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An evaluation of the wind energy dynamics in the Baltic Sea, past and future projections

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  • Rusu, Eugen

Abstract

The objective of the present work is to analyse the expected dynamics of the wind energy in the Baltic Sea. From the 18 offshore wind farms currently operating there, 10 locations with higher installed capacity have been selected as reference. The wind data delivered by a Regional Climate Model (RCM) are processed and analysed considering the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios 4.5 and 8.5. The novelty of the proposed study consists in the fact that this is focused on the assessment of the expected average and extreme wind power, considering the 30-year time window 2021–2050. Furthermore, in order to make a comparison, an analysis of the historical wind data coming from the same RCM corresponding to the past 30-year period 1976–2005 is also carried out. The results indicate a slight enhancement of the wind power, which is higher for RCP4.5. Some locations where the wind power enhancement is expected to be more significant have been also identified. Finally, it can be noticed that while for the historical data the trend indicates a constant tendency, as regards the near future period (2021–2050) the trends show a tendency of enhancement of the wind power, which is higher for RCP 8.5.

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  • Rusu, Eugen, 2020. "An evaluation of the wind energy dynamics in the Baltic Sea, past and future projections," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 350-362.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:160:y:2020:i:c:p:350-362
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.06.152
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    Cited by:

    1. Jung, Christopher & Schindler, Dirk, 2022. "A review of recent studies on wind resource projections under climate change," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
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    3. Nardecchia, Fabio & Groppi, Daniele & Astiaso Garcia, Davide & Bisegna, Fabio & de Santoli, Livio, 2021. "A new concept for a mini ducted wind turbine system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 610-624.
    4. Kamila Pronińska & Krzysztof Księżopolski, 2021. "Baltic Offshore Wind Energy Development—Poland’s Public Policy Tools Analysis and the Geostrategic Implications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Maddi Aizpurua-Etxezarreta & Sheila Carreno-Madinabeitia & Alain Ulazia & Jon Sáenz & Aitor Saenz-Aguirre, 2022. "Long-Term Freezing Temperatures Frequency Change Effect on Wind Energy Gain (Eurasia and North America, 1950–2019)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-15, May.
    6. Erika Carvalho Nogueira & Rafael Cancella Morais & Amaro Olimpio Pereira, 2023. "Offshore Wind Power Potential in Brazil: Complementarity and Synergies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-18, August.
    7. Rusu, Liliana, 2022. "The near future expected wave power in the coastal environment of the Iberian Peninsula," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 657-669.
    8. Rusu, Eugen, 2022. "Assessment of the wind power dynamics in the North Sea under climate change conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 466-475.
    9. Mahdavi-Meymand, Amin & Sulisz, Wojciech, 2024. "Development of pyramid neural networks for prediction of significant wave height for renewable energy farms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 362(C).
    10. Andrés Ruiz & Florin Onea & Eugen Rusu, 2020. "Study Concerning the Expected Dynamics of the Wind Energy Resources in the Iberian Nearshore," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-25, September.

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