEX model for eastern regions, DIRINT for central areas, and Karatasou for western regions. This combined approach reduces the overall RMSE to 73.17 W/m2. This research deepens our understanding of the application of decomposition models in China's complex geographical and climatic conditions, offering valuable references for solar radiation modeling and renewable energy forecasting in diverse climatic regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Sun, Ying & Lu, Ning, 2024. "Spatial and temporal analysis of decomposition models in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PC).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:237:y:2024:i:pc:s0960148124019189
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121850
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148124019189
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2024.121850?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:237:y:2024:i:pc:s0960148124019189. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.