IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v188y2022icp1141-1165.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Itineraries for charging and discharging a BESS using energy predictions based on a CNN-LSTM neural network model in BCS, Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Tovar Rosas, Mario A.
  • Pérez, Miguel Robles
  • Martínez Pérez, E. Rafael

Abstract

Renewable energy generation (REG) is irrupting throughout the globe and it points to be the path for a sustainable energy future. Nevertheless, due to their volatile nature, they present a challenge for integrating these intermittent sources into the grid. In this work we present itineraries for charging and discharging two ideal Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), one powered with a solar PV generation system and the other one powered with wind energy. Using predictions for REG and electric demand (ED), based on a hybrid Convolutional Long-Short Time Memory (CNN-LSTM) neural network, we propose accurate itineraries to know when to charge and when to discharge variable REG, in the area of Baja California Sur (BCS) in Mexico, pursuing to reduce the ED in peak hours. The convolution net will extract local features and the LSTM the temporal ones. The proposed itineraries of charge and discharge based on predictions with the hybrid CNN-LSTM model, are compared with itineraries made with a well known benchmark and itineraries based on true observations points of REG. The results show that the integration of two BESS with charging and discharging itineraries based con a CNN-LSTM model, can effectively mitigate two important peaks of the electric demand profile in the studied location.

Suggested Citation

  • Tovar Rosas, Mario A. & Pérez, Miguel Robles & Martínez Pérez, E. Rafael, 2022. "Itineraries for charging and discharging a BESS using energy predictions based on a CNN-LSTM neural network model in BCS, Mexico," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1141-1165.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:188:y:2022:i:c:p:1141-1165
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.02.047
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148122001902
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2022.02.047?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Heilmann, Christoph & Wozabal, David, 2021. "How much smart charging is smart?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    2. Voyant, Cyril & Notton, Gilles & Kalogirou, Soteris & Nivet, Marie-Laure & Paoli, Christophe & Motte, Fabrice & Fouilloy, Alexis, 2017. "Machine learning methods for solar radiation forecasting: A review," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 569-582.
    3. Kim, Tae-Young & Cho, Sung-Bae, 2019. "Predicting residential energy consumption using CNN-LSTM neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 72-81.
    4. Rosato, Antonello & Panella, Massimo & Andreotti, Amedeo & Mohammed, Osama A. & Araneo, Rodolfo, 2021. "Two-stage dynamic management in energy communities using a decision system based on elastic net regularization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    5. Mario Tovar & Miguel Robles & Felipe Rashid, 2020. "PV Power Prediction, Using CNN-LSTM Hybrid Neural Network Model. Case of Study: Temixco-Morelos, México," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Li, Wei & Becker, Denis Mike, 2021. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction applying hybrid models of LSTM-based deep learning methods and feature selection algorithms under consideration of market coupling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    7. Gangqiang Li & Huaizhi Wang & Shengli Zhang & Jiantao Xin & Huichuan Liu, 2019. "Recurrent Neural Networks Based Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
    8. Gao, Bixuan & Huang, Xiaoqiao & Shi, Junsheng & Tai, Yonghang & Zhang, Jun, 2020. "Hourly forecasting of solar irradiance based on CEEMDAN and multi-strategy CNN-LSTM neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1665-1683.
    9. David Domínguez-Barbero & Javier García-González & Miguel A. Sanz-Bobi & Eugenio F. Sánchez-Úbeda, 2020. "Optimising a Microgrid System by Deep Reinforcement Learning Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, June.
    10. Tiago Pinto & Mohammad Ali Fotouhi Ghazvini & Joao Soares & Ricardo Faia & Juan Manuel Corchado & Rui Castro & Zita Vale, 2018. "Decision Support for Negotiations among Microgrids Using a Multiagent Architecture," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-20, September.
    11. Zheng, Ling & Zhou, Bin & Or, Siu Wing & Cao, Yijia & Wang, Huaizhi & Li, Yong & Chan, Ka Wing, 2021. "Spatio-temporal wind speed prediction of multiple wind farms using capsule network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 718-730.
    12. Su, Huai & Chi, Lixun & Zio, Enrico & Li, Zhenlin & Fan, Lin & Yang, Zhe & Liu, Zhe & Zhang, Jinjun, 2021. "An integrated, systematic data-driven supply-demand side management method for smart integrated energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    13. Ioannis Mexis & Grazia Todeschini, 2020. "Battery Energy Storage Systems in the United Kingdom: A Review of Current State-of-the-Art and Future Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-31, July.
    14. Wang, Kejun & Qi, Xiaoxia & Liu, Hongda, 2019. "Photovoltaic power forecasting based LSTM-Convolutional Network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    15. Marija Zima-Bockarjova & Antans Sauhats & Lubov Petrichenko & Roman Petrichenko, 2020. "Charging and Discharging Scheduling for Electrical Vehicles Using a Shapley-Value Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-21, March.
    16. Bibi Ibrahim & Luis Rabelo, 2021. "A Deep Learning Approach for Peak Load Forecasting: A Case Study on Panama," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-26, May.
    17. Antonello Rosato & Rodolfo Araneo & Amedeo Andreotti & Federico Succetti & Massimo Panella, 2021. "2-D Convolutional Deep Neural Network for the Multivariate Prediction of Photovoltaic Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, April.
