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How does El Niño Southern Oscillation impact the wind resource in Chile? A techno-economical assessment of the influence of El Niño and La Niña on the wind power

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  • Watts, David
  • Durán, Pablo
  • Flores, Yarela

Abstract

This paper assesses the impact of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the wind speed, energy production, as well as its impact on the value of potential wind projects at different sites across Chile. The study applies cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function (CSEOF) analysis to isolate the ENSO influence on the wind speed, and therefore on the energy output of nearly all current and potential wind farms in Chile. Finally, a review of techno-economical parameters is made to assess the economic impact of an ENSO event occurring at different years in the lifetime of a wind energy project. The main contribution of this work is to establish the locations in Chile where this climatic oscillation is important for the system planning, the energy forecasting and the risk assessment.

Suggested Citation

  • Watts, David & Durán, Pablo & Flores, Yarela, 2017. "How does El Niño Southern Oscillation impact the wind resource in Chile? A techno-economical assessment of the influence of El Niño and La Niña on the wind power," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 128-142.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:103:y:2017:i:c:p:128-142
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2016.10.031
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    2. Aliashim Albani & Mohd Zamri Ibrahim & Kim Hwang Yong, 2018. "Influence of the ENSO and Monsoonal Season on Long-Term Wind Energy Potential in Malaysia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, November.
    3. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    4. Vega-Coloma, Mabel & Zaror, Claudio A., 2018. "Environmental impact profile of electricity generation in Chile: A baseline study over two decades," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 154-167.
    5. Ramirez Camargo, Luis & Valdes, Javier & Masip Macia, Yunesky & Dorner, Wolfgang, 2019. "Assessment of on-site steady electricity generation from hybrid renewable energy systems in Chile," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1548-1558.
    6. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.

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