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Uncovering the Internal Structure of the Indian Financial Market: Cross-correlation behavior in the NSE

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  • Sitabhra Sinha
  • Raj Kumar Pan

Abstract

The cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 201 frequently traded stocks in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India are analyzed in this paper. We use daily closing prices for the period 1996-2006, which coincides with the period of rapid transformation of the market following liberalization. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix, $\mathbf{C}$, of NSE is found to be similar to that of developed markets, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE): the majority of eigenvalues fall within the bounds expected for a random matrix constructed from mutually uncorrelated time series. Of the few largest eigenvalues that deviate from the bulk, the largest is identified with market-wide movements. The intermediate eigenvalues that occur between the largest and the bulk have been associated in NYSE with specific business sectors with strong intra-group interactions. However, in the Indian market, these deviating eigenvalues are comparatively very few and lie much closer to the bulk. We propose that this is because of the relative lack of distinct sector identity in the market, with the movement of stocks dominantly influenced by the overall market trend. This is shown by explicit construction of the interaction network in the market, first by generating the minimum spanning tree from the unfiltered correlation matrix, and later, using an improved method of generating the graph after filtering out the market mode and random effects from the data. Both methods show, compared to developed markets, the relative absence of clusters of co-moving stocks that belong to the same business sector. This is consistent with the general belief that emerging markets tend to be more correlated than developed markets.

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  • Sitabhra Sinha & Raj Kumar Pan, 2007. "Uncovering the Internal Structure of the Indian Financial Market: Cross-correlation behavior in the NSE," Papers 0704.2115, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0704.2115
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    Cited by:

    1. Sandoval, Leonidas, 2012. "Pruning a minimum spanning tree," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2678-2711.
    2. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2011. "Cluster formation and evolution in networks of financial market indices," Papers 1111.5069, arXiv.org.
    3. Sandoval, Leonidas & Franca, Italo De Paula, 2012. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 187-208.
    4. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2011. "Pruning a Minimum Spanning Tree," Papers 1109.0642, arXiv.org.
    5. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2013. "Structure and causality relations in a global network of financial companies," Papers 1310.5388, arXiv.org.
    6. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2011. "A Map of the Brazilian Stock Market," Papers 1107.4146, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    7. Majapa, Mohamed & Gossel, Sean Joss, 2016. "Topology of the South African stock market network across the 2008 financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 445(C), pages 35-47.
    8. Anwesha Sengupta & Shashankaditya Upadhyay & Indranil Mukherjee & Prasanta K. Panigrahi, 2022. "Describing the effect of influential spreaders on the different sectors of Indian market: a complex networks perspective," Papers 2303.05432, arXiv.org.
    9. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Italo De Paula Franca, 2011. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Papers 1102.1339, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    10. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    11. Bhattacharjee, Biplab & Kumar, Rajiv & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam, 2022. "Unidirectional and bidirectional LSTM models for edge weight predictions in dynamic cross-market equity networks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Sandoval, Leonidas Junior, 2013. "Structure and causality relations in a global network of financial companies," Insper Working Papers wpe_324, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    13. Sandoval, Leonidas, 2014. "To lag or not to lag? How to compare indices of stock markets that operate on different times," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 227-243.
    14. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2014. "Dynamics in two networks based on stocks of the US stock market," Papers 1408.1728, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2014.
    15. Sitabhra Sinha & Uday Kovur, 2013. "Uncovering the network structure of the world currency market: Cross-correlations in the fluctuations of daily exchange rates," Papers 1305.0239, arXiv.org.
    16. Sandoval, Leonidas Junior, 2013. "To lag or not to lag? How to compare indices of stock markets that operate at different times," Insper Working Papers wpe_319, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    17. Biplab Bhattacharjee & Muhammad Shafi & Animesh Acharjee, 2017. "Investigating the Evolution of Linkage Dynamics among Equity Markets Using Network Models and Measures: The Case of Asian Equity Market Integration," Data, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-28, December.
    18. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2012. "Survivability and centrality measures for networks of financial market indices," Papers 1201.4490, arXiv.org.
    19. Leonidas Sandoval Junior, 2012. "To lag or not to lag? How to compare indices of stock markets that operate at different times," Papers 1201.4586, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2013.
    20. Bilal Ahmed Memon & Hongxing Yao & Rabia Tahir, 2020. "General election effect on the network topology of Pakistan’s stock market: network-based study of a political event," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14, December.
    21. Upadhyay, Shashankaditya & Mukherjee, Indranil & Panigrahi, Prasanta K., 2023. "Inner composition alignment networks reveal financial impacts of COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).

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