IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v139y2019icp228-234.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A 30-year projection of the future wind energy resources in the coastal environment of the Black Sea

Author

Listed:
  • Rusu, Eugen

Abstract

The objective of the present work is to evaluate the wind energy resources in the coastal environment of the Black Sea by providing a reliable projection for the next 30 years. The wind power is assessed for water depths in the range 25–125 m. The wind speeds considered are those provided by the Rossby Centre regional atmospheric model, version (RCA4) and predicted under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios 4.5 and 8.5 used in Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). The time interval is 2021–2050, the wind speeds having a spatial resolution of 0.11°, with 6-h temporal resolution. An analysis of the historical data provided by these climatic wind models performed for the 30-year time interval 1976–2005 shows reliable results in the basin of the Black Sea. This gives a reasonable degree of confidence for the model results corresponding to the 30-year future time window considered, providing at the same time a mean of comparison with the future wind climate Although from the point of view of the wave energy, the Black Sea cannot be considered with high potential, especially when compared to the ocean coasts, as regards the wind power resources the potential of this coastal environment is in line with other coastal areas where such marine wind farms already successfully operate. Finally, it can be concluded that the present work provides a comprehensive and useful picture of the future wind energy resources in the coastal environment of the Black Sea as well as on the changes expected in the wind climate.

