IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v392y2013i24p6442-6457.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modified DFA and DCCA approach for quantifying the multiscale correlation structure of financial markets

Author

Listed:
  • Yin, Yi
  • Shang, Pengjian

Abstract

We use multiscale detrended fluctuation analysis (MSDFA) and multiscale detrended cross-correlation analysis (MSDCCA) to investigate auto-correlation (AC) and cross-correlation (CC) in the US and Chinese stock markets during 1997–2012. The results show that US and Chinese stock indices differ in terms of their multiscale AC structures. Stock indices in the same region also differ with regard to their multiscale AC structures. We analyze AC and CC behaviors among indices for the same region to determine similarity among six stock indices and divide them into four groups accordingly. We choose S&P500, NQCI, HSI, and the Shanghai Composite Index as representative samples for simplicity. MSDFA and MSDCCA results and average MSDFA spectra for local scaling exponents (LSEs) for individual series are presented. We find that the MSDCCA spectrum for LSE CC between two time series generally tends to be greater than the average MSDFA LSE spectrum for individual series. We obtain detailed multiscale structures and relations for CC between the four representatives. MSDFA and MSDCCA with secant rolling windows of different sizes are then applied to reanalyze the AC and CC. Vertical and horizontal comparisons of different window sizes are made. The MSDFA and MSDCCA results for the original window size are confirmed and some new interesting characteristics and conclusions regarding multiscale correlation structures are obtained.

