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On the theoretical distribution of the wind farm power when there is a correlation between wind speed and wind turbine availability

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  • Kan, Cihangir
  • Devrim, Yilser
  • Eryilmaz, Serkan

Abstract

It is important to elicit information about the potential power output of a wind turbine and a wind farm consisting of specified number of wind turbines before installation of the turbines. Such information can be used to estimate the potential power output of the wind farm which will be built in a specific region. The output power of a wind turbine is affected by two factors: wind speed and turbine availability. As shown in the literature, the correlation between wind speed and wind turbine availability has an impact on the output of a wind farm. Thus, the probability distribution of the power produced by the farm depending on the wind speed distribution and turbine availability can be effectively used for planning and risk management. In this paper, the theoretical distribution of the wind farm power is derived by considering the dependence between turbine availability and the wind speed. The theoretical results are illustrated for real wind turbine reliability and wind speed data.

Suggested Citation

  • Kan, Cihangir & Devrim, Yilser & Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2020. "On the theoretical distribution of the wind farm power when there is a correlation between wind speed and wind turbine availability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:203:y:2020:i:c:s0951832020306165
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107115
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Eryilmaz, Serkan & Bulanık, İrem & Devrim, Yilser, 2021. "Reliability based modeling of hybrid solar/wind power system for long term performance assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    3. Wei Li & Shinai Xu & Baiyun Qian & Xiaoxia Gao & Xiaoxun Zhu & Zeqi Shi & Wei Liu & Qiaoliang Hu, 2022. "Large-Scale Wind Turbine’s Load Characteristics Excited by the Wind and Grid in Complex Terrain: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-29, December.
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