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Random matrix theory and fund of funds portfolio optimisation

Author

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  • Conlon, T.
  • Ruskin, H.J.
  • Crane, M.

Abstract

The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a fund of hedge funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often has to be estimated using a relatively small sample of monthly returns data which induces noise. In this paper, random matrix theory (RMT) is applied to a cross-correlation matrix C, constructed using hedge fund returns data. The analysis reveals a number of eigenvalues that deviate from the spectrum suggested by RMT. The components of the deviating eigenvectors are found to correspond to distinct groups of strategies that are applied by hedge fund managers. The inverse participation ratio is used to quantify the number of components that participate in each eigenvector. Finally, the correlation matrix is cleaned by separating the noisy part from the non-noisy part of C. This technique is found to greatly reduce the difference between the predicted and realised risk of a portfolio, leading to an improved risk profile for a fund of hedge funds.

Suggested Citation

  • Conlon, T. & Ruskin, H.J. & Crane, M., 2007. "Random matrix theory and fund of funds portfolio optimisation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 382(2), pages 565-576.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:382:y:2007:i:2:p:565-576
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2007.04.039
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    5. Conlon, T. & Ruskin, H.J. & Crane, M., 2009. "Cross-correlation dynamics in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(5), pages 705-714.
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    7. Sandoval, Leonidas Junior & Bruscato, Adriana & Venezuela, Maria Kelly, 2012. "Building portfolios of stocks in the São Paulo Stock Exchange using Random Matrix Theory," Insper Working Papers wpe_270, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    8. J. Gavin & M. Crane, 2021. "Community Detection in Cryptocurrencies with Potential Applications to Portfolio Diversification," Papers 2108.09763, arXiv.org.
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    13. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Italo De Paula Franca, 2011. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Papers 1102.1339, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    14. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Chen, Shou & Yang, Jiao-Jiao & Yang, Ming-Yan, 2013. "Random matrix theory analysis of cross-correlations in the US stock market: Evidence from Pearson’s correlation coefficient and detrended cross-correlation coefficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(17), pages 3715-3730.
    15. Sebastien Valeyre & Denis S Grebenkov & Sofiane Aboura, 2019. "Emergence of correlations between securities at short time scales," Post-Print hal-02343888, HAL.
    16. Ghislain Yanou, 2013. "Extension of the random matrix theory to the L-moments for robust portfolio selection," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 1653-1673, October.
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