IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v227y2024ics0960148124005652.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The expected wind power dynamics in the Mediterranean Sea considering different climate change scenarios

Author

Listed:
  • Rusu, Eugen

Abstract

An accelerated transition to renewable energy sources is foreseen in the very near future in Europe, including a 25-time enhancement in terms of offshore wind power capacity which is planned until 2050 in relationship with 2021. The potential of the Mediterranean Sea, although not so significant as that of the North or of the Baltic Seas, cannot be neglected and many wind projects will become operational in the next years in this nearshore. In this context, the objective of the present work is to give a perspective of the past and future expected wind power dynamics in the Mediterranean Sea until the end of the twenty-first century. Data from two different Regional Climate Models were processed considering the scenario RCP4.5. An analysis of the historical wind data provided by these two climate wind models for the past 30-year period 1976–2005 is also performed and compared with the ERA5 data. The average and extreme wind power conditions are analysed. Further on, two different future time intervals are considered. These are near future, the 30-year interval 2041–2070, and distant future, the interval 2071–2100. The results indicate that the wind power is expected to remain significant in the Mediterranean Sea.

Suggested Citation

  • Rusu, Eugen, 2024. "The expected wind power dynamics in the Mediterranean Sea considering different climate change scenarios," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:227:y:2024:i:c:s0960148124005652
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.120500
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148124005652
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2024.120500?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rusu, Eugen, 2022. "Assessment of the wind power dynamics in the North Sea under climate change conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 466-475.
    2. Rusu, Eugen, 2020. "An evaluation of the wind energy dynamics in the Baltic Sea, past and future projections," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 350-362.
    3. Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2018. "Sustainability of the Reanalysis Databases in Predicting the Wind and Wave Power along the European Coasts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Pryor, S.C. & Barthelmie, R.J., 2010. "Climate change impacts on wind energy: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 430-437, January.
    5. Onea, Florin & Rusu, Eugen, 2016. "The expected efficiency and coastal impact of a hybrid energy farm operating in the Portuguese nearshore," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 411-423.
    6. Eugen Rusu, 2018. "Numerical Modeling of the Wave Energy Propagation in the Iberian Nearshore," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, April.
    7. Nguyen, Kim Hanh & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2019. "Renewable energy consumption, carbon emissions, and development stages: Some evidence from panel cointegration analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1049-1057.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rusu, Eugen, 2022. "Assessment of the wind power dynamics in the North Sea under climate change conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 466-475.
    2. Rusu, Eugen, 2020. "An evaluation of the wind energy dynamics in the Baltic Sea, past and future projections," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 350-362.
    3. Andrés Ruiz & Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2020. "Study Concerning the Expected Dynamics of the Wind Energy Resources in the Iberian Nearshore," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-25, September.
    4. Ulazia, Alain & Esnaola, Ganix & Serras, Paula & Penalba, Markel, 2020. "On the impact of long-term wave trends on the geometry optimisation of oscillating water column wave energy converters," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    5. Rusu, Eugen, 2019. "A 30-year projection of the future wind energy resources in the coastal environment of the Black Sea," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 228-234.
    6. Rusu, Eugen & Onea, Florin, 2019. "An assessment of the wind and wave power potential in the island environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 830-846.
    7. Liliana Rusu & Eugen Rusu, 2021. "Evaluation of the Worldwide Wave Energy Distribution Based on ERA5 Data and Altimeter Measurements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-16, January.
    8. Rusu, Liliana, 2022. "The near future expected wave power in the coastal environment of the Iberian Peninsula," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 657-669.
    9. Soares, Pedro M.M. & Lima, Daniela C.A. & Cardoso, Rita M. & Nascimento, Manuel L. & Semedo, Alvaro, 2017. "Western Iberian offshore wind resources: More or less in a global warming climate?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 72-90.
    10. Florin Onea & Liliana Rusu, 2018. "Evaluation of Some State-Of-The-Art Wind Technologies in the Nearshore of the Black Sea," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-16, September.
    11. Huang, Haiping & Huang, Baolian & Sun, Aijun, 2023. "How do mineral resources influence eco-sustainability in China? Dynamic role of renewable energy and green finance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    12. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Nahid Sultana, 2024. "Nexus of Human Development and Environmental Quality in Low-Income and Developing Countries: Do Renewable Energy and Good Governance Matter?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-18, June.
    13. Martín Olivera & Verónica Segarra, 2021. "Calidad ambiental y crecimiento económico: análisis dinámico para América Latina y el Caribe," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 24(2), December.
    14. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Olabode, Joshua K. & Rafi, Syed K., 2021. "Renewable energy consumption, carbon emissions and human development: Empirical comparison of the trajectories of world regions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1836-1848.
    15. Liton Chandra Voumik & Md. Azharul Islam & Abidur Rahaman & Md. Maznur Rahman, 2022. "Emissions of carbon dioxide from electricity production in ASEAN countries: GMM and quantile regression analysis," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-20, September.
    16. Spittler, Nathalie & Davidsdottir, Brynhildur & Shafiei, Ehsan & Diemer, Arnaud, 2021. "Implications of renewable resource dynamics for energy system planning: The case of geothermal and hydropower in Kenya," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    17. Roux, Charlotte & Schalbart, Patrick & Assoumou, Edi & Peuportier, Bruno, 2016. "Integrating climate change and energy mix scenarios in LCA of buildings and districts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 619-629.
    18. Qiang Wang & Yuanfan Li & Rongrong Li, 2024. "Rethinking the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis across 214 countries: the impacts of 12 economic, institutional, technological, resource, and social factors," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    19. Lucy Cradden & Gareth Harrison & John Chick, 2012. "Will climate change impact on wind power development in the UK?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 837-852, December.
    20. Usman, Muhammad & Khalid, Khaizran & Mehdi, Muhammad Abuzar, 2021. "What determines environmental deficit in Asia? Embossing the role of renewable and non-renewable energy utilization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 1165-1176.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:227:y:2024:i:c:s0960148124005652. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.