    18. Wei Li & Denis Mike Becker, 2021. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction applying hybrid models of LSTM-based deep learning methods and feature selection algorithms under consideration of market coupling," Papers 2101.05249, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shi, Tao & Li, Chongyang & Wanyan, Hong & Xu, Ying & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "The lending risk predicting of the folk informal financial organization from big data using the deep learning hybrid model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Negri, Simone & Giani, Federico & Blasuttigh, Nicola & Massi Pavan, Alessandro & Mellit, Adel & Tironi, Enrico, 2022. "Combined model predictive control and ANN-based forecasters for jointly acting renewable self-consumers: An environmental and economical evaluation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 440-454.
    3. Han, Dongho & Kwon, Sanguk & Lee, Miyoung & Kim, Jonghoon & Yoo, Kisoo, 2023. "Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy image transformation-based convolutional neural network for diagnosis of external environment classification affecting abnormal aging of Li-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 345(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mario Tovar & Miguel Robles & Felipe Rashid, 2020. "PV Power Prediction, Using CNN-LSTM Hybrid Neural Network Model. Case of Study: Temixco-Morelos, México," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-15, December.
    2. Khan, Zulfiqar Ahmad & Hussain, Tanveer & Baik, Sung Wook, 2023. "Dual stream network with attention mechanism for photovoltaic power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    3. Kumari, Pratima & Toshniwal, Durga, 2021. "Long short term memory–convolutional neural network based deep hybrid approach for solar irradiance forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    4. Gonçalves, Rui & Ribeiro, Vitor Miguel & Pereira, Fernando Lobo, 2023. "Variable Split Convolutional Attention: A novel Deep Learning model applied to the household electric power consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    5. Hao Zhen & Dongxiao Niu & Min Yu & Keke Wang & Yi Liang & Xiaomin Xu, 2020. "A Hybrid Deep Learning Model and Comparison for Wind Power Forecasting Considering Temporal-Spatial Feature Extraction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-24, November.
    6. Zang, Haixiang & Xu, Ruiqi & Cheng, Lilin & Ding, Tao & Liu, Ling & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2021. "Residential load forecasting based on LSTM fusing self-attention mechanism with pooling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. van Zyl, Corne & Ye, Xianming & Naidoo, Raj, 2024. "Harnessing eXplainable artificial intelligence for feature selection in time series energy forecasting: A comparative analysis of Grad-CAM and SHAP," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    8. Eugenio Borghini & Cinzia Giannetti & James Flynn & Grazia Todeschini, 2021. "Data-Driven Energy Storage Scheduling to Minimise Peak Demand on Distribution Systems with PV Generation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-22, June.
    9. Ma, Zhengjing & Mei, Gang, 2022. "A hybrid attention-based deep learning approach for wind power prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    10. Rial A. Rajagukguk & Raden A. A. Ramadhan & Hyun-Jin Lee, 2020. "A Review on Deep Learning Models for Forecasting Time Series Data of Solar Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-23, December.
    11. Dounia El Bourakadi & Hiba Ramadan & Ali Yahyaouy & Jaouad Boumhidi, 2023. "A robust energy management approach in two-steps ahead using deep learning BiLSTM prediction model and type-2 fuzzy decision-making controller," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 645-667, December.
    12. Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
    13. Madadkhani, Shiva & Ikonnikova, Svetlana, 2024. "Toward high-resolution projection of electricity prices: A machine learning approach to quantifying the effects of high fuel and CO2 prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    14. Souhir Ben Amor & Thomas Mobius & Felix Musgens, 2024. "Bridging an energy system model with an ensemble deep-learning approach for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2411.04880, arXiv.org.
    15. Duan, Jikai & Zuo, Hongchao & Bai, Yulong & Chang, Mingheng & Chen, Xiangyue & Wang, Wenpeng & Ma, Lei & Chen, Bolong, 2023. "A multistep short-term solar radiation forecasting model using fully convolutional neural networks and chaotic aquila optimization combining WRF-Solar model results," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    16. Victor Hugo Wentz & Joylan Nunes Maciel & Jorge Javier Gimenez Ledesma & Oswaldo Hideo Ando Junior, 2022. "Solar Irradiance Forecasting to Short-Term PV Power: Accuracy Comparison of ANN and LSTM Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, March.
    17. Rodríguez, Fermín & Martín, Fernando & Fontán, Luis & Galarza, Ainhoa, 2021. "Ensemble of machine learning and spatiotemporal parameters to forecast very short-term solar irradiation to compute photovoltaic generators’ output power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    18. Sharma, Abhishek & Jain, Sachin Kumar, 2022. "A novel seasonal segmentation approach for day-ahead load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    19. Kılıç Depren, Serpil & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Depren, Özer, 2022. "The role of data frequency and method selection in electricity price estimation: Comparative evidence from Turkey in pre-pandemic and pandemic periods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 217-225.
    20. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho, 2024. "Two-step deep learning framework with error compensation technique for short-term, half-hourly electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:188:y:2022:i:c:p:1141-1165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.