IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v268y2023ics0360544223000543.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust framework based on hybrid deep learning approach for short term load forecasting of building electricity demand

Author

Listed:
  • Sekhar, Charan
  • Dahiya, Ratna

Abstract

Buildings consume about half of the global electrical energy, and an accurate prediction of their electricity consumption is crucial for building microgrids' efficient and reliable functioning, leading to profitability for users and utilities. This paper proposes a novel optimal hybrid strategy for building load prediction that combines bilateral long short-term memory (BiLSTM), convolution neural networks (CNN), and grey wolf optimization (GWO). The GWO obtains the optimal set of parameters of the CNN and BiLSTM algorithms. One-dimensional CNN is applied to extract the time series data feature effectively. The proposed strategy performance is investigated using four buildings having distinct characteristics with hourly resolution data. Results justify that the same technique can be applied effectively to different structures. The work compares and examines their performance with other cutting-edge technologies for the forecast for one day, two days, and a week. The findings demonstrate that the suggested GWO–CNN–BiLSTM technique performs more accurately than standard CNN-LSTM, CNN-BiLSTM, optimized BiLSTM, and traditional LSTM and BiLSTM techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Sekhar, Charan & Dahiya, Ratna, 2023. "Robust framework based on hybrid deep learning approach for short term load forecasting of building electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:268:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223000543
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.126660
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223000543
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.126660?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gao, Zhikun & Yu, Junqi & Zhao, Anjun & Hu, Qun & Yang, Siyuan, 2022. "A hybrid method of cooling load forecasting for large commercial building based on extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    2. Li, Chen, 2020. "Designing a short-term load forecasting model in the urban smart grid system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    3. Kim, Tae-Young & Cho, Sung-Bae, 2019. "Predicting residential energy consumption using CNN-LSTM neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 72-81.
    4. Sharma, Abhishek & Jain, Sachin Kumar, 2022. "A novel seasonal segmentation approach for day-ahead load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    5. Jayabarathi, T. & Raghunathan, T. & Adarsh, B.R. & Suganthan, Ponnuthurai Nagaratnam, 2016. "Economic dispatch using hybrid grey wolf optimizer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 630-641.
    6. Ahmad, Ashfaq & Khan, Jamil Yusuf, 2022. "Optimal Sizing and Management of Distributed Energy Resources in Smart Buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PB).
    7. Jeffrey J. Schott & Meera Fickling, 2010. "Revisiting the NAFTA Agenda on Climate Change," Policy Briefs PB10-19, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    8. Talaat, M. & Farahat, M.A. & Mansour, Noura & Hatata, A.Y., 2020. "Load forecasting based on grasshopper optimization and a multilayer feed-forward neural network using regressive approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    9. Raza, Muhammad Qamar & Khosravi, Abbas, 2015. "A review on artificial intelligence based load demand forecasting techniques for smart grid and buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1352-1372.
    10. Somu, Nivethitha & Raman M R, Gauthama & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2021. "A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    11. Tayab, Usman Bashir & Zia, Ali & Yang, Fuwen & Lu, Junwei & Kashif, Muhammad, 2020. "Short-term load forecasting for microgrid energy management system using hybrid HHO-FNN model with best-basis stationary wavelet packet transform," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    12. Chung, Won Hee & Gu, Yeong Hyeon & Yoo, Seong Joon, 2022. "District heater load forecasting based on machine learning and parallel CNN-LSTM attention," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    13. Lusis, Peter & Khalilpour, Kaveh Rajab & Andrew, Lachlan & Liebman, Ariel, 2017. "Short-term residential load forecasting: Impact of calendar effects and forecast granularity," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 654-669.
    14. Cai, Mengmeng & Pipattanasomporn, Manisa & Rahman, Saifur, 2019. "Day-ahead building-level load forecasts using deep learning vs. traditional time-series techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 1078-1088.
    15. Wang, Jianzhou & Zhu, Suling & Zhang, Wenyu & Lu, Haiyan, 2010. "Combined modeling for electric load forecasting with adaptive particle swarm optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1671-1678.
    16. Imani, Maryam, 2021. "Electrical load-temperature CNN for residential load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    17. Biswas, M.A. Rafe & Robinson, Melvin D. & Fumo, Nelson, 2016. "Prediction of residential building energy consumption: A neural network approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 117(P1), pages 84-92.
    18. Liu, Nian & Tang, Qingfeng & Zhang, Jianhua & Fan, Wei & Liu, Jie, 2014. "A hybrid forecasting model with parameter optimization for short-term load forecasting of micro-grids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 336-345.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xinfu Liu & Wei Liu & Wei Zhou & Yanfeng Cao & Mengxiao Wang & Wenhao Hu & Chunhua Liu & Peng Liu & Guoliang Liu, 2024. "Multi-Energy Coupling Load Forecasting in Integrated Energy System with Improved Variational Mode Decomposition-Temporal Convolutional Network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-18, November.
    2. Jin, Haowei & Guo, Jue & Tang, Lei & Du, Pei, 2024. "Long-term electricity demand forecasting under low-carbon energy transition: Based on the bidirectional feedback between power demand and generation mix," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    3. Wang, Jun & Cao, Junxing, 2024. "Reservoir properties inversion using attention-based parallel hybrid network integrating feature selection and transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    4. Afzal, Sadegh & Ziapour, Behrooz M. & Shokri, