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Are R&D-intensive firms more resilient to trade shocks? Evidence from the U.S.–China trade war

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  • Kim, Kenneth A.
  • Xie, Hongjun
  • Zheng, Xiaojia

Abstract

We study whether research and development (R&D)-intensive Chinese firms were more resilient during the 2018–2019 U.S.-China trade war. Using an event study, we confirm that (unsurprisingly) Chinese exporting firms that were most affected by the new U.S. tariffs suffered larger valuation declines than other firms. However, among those most affected, those that were R&D intensive suffered significantly less severe declines. We also identify a channel that allowed R&D-intensive firms to better absorb the trade shock: their production efficiency improved amidst the trade war, due to enhanced operational efficiency and lower operating costs. Furthermore, in response to the trade disruptions, numerous R&D-intensive Chinese companies acquired U.S. firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Kenneth A. & Xie, Hongjun & Zheng, Xiaojia, 2024. "Are R&D-intensive firms more resilient to trade shocks? Evidence from the U.S.–China trade war," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:149:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624001955
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103208
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    Keywords

    Trade shock; Tariffs; R&D; China; Trade war;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D

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