Suggested Citation

  • Yin, Yi & Shang, Pengjian, 2013. "Modified DFA and DCCA approach for quantifying the multiscale correlation structure of financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(24), pages 6442-6457.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:392:y:2013:i:24:p:6442-6457
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2013.07.070
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437113007012
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2013.07.070?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dong-Hee Kim & Hawoong Jeong, 2005. "Systematic analysis of group identification in stock markets," Papers physics/0503076, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2005.
    2. Yu, Chih-Hsien & Wu, Chunchi, 2001. "Economic sources of asymmetric cross-correlation among stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 19-40.
    3. Mantegna,Rosario N. & Stanley,H. Eugene, 2007. "Introduction to Econophysics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521039871, September.
    4. R. Mantegna, 1999. "Hierarchical structure in financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 11(1), pages 193-197, September.
    5. Sharifi, S. & Crane, M. & Shamaie, A. & Ruskin, H., 2004. "Random matrix theory for portfolio optimization: a stability approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 335(3), pages 629-643.
    6. Jung, Woo-Sung & Chae, Seungbyung & Yang, Jae-Suk & Moon, Hie-Tae, 2006. "Characteristics of the Korean stock market correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 361(1), pages 263-271.
    7. M. Tumminello & T. Di Matteo & T. Aste & R. N. Mantegna, 2007. "Correlation based networks of equity returns sampled at different time horizons," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 55(2), pages 209-217, January.
    8. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2011. "Multifractal detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis," Papers 1103.2577, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    9. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2011. "Detrended fluctuation analysis on spot and futures markets of West Texas Intermediate crude oil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(5), pages 864-875.
    10. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Alvarez, Jesus & Rodriguez, Eduardo, 2008. "Short-term predictability of crude oil markets: A detrended fluctuation analysis approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2645-2656, September.
    11. Wilcox, Diane & Gebbie, Tim, 2007. "An analysis of cross-correlations in an emerging market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 375(2), pages 584-598.
    12. B. Podobnik & I. Grosse & D. Horvatić & S. Ilic & P. Ch. Ivanov & H. E. Stanley, 2009. "Quantifying cross-correlations using local and global detrending approaches," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 71(2), pages 243-250, September.
    13. Grau-Carles, Pilar, 2001. "Long-range power-law correlations in stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 299(3), pages 521-527.
    14. Gvozdanovic, Igor & Podobnik, Boris & Wang, Duan & Eugene Stanley, H., 2012. "1/f behavior in cross-correlations between absolute returns in a US market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(9), pages 2860-2866.
    15. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    16. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Gu, Rongbao & Cao, Jianjun & Wang, Haiyan, 2010. "Analysis of market efficiency for the Shanghai stock market over time," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(8), pages 1635-1642.
    17. Kullmann, L & Kertész, J & Mantegna, R.N, 2000. "Identification of clusters of companies in stock indices via Potts super-paramagnetic transitions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 412-419.
    18. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2008. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis for two nonstationary signals," Papers 0803.2773, arXiv.org.
    19. Drożdż, S & Grümmer, F & Górski, A.Z & Ruf, F & Speth, J, 2000. "Dynamics of competition between collectivity and noise in the stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 440-449.
    20. Vasiliki Plerou & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Bernd Rosenow & Luis A. Nunes Amaral & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "Universal and non-universal properties of cross-correlations in financial time series," Papers cond-mat/9902283, arXiv.org.
    21. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Alvarez, Jesus & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Fernandez-Anaya, Guillermo, 2008. "Time-varying Hurst exponent for US stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(24), pages 6159-6169.
    22. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Gu, Rongbao, 2009. "Analysis of efficiency for Shenzhen stock market based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 271-276, December.
    23. DePenya, Francisco J. & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2007. "Serial correlation in the Spanish Stock Market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 84-103.
    24. Grau-Carles, Pilar, 2000. "Empirical evidence of long-range correlations in stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 396-404.
    25. Absil, P.-A & Sepulchre, R & Bilge, A & Gérard, P, 1999. "Nonlinear analysis of cardiac rhythm fluctuations using DFA method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 272(1), pages 235-244.
    26. Gao-Feng Gu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2010. "Detrending moving average algorithm for multifractals," Papers 1005.0877, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
    27. Tsui, Albert K. & Yu, Qiao, 1999. "Constant conditional correlation in a bivariate GARCH model: evidence from the stock markets of China," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 503-509.
    28. Rosenow, Bernd & Gopikrishnan, Parameswaran & Plerou, Vasiliki & Eugene Stanley, H, 2003. "Dynamics of cross-correlations in the stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 241-246.
    29. L. Kullmann & J. Kertesz & K. Kaski, 2002. "Time dependent cross correlations between different stock returns: A directed network of influence," Papers cond-mat/0203256, arXiv.org, revised May 2002.
    30. Wilcox, Diane & Gebbie, Tim, 2004. "On the analysis of cross-correlations in South African market data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 294-298.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yin, Yi & Shang, Pengjian & Feng, Guochen, 2016. "Modified multiscale cross-sample entropy for complex time series," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 289(C), pages 98-110.
    2. Zhang, Chen & Ni, Zhiwei & Ni, Liping, 2016. "Asymmetric multiscale behavior in PM2.5 time series: Based on asymmetric MS-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 355-365.
    3. He, Qian & Huang, Jingjing, 2020. "A method for analyzing correlation between multiscale and multivariate systems—Multiscale multidimensional cross recurrence quantification (MMDCRQA)," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Teng, Yue & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "Detrended fluctuation analysis based on higher-order moments of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 311-322.
    5. Ladislav Kristoufek, 2016. "Power-law cross-correlations estimation under heavy tails," Papers 1602.05385, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    6. Zhang, Weiping & Zhuang, Xintian, 2019. "The stability of Chinese stock network and its mechanism," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 748-761.
