IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v286y2024ics0360544223028037.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A novel multi-layer stacking ensemble wind power prediction model under Tensorflow deep learning framework considering feature enhancement and data hierarchy processing

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Huaqing
  • Tan, Zhongfu
  • Liang, Yan
  • Li, Fanqi
  • Zhang, Zheyu
  • Ju, Liwei

Abstract

Wind power prediction is crucial for energy production, but due to the complicated data characteristics of wind farms, it's difficult to accurately predict wind power output and it is challenging for a single prediction model to properly handle multi-featured time-series data sets. To solve the above problem, the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) method was used to find outliers of data sets, and the recursive feature elimination (RFE) method was used to screen out main features according to importance. Sequentially a multi-layer stacking ensemble learning prediction model was constructed based on data hierarchy processing and feature enhancement techniques. Seven groups of ablation experiments were set to verify the model's effectiveness with the annual time-series data. The experimental results show that the DBSCAN method can effectively find outliers in wind data sets and improve the prediction accuracy and the RFE method can significantly reduce the computing time and improves the generalization ability and prediction accuracy. The multi-layer stacking ensemble model can slow down the overfitting trend of a single prediction model, effectively avoid the model from falling into the local search state, and obtain a strong learner with better generalization ability.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Huaqing & Tan, Zhongfu & Liang, Yan & Li, Fanqi & Zhang, Zheyu & Ju, Liwei, 2024. "A novel multi-layer stacking ensemble wind power prediction model under Tensorflow deep learning framework considering feature enhancement and data hierarchy processing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:286:y:2024:i:c:s0360544223028037
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.129409
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223028037
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.129409?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    2. Niu, Zhewen & Yu, Zeyuan & Tang, Wenhu & Wu, Qinghua & Reformat, Marek, 2020. "Wind power forecasting using attention-based gated recurrent unit network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    3. Hong, Tao & Pinson, Pierre & Fan, Shu, 2014. "Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 357-363.
    4. Wang, Gang & Jia, Ru & Liu, Jinhai & Zhang, Huaguang, 2020. "A hybrid wind power forecasting approach based on Bayesian model averaging and ensemble learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 2426-2434.
    5. Lin, Zi & Liu, Xiaolei, 2020. "Wind power forecasting of an offshore wind turbine based on high-frequency SCADA data and deep learning neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    6. Zhang, Jinhua & Yan, Jie & Infield, David & Liu, Yongqian & Lien, Fue-sang, 2019. "Short-term forecasting and uncertainty analysis of wind turbine power based on long short-term memory network and Gaussian mixture model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 229-244.
    7. Sinsel, Simon R. & Riemke, Rhea L. & Hoffmann, Volker H., 2020. "Challenges and solution technologies for the integration of variable renewable energy sources—a review," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 2271-2285.
    8. Ouyang, Tinghui & Huang, Heming & He, Yusen & Tang, Zhenhao, 2020. "Chaotic wind power time series prediction via switching data-driven modes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 270-281.
    9. Wu, Huijuan & Meng, Keqilao & Fan, Daoerji & Zhang, Zhanqiang & Liu, Qing, 2022. "Multistep short-term wind speed forecasting using transformer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    10. Mulugetta, Yacob & Urban, Frauke, 2010. "Deliberating on low carbon development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(12), pages 7546-7549, December.
    11. Wang, Shuai & Li, Bin & Li, Guanzheng & Yao, Bin & Wu, Jianzhong, 2021. "Short-term wind power prediction based on multidimensional data cleaning and feature reconfiguration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jun & Cao, Junxing, 2024. "Reservoir properties inversion using attention-based parallel hybrid network integrating feature selection and transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    2. Zhong, Mingwei & Fan, Jingmin & Luo, Jianqiang & Xiao, Xuanyi & He, Guanglin & Cai, Rui, 2024. "InfoCAVB-MemoryFormer: Forecasting of wind and photovoltaic power through the interaction of data reconstruction and data augmentation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    3. Meng, Anbo & Zhang, Haitao & Dai, Zhongfu & Xian, Zikang & Xiao, Liexi & Rong, Jiayu & Li, Chen & Zhu, Jianbin & Li, Hanhong & Yin, Yiding & Liu, Jiawei & Tang, Yanshu & Zhang, Bin & Yin, Hao, 2024. "An adaptive distribution-matched recurrent network for wind power prediction using time-series distribution period division," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    2. Ma, Yixiang & Yu, Lean & Zhang, Guoxing, 2022. "Short-term wind power forecasting with an intermittency-trait-driven methodology," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 872-883.
