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The integration of expert-defined importance factors to enrich Bayesian Fault Tree Analysis

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  • Darwish, Molham
  • Almouahed, Shaban
  • de Lamotte, Florent

Abstract

This paper proposes an analysis of a hybrid Bayesian-Importance model for system designers to improve the quality of services related to Active Assisted Living Systems. The proposed model is based on two factors: failure probability measure of different service components and, an expert defined degree of importance that each component holds for the success of the corresponding service. The proposed approach advocates the integration of expert-defined importance factors to enrich the Bayesian Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) approach. The evaluation of the proposed approach is conducted using the Fault Tree Analysis formalism where the undesired state of a system is analyzed using Boolean logic mechanisms to combine a series of lower-level events.

Suggested Citation

  • Darwish, Molham & Almouahed, Shaban & de Lamotte, Florent, 2017. "The integration of expert-defined importance factors to enrich Bayesian Fault Tree Analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 81-90.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:162:y:2017:i:c:p:81-90
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2017.01.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Feng, Geng & Patelli, Edoardo & Beer, Michael & Coolen, Frank P.A., 2016. "Imprecise system reliability and component importance based on survival signature," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 116-125.
    2. Volkanovski, Andrija & ÄŒepin, Marko & Mavko, Borut, 2009. "Application of the fault tree analysis for assessment of power system reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(6), pages 1116-1127.
    3. Contini, Sergio & Matuzas, Vaidas, 2011. "New methods to determine the importance measures of initiating and enabling events in fault tree analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(7), pages 775-784.
    4. Shalev, Dan M. & Tiran, Joseph, 2007. "Condition-based fault tree analysis (CBFTA): A new method for improved fault tree analysis (FTA), reliability and safety calculations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(9), pages 1231-1241.
    5. Borgonovo, E., 2007. "Differential, criticality and Birnbaum importance measures: An application to basic event, groups and SSCs in event trees and binary decision diagrams," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(10), pages 1458-1467.
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    1. Chemweno, Peter & Pintelon, Liliane & Muchiri, Peter Nganga & Van Horenbeek, Adriaan, 2018. "Risk assessment methodologies in maintenance decision making: A review of dependability modelling approaches," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 64-77.

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