    7. Xi, Caiping & Zhang, Shuning & Xiong, Gang & Zhao, Huichang & Yang, Yonghong, 2017. "The application of the multifractal cross-correlation analysis methods in radar target detection within sea clutter," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 839-854.
    8. Yin, Yi & Shang, Pengjian & Ahn, Andrew C. & Peng, Chung-Kang, 2019. "Multiscale joint permutation entropy for complex time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 388-402.
    9. Ardalankia, Jamshid & Osoolian, Mohammad & Haven, Emmanuel & Jafari, G. Reza, 2020. "Scaling features of price–volume cross correlation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    10. Safdari, H. & Hosseiny, A. & Vasheghani Farahani, S. & Jafari, G.R., 2016. "A picture for the coupling of unemployment and inflation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 744-750.
    11. Zhou, Yaping & Lu, Baoqun & Lv, Dayong & Ruan, Qingsong, 2019. "The informativeness of options-trading activities: Non-linear analysis based on MF-DCCA and Granger test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    12. Hussain, Muntazir & Zebende, Gilney Figueira & Bashir, Usman & Donghong, Ding, 2017. "Oil price and exchange rate co-movements in Asian countries: Detrended cross-correlation approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 338-346.
    13. Zhao, Xiaojun & Ji, Mengfan & Zhang, Na & Shang, Pengjian, 2020. "Permutation transition entropy: Measuring the dynamical complexity of financial time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    14. Xi, Caiping & Zhang, Shuning & Xiong, Gang & Zhao, Huichang & Yang, Yonghong, 2017. "Two-dimensional multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 59-69.
    15. Xu, Shiyun & Shao, Menglin & Qiao, Wenxuan & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "Generalized AIC method based on higher-order moments and entropy of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 1127-1138.
    16. Zhou, Hanchu & Chang, Fangrong, 2022. "The long-memory temporal dependence of traffic crash fatality for different types of road users," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
    17. Xi, Caiping & Zhang, Shunning & Xiong, Gang & Zhao, Huichang, 2016. "A comparative study of two-dimensional multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis and two-dimensional multifractal detrended moving average algorithm to estimate the multifractal spectrum," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 454(C), pages 34-50.
    18. Tian, Qiang & Shang, Pengjian & Feng, Guochen, 2014. "Financial time series analysis based on information categorization method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 183-191.
    19. Jamshid Ardalankia & Mohammad Osoolian & Emmanuel Haven & G. Reza Jafari, 2019. "Scaling Features of Price-Volume Cross-Correlation," Papers 1903.01744, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    20. Cao, Guangxi & Zhang, Minjia & Li, Qingchen, 2017. "Volatility-constrained multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis: Cross-correlation among Mainland China, US, and Hong Kong stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 472(C), pages 67-76.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shi, Wenbin & Shang, Pengjian & Wang, Jing & Lin, Aijing, 2014. "Multiscale multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 35-44.
    2. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi, 2013. "Cross-correlations between Renminbi and four major currencies in the Renminbi currency basket," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1418-1428.
    3. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Samanta, Shukla, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of gold price and SENSEX," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 195-204.
    4. Zhou, Weijie & Dang, Yaoguo & Gu, Rongbao, 2013. "Efficiency and multifractality analysis of CSI 300 based on multifractal detrending moving average algorithm," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1429-1438.
    5. Yang, Yujun & Li, Jianping & Yang, Yimei, 2017. "The cross-correlation analysis of multi property of stock markets based on MM-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 481(C), pages 23-33.
    6. Ruan, Qingsong & Bao, Junjie & Zhang, Manqian & Fan, Limin, 2019. "The effects of exchange rate regime reform on RMB markets: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 122-134.
    7. Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Lin, 2013. "Cross-correlations between West Texas Intermediate crude oil and the stock markets of the BRIC," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(21), pages 5356-5368.
    8. He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shu-Peng, 2011. "A new approach to quantify power-law cross-correlation and its application to commodity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3806-3814.
    9. Lin, Aijing & Shang, Pengjian & Zhong, Bo, 2014. "Hidden cross-correlation patterns in stock markets based on permutation cross-sample entropy and PCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 259-272.
    10. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Chatterjee, Sucharita, 2016. "Multifractal detrended Cross Correlation Analysis of Foreign Exchange and SENSEX fluctuation in Indian perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 188-201.
    11. Ruan, Qingsong & Zhang, Manqian & Lv, Dayong & Yang, Haiquan, 2018. "SAD and stock returns revisited: Nonlinear analysis based on MF-DCCA and Granger test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 1009-1022.
    12. Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng & Pan, Zhiyuan, 2011. "Multifractal detrending moving average analysis on the US Dollar exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(20), pages 3512-3523.
    13. Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2014. "Cross-correlations between spot and futures markets of nonferrous metals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 20-30.
    14. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    15. Siqueira, Erinaldo Leite & Stošić, Tatijana & Bejan, Lucian & Stošić, Borko, 2010. "Correlations and cross-correlations in the Brazilian agrarian commodities and stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2739-2743.
    16. Zhang, Wei & Wang, Pengfei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2018. "The inefficiency of cryptocurrency and its cross-correlation with Dow Jones Industrial Average," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 658-670.
    17. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Haiquan & Lv, Dayong & Zhang, Shuhua, 2018. "Cross-correlations between individual investor sentiment and Chinese stock market return: New perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 243-256.
    18. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2011. "Detrended fluctuation analysis on spot and futures markets of West Texas Intermediate crude oil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(5), pages 864-875.
    19. Ghazani, Majid Mirzaee & Khosravi, Reza, 2020. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis on benchmark cryptocurrencies and crude oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    20. Wang, Dong-Hua & Yu, Xiao-Wen & Suo, Yuan-Yuan, 2012. "Statistical properties of the yuan exchange rate index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(12), pages 3503-3512.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:392:y:2013:i:24:p:6442-6457. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.