    3. Kim, Daeyoung & Ryu, Geonhwa & Moon, Chaejoo & Kim, Bumsuk, 2024. "Accuracy of a short-term wind power forecasting model based on deep learning using LiDAR-SCADA integration: A case study of the 400-MW Anholt offshore wind farm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 373(C).
    4. Lv, Sheng-Xiang & Wang, Lin, 2023. "Multivariate wind speed forecasting based on multi-objective feature selection approach and hybrid deep learning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    5. Upma Singh & Mohammad Rizwan & Muhannad Alaraj & Ibrahim Alsaidan, 2021. "A Machine Learning-Based Gradient Boosting Regression Approach for Wind Power Production Forecasting: A Step towards Smart Grid Environments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-21, August.
    6. Bingchun Liu & Shijie Zhao & Xiaogang Yu & Lei Zhang & Qingshan Wang, 2020. "A Novel Deep Learning Approach for Wind Power Forecasting Based on WD-LSTM Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Jafarzadeh Ghoushchi, Saeid & Manjili, Sobhan & Mardani, Abbas & Saraji, Mahyar Kamali, 2021. "An extended new approach for forecasting short-term wind power using modified fuzzy wavelet neural network: A case study in wind power plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    8. da Silva, Ramon Gomes & Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin & Moreno, Sinvaldo Rodrigues & Mariani, Viviana Cocco & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos, 2021. "A novel decomposition-ensemble learning framework for multi-step ahead wind energy forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    9. Liu, Lei & Wang, Xinyu & Dong, Xue & Chen, Kang & Chen, Qiuju & Li, Bin, 2024. "Interpretable feature-temporal transformer for short-term wind power forecasting with multivariate time series," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 374(C).
    10. Paweł Piotrowski & Dariusz Baczyński & Marcin Kopyt & Tomasz Gulczyński, 2022. "Advanced Ensemble Methods Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning for One-Day-Ahead Forecasts of Electric Energy Production in Wind Farms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-30, February.
    11. Sun, Shaolong & Du, Zongjuan & Jin, Kun & Li, Hongtao & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Spatiotemporal wind power forecasting approach based on multi-factor extraction method and an indirect strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    12. Yang, Ting & Yang, Zhenning & Li, Fei & Wang, Hengyu, 2024. "A short-term wind power forecasting method based on multivariate signal decomposition and variable selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    13. Hu, Yue & Liu, Hanjing & Wu, Senzhen & Zhao, Yuan & Wang, Zhijin & Liu, Xiufeng, 2024. "Temporal collaborative attention for wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    14. Jiang, Wenjun & Liu, Bo & Liang, Yang & Gao, Huanxiang & Lin, Pengfei & Zhang, Dongqin & Hu, Gang, 2024. "Applicability analysis of transformer to wind speed forecasting by a novel deep learning framework with multiple atmospheric variables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
    15. Lv, Sheng-Xiang & Wang, Lin, 2022. "Deep learning combined wind speed forecasting with hybrid time series decomposition and multi-objective parameter optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    16. Rita Teixeira & Adelaide Cerveira & Eduardo J. Solteiro Pires & José Baptista, 2024. "Advancing Renewable Energy Forecasting: A Comprehensive Review of Renewable Energy Forecasting Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-30, July.
    17. Kan, Cihangir & Devrim, Yilser & Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2020. "On the theoretical distribution of the wind farm power when there is a correlation between wind speed and wind turbine availability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    18. Ding, Yunfei & Chen, Zijun & Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Xin & Guo, Ying, 2022. "A short-term wind power prediction model based on CEEMD and WOA-KELM," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 188-198.
    19. Ding, Jun-Wei & Chuang, Ming-Ju & Tseng, Jing-Siou & Hsieh, I-Yun Lisa, 2024. "Reanalysis and Ground Station data: Advanced data preprocessing in deep learning for wind power prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 375(C).
    20. Wu, Binrong & Yu, Sihao & Peng, Lu & Wang, Lin, 2024. "Interpretable wind speed forecasting with meteorological feature exploring and two-stage decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:286:y:2024:i:c:s0360544223028037. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.