Suggested Citation

  • Rusu, Eugen, 2019. "A 30-year projection of the future wind energy resources in the coastal environment of the Black Sea," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 228-234.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:139:y:2019:i:c:p:228-234
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.082
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148119302368
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.082?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baseer, M.A. & Meyer, J.P. & Rehman, S. & Alam, Md. Mahbub, 2017. "Wind power characteristics of seven data collection sites in Jubail, Saudi Arabia using Weibull parameters," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PA), pages 35-49.
    2. Kalogeri, Christina & Galanis, George & Spyrou, Christos & Diamantis, Dimitris & Baladima, Foteini & Koukoula, Marika & Kallos, George, 2017. "Assessing the European offshore wind and wave energy resource for combined exploitation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 244-264.
    3. Astariz, S. & Perez-Collazo, C. & Abanades, J. & Iglesias, G., 2015. "Co-located wave-wind farms: Economic assessment as a function of layout," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 837-849.
    4. Malte Meinshausen & S. Smith & K. Calvin & J. Daniel & M. Kainuma & J-F. Lamarque & K. Matsumoto & S. Montzka & S. Raper & K. Riahi & A. Thomson & G. Velders & D.P. Vuuren, 2011. "The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 213-241, November.
    5. Colmenar-Santos, Antonio & Perera-Perez, Javier & Borge-Diez, David & dePalacio-Rodríguez, Carlos, 2016. "Offshore wind energy: A review of the current status, challenges and future development in Spain," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-18.
    6. Garcia-Heller, Veronica & Espinasa, Ramón & Paredes, Stephan, 2016. "Forecast study of the supply curve of solar and wind technologies in Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 168-179.
    7. Rusu, Eugen & Onea, Florin, 2013. "Evaluation of the wind and wave energy along the Caspian Sea," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-14.
    8. Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2018. "Sustainability of the Reanalysis Databases in Predicting the Wind and Wave Power along the European Coasts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, January.
    9. Moazzen, Iman & Robertson, Bryson & Wild, Peter & Rowe, Andrew & Buckham, Bradley, 2016. "Impacts of large-scale wave integration into a transmission-constrained grid," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 408-417.
    10. Richard H. Moss & Jae A. Edmonds & Kathy A. Hibbard & Martin R. Manning & Steven K. Rose & Detlef P. van Vuuren & Timothy R. Carter & Seita Emori & Mikiko Kainuma & Tom Kram & Gerald A. Meehl & John F, 2010. "The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment," Nature, Nature, vol. 463(7282), pages 747-756, February.
    11. Onea, Florin & Rusu, Eugen, 2016. "The expected efficiency and coastal impact of a hybrid energy farm operating in the Portuguese nearshore," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 411-423.
    12. Rusu, Eugen & Guedes Soares, C., 2013. "Coastal impact induced by a Pelamis wave farm operating in the Portuguese nearshore," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 34-49.
    13. Eugen Rusu & Florin Onea, 2017. "Joint Evaluation of the Wave and Offshore Wind Energy Resources in the Developing Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-20, November.
    14. Zjavka, Ladislav, 2015. "Wind speed forecast correction models using polynomial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 998-1006.
    15. Staffell, Iain & Green, Richard, 2014. "How does wind farm performance decline with age?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 775-786.
    16. Nguyen, Kim Hanh & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2019. "Renewable energy consumption, carbon emissions, and development stages: Some evidence from panel cointegration analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1049-1057.
    17. Castro-Santos, Laura & Martins, Elson & Guedes Soares, C., 2016. "Cost assessment methodology for combined wind and wave floating offshore renewable energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 866-880.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Victoria Yildirir & Eugen Rusu & Florin Onea, 2022. "Wind Energy Assessments in the Northern Romanian Coastal Environment Based on 20 Years of Data Coming from Different Sources," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-21, April.
    2. Gulnar Shaimardanovna Kaliakparova & Y?lena Evgenevna Gridneva & Sara Sarsebekovna Assanova & Sandugash Babagalikyzy Sauranbay & Abdizhapar Djumanovich Saparbayev, 2020. "International Economic Cooperation of Central Asian Countries on Energy Efficiency and Use of Renewable Energy Sources," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 539-545.
    3. Nardecchia, Fabio & Groppi, Daniele & Astiaso Garcia, Davide & Bisegna, Fabio & de Santoli, Livio, 2021. "A new concept for a mini ducted wind turbine system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 610-624.
    4. Kostas Belibassakis & Alexandros Magkouris & Eugen Rusu, 2020. "A BEM for the Hydrodynamic Analysis of Oscillating Water Column Systems in Variable Bathymetry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-24, July.
    5. Majidi Nezhad, M. & Heydari, A. & Groppi, D. & Cumo, F. & Astiaso Garcia, D., 2020. "Wind source potential assessment using Sentinel 1 satellite and a new forecasting model based on machine learning: A case study Sardinia islands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 212-224.
    6. Rusu, Eugen, 2022. "Assessment of the wind power dynamics in the North Sea under climate change conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 466-475.
    7. Aydoğan, Burak & Görmüş, Tahsin & Ayat, Berna & Çarpar, Tunay, 2021. "Analysis of potential changes in the Black Sea wave power for the 21st century," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 512-526.
    8. Andrés Ruiz & Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2020. "Study Concerning the Expected Dynamics of the Wind Energy Resources in the Iberian Nearshore," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-25, September.
    9. Jung, Christopher & Schindler, Dirk, 2022. "A review of recent studies on wind resource projections under climate change," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    10. Mumtaz, Hamza & Sobek, Szymon & Sajdak, Marcin & Muzyka, Roksana & Werle, Sebastian, 2023. "An experimental investigation and process optimization of the oxidative liquefaction process as the recycling method of the end-of-life wind turbine blades," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 269-278.
    11. Rusu, Liliana, 2019. "Evaluation of the near future wave energy resources in the Black Sea under two climate scenarios," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 137-146.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rusu, Eugen, 2020. "An evaluation of the wind energy dynamics in the Baltic Sea, past and future projections," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 350-362.
    2. Rusu, Eugen, 2022. "Assessment of the wind power dynamics in the North Sea under climate change conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 466-475.
    3. Rusu, Eugen & Onea, Florin, 2019. "An assessment of the wind and wave power potential in the island environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 830-846.
    4. Castro-Santos, Laura & Martins, Elson & Guedes Soares, C., 2017. "Economic comparison of technological alternatives to harness offshore wind and wave energies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(P1), pages 1121-1130.
    5. Andrés Ruiz & Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2020. "Study Concerning the Expected Dynamics of the Wind Energy Resources in the Iberian Nearshore," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-25, September.
    6. Rusu, Eugen, 2024. "The expected wind power dynamics in the Mediterranean Sea considering different climate change scenarios," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    7. Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2018. "Sustainability of the Reanalysis Databases in Predicting the Wind and Wave Power along the European Coasts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, January.
    8. Florin Onea & Liliana Rusu, 2018. "Evaluation of Some State-Of-The-Art Wind Technologies in the Nearshore of the Black Sea," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-16, September.
    9. Chenglong Guo & Wanan Sheng & Dakshina G. De Silva & George Aggidis, 2023. "A Review of the Levelized Cost of Wave Energy Based on a Techno-Economic Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-30, February.
    10. Dalton, Gordon & Bardócz, Tamás & Blanch, Mike & Campbell, David & Johnson, Kate & Lawrence, Gareth & Lilas, Theodore & Friis-Madsen, Erik & Neumann, Frank & Nikitas, Nikitakos & Ortega, Saul Torres &, 2019. "Feasibility of investment in Blue Growth multiple-use of space and multi-use platform projects; results of a novel assessment approach and case studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 338-359.
    11. Américo S. Ribeiro & Maite deCastro & Liliana Rusu & Mariana Bernardino & João M. Dias & Moncho Gomez-Gesteira, 2020. "Evaluating the Future Efficiency of Wave Energy Converters along the NW Coast of the Iberian Peninsula," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-15, July.
    12. Qun'ou Jiang & Yuwei Cheng & Qiutong Jin & Xiangzheng Deng & Yuanjing Qi, 2015. "Simulation of Forestland Dynamics in a Typical Deforestation and Afforestation Area under Climate Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-26, September.
    13. Rusu, Liliana, 2019. "Evaluation of the near future wave energy resources in the Black Sea under two climate scenarios," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 137-146.
    14. Detlef Vuuren & Elke Stehfest & Michel Elzen & Tom Kram & Jasper Vliet & Sebastiaan Deetman & Morna Isaac & Kees Klein Goldewijk & Andries Hof & Angelica Mendoza Beltran & Rineke Oostenrijk & Bas Ruij, 2011. "RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 95-116, November.
    15. Gregory Casey & Soheil Shayegh & Juan Moreno-Cruz & Martin Bunzl & Oded Galor & Ken Caldeira, 2019. "The Impact of Climate Change on Fertility," Department of Economics Working Papers 2019-04, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    16. Wan, Ling & Moan, Torgeir & Gao, Zhen & Shi, Wei, 2024. "A review on the technical development of combined wind and wave energy conversion systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    17. Clemente, D. & Rosa-Santos, P. & Taveira-Pinto, F., 2021. "On the potential synergies and applications of wave energy converters: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    18. Iñigo Capellán-Pérez & Mikel González-Eguino & Iñaki Arto & Alberto Ansuategi & Kishore Dhavala & Pralit Patel & Anil Markandya, 2014. "New climate scenario framework implementation in the GCAM integrated assessment model," Working Papers 2014-04, BC3.
    19. Masoud, Alaa A., 2022. "On the Nile Fan's wave power potential and controlling factors integrating spectral and geostatistical techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 921-945.
    20. Ulazia, Alain & Esnaola, Ganix & Serras, Paula & Penalba, Markel, 2020. "On the impact of long-term wave trends on the geometry optimisation of oscillating water column wave energy converters," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:139:y:2019:i:c:p:228-234. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.