IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v142y2015icp444-455.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Methodology for collision risk assessment of an airspace flow corridor concept

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Yimin
  • Shortle, John
  • Sherry, Lance

Abstract

This paper presents a methodology to estimate the collision risk associated with a future air-transportation concept called the flow corridor. This concept is designed to reduce congestion and increase throughput in en-route airspace by creating dedicated flight corridors across the continent. The methodology is a hybrid collision-risk methodology combining Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic event trees. Monte Carlo simulation is used to model the movement of aircraft within the corridor and to identify potential trajectories that might lead to a collision. Dynamic event trees are used to evaluate the effectiveness of subsequent safety layers that protect against collisions. The overall risk assessment captures the unique characteristics of the flow corridor concept, including self-separation within the corridor, lane change maneuvers, speed adjustments, and the automated separation assurance system. A tradeoff between safety and throughput is conducted, and a sensitivity analysis identifies the most critical parameters in the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Yimin & Shortle, John & Sherry, Lance, 2015. "Methodology for collision risk assessment of an airspace flow corridor concept," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 444-455.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:142:y:2015:i:c:p:444-455
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2015.05.015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832015001647
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2015.05.015?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shalev, Dan M. & Tiran, Joseph, 2007. "Condition-based fault tree analysis (CBFTA): A new method for improved fault tree analysis (FTA), reliability and safety calculations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(9), pages 1231-1241.
    2. Ale, B.J.M. & Bellamy, L.J. & van der Boom, R. & Cooper, J. & Cooke, R.M. & Goossens, L.H.J. & Hale, A.R. & Kurowicka, D. & Morales, O. & Roelen, A.L.C. & Spouge, J., 2009. "Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS): Building the mathematical heart," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(9), pages 1433-1441.
    3. Durga Rao, K. & Gopika, V. & Sanyasi Rao, V.V.S. & Kushwaha, H.S. & Verma, A.K. & Srividya, A., 2009. "Dynamic fault tree analysis using Monte Carlo simulation in probabilistic safety assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(4), pages 872-883.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Wei & Quek, Zhi Hao & Low, Kin Huat, 2024. "Probabilistic modeling and reasoning of conflict detection effectiveness by tracking systems towards safe urban air mobility operations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    2. Zhong, Gang & Du, Sen & Zhang, Honghai & Zhou, Jiangying & Liu, Hao, 2024. "Demarcation method of safety separations for sUAV based on collision risk estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Valdés, Rosa Maria Arnaldo & Comendador, Victor Fernando Gómez & Castán, Javier Alberto Perez & Sanz, Alvaro Rodriguez & Sanz, Luis Perez & Ayra, Eduardo Sanchez & Nieto, Francisco Javier Saez, 2019. "Development of safety performance functions (SPFs) to analyse and predict aircraft loss of separation in accordance with the characteristics of the airspace," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 143-161.
    4. Bojia Ye & Zhao Yang & Lili Wan & Yunlong Dong, 2019. "Multi-Objective Evaluation of Airborne Self-Separation Procedure in Flow Corridors Based on TOPSIS and Entropy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yılmaz, Emre & German, Brian J. & Pritchett, Amy R., 2023. "Optimizing resource allocations to improve system reliability via the propagation of statistical moments through fault trees," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    2. Xingyu Xiao & Jingang Liang & Jiejuan Tong & Haitao Wang, 2024. "Emergency Decision Support Techniques for Nuclear Power Plants: Current State, Challenges, and Future Trends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-35, May.
    3. Luo, Pengcheng & Hu, Yang, 2013. "System risk evolution analysis and risk critical event identification based on event sequence diagram," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 36-44.
    4. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2018. "Heterogeneous 1-out-of-N warm standby systems with online checkpointing," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 127-136.
    5. Liu, Aihua & Chen, Ke & Huang, Xiaofei & Li, Didi & Zhang, Xiaochun, 2021. "Dynamic risk assessment model of buried gas pipelines based on system dynamics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    6. Yan-Feng Li & Jinhua Mi & Yu Liu & Yuan-Jian Yang & Hong-Zhong Huang, 2015. "Dynamic fault tree analysis based on continuous-time Bayesian networks under fuzzy numbers," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(6), pages 530-541, December.
    7. Gayathri, P. & Umesh, K. & Ganguli, R., 2010. "Effect of matrix cracking and material uncertainty on composite plates," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(7), pages 716-728.
    8. Rogerson, Ellen C. & Lambert, James H., 2012. "Prioritizing risks via several expert perspectives with application to runway safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 22-34.
    9. Janssen, Hans, 2013. "Monte-Carlo based uncertainty analysis: Sampling efficiency and sampling convergence," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 123-132.
    10. He, Rui & Zhu, Jingyu & Chen, Guoming & Tian, Zhigang, 2022. "A real-time probabilistic risk assessment method for the petrochemical industry based on data monitoring," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    11. Xing, Liudong & Shrestha, Akhilesh & Dai, Yuanshun, 2011. "Exact combinatorial reliability analysis of dynamic systems with sequence-dependent failures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(10), pages 1375-1385.
    12. Kim, Jaehoon & Jeong, Hyun- Yong, 2013. "Evaluation of the adequacy of maintenance tasks using the failure consequences of railroad vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 30-39.
    13. Bibartiu, Otto & Dürr, Frank & Rothermel, Kurt & Ottenwälder, Beate & Grau, Andreas, 2021. "Scalable k-out-of-n models for dependability analysis with Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    14. Lindhe, Andreas & Norberg, Tommy & Rosén, Lars, 2012. "Approximate dynamic fault tree calculations for modelling water supply risks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 61-71.
    15. Azeem Ali & Sanku Dey & Haseeb Ur Rehman & Zeeshan Ali, 2019. "On Bayesian reliability estimation of a 1-out-of-k load sharing system model of modified Burr-III distribution," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 10(5), pages 1052-1081, October.
    16. Babaleye, Ahmed O. & Kurt, Rafet Emek & Khan, Faisal, 2019. "Safety analysis of plugging and abandonment of oil and gas wells in uncertain conditions with limited data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 133-141.
    17. Chenxi Liu & Nan Chen & Jianing Yang, 2015. "New method for multi-state system reliability analysis based on linear algebraic representation," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(5), pages 469-482, October.
    18. Vodopivec, Neža & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2019. "Transit system resilience: Quantifying the impacts of disruptions on diverse populations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    19. Qianwen Li & Ruyin Long & Hong Chen & Jichao Geng, 2017. "Low Purchase Willingness for Battery Electric Vehicles: Analysis and Simulation Based on the Fault Tree Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-20, May.
    20. Zhou, Jianfeng & Reniers, Genserik & Khakzad, Nima, 2016. "Application of event sequence diagram to evaluate emergency response actions during fire-induced domino effects," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 202-209.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:142:y:2015:i:c:p:444-455. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.