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University selectivity and the relative returns to higher education: Evidence from the UK

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  • Walker, Ian
  • Zhu, Yu

Abstract

We study the wage outcomes of university graduates by course (i.e. by subject and institution) using the UK Labour Force Surveys (LFS). We show that the selectivity of undergraduate degree programmes plays an important role in explaining the variation in the relative graduate wages. In fact, we find that much of the variation in relative wages across courses is due to the quality of students selected. Once we allow for course selectivity in our analysis we find that our estimates of the effects of attending the most prestigious HEIs is around 10 percentage points lower than otherwise; the effects of attending the middle ranking HEIs is around 5 percentage points lower; and that of attending these lowest ranking HEIs is unaffected. We go on to consider selection (on observables) into subjects and institutions using the Inverse Probability Weighted Regression Adjusted (IPWRA) method to estimate multiple treatment effects.

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  • Walker, Ian & Zhu, Yu, 2018. "University selectivity and the relative returns to higher education: Evidence from the UK," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 230-249.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:labeco:v:53:y:2018:i:c:p:230-249
    DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2018.05.005
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    7. Adamecz-Völgyi, Anna & Shure, Nikki, 2022. "The gender gap in top jobs – The role of overconfidence," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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    9. Britton, Jack & van der Erve, Laura & Belfield, Chris & Vignoles, Anna & Dickson, Matt & Zhu, Yu & Walker, Ian & Dearden, Lorraine & Sibieta, Luke & Buscha, Franz, 2022. "How much does degree choice matter?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Yee, Karol Mark Ramirez, 2023. "Raising the floor while lowering the ceiling: Reduced inequities in education returns in the Philippines," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    11. Adamecz-Völgyi, Anna & Henderson, Morag & Shure, Nikki, 2020. "Is ‘first in family’ a good indicator for widening university participation?," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    12. Nikki Shure & Larissa Zierow, 2023. "High Achieving First-Generation University Students," CESifo Working Paper Series 10832, CESifo.
    13. Wang, Haining & Cheng, Zhiming & Smyth, Russell & Sun, Gong & Li, Jie & Wang, Wangshuai, 2022. "University education, homeownership and housing wealth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    14. Pedro Luis Silva & Carla Sá & Ricardo Biscaia & Pedro N. Teixeira, 2022. "High school and exam scores: Does their predictive validity for academic performance vary with programme selectivity?," NIPE Working Papers 4/2022, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    15. Shure, Nikki & Zierow, Larissa, 2023. "High Achieving First-Generation University Students," IZA Discussion Papers 16654, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    16. Zheng, Yanqiao & Zhang, Xiaoqi & Zhu, Yu, 2021. "Overeducation, major mismatch, and return to higher education tiers: Evidence from novel data source of a major online recruitment platform in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    17. Costas-Fernández, Julián & Morando, Greta & Holford, Angus, 2023. "The effect of foreign students in higher education on native students’ outcomes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    18. Shure, Nikki & Zierow, Larissa, 2024. "High achieving first-generation university students," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302381, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    19. Hongyun Zheng & Wanglin Ma, 2023. "Smartphone-based information acquisition and wheat farm performance: insights from a doubly robust IPWRA estimator," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 633-658, June.
    20. Del Bono, Emilia & Fumagalli, Laura & Holford, Angus & Rabe, Birgitta, 2022. "University access: the role of background and COVID-19 throughout the application process," ISER Working Paper Series 2022-07, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    21. Huang, Bin & Xu, Lei & Zhu, Yu, 2019. "Does the higher education expansion in the UK reduce the returns to education? A comparison of returning-from-work versus fresh out-of-school graduates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 276-285.
    22. Ghulam Mustafa, 2023. "Is the Decision to Obtain Higher Education in Pakistan Worth Repaying? New Evidence from Returns on Education for Paid-Employees," PIDE-Working Papers 2023:6, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    College selectivity; Relative returns to higher education;

    JEL classification:

    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions
    • I26 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Returns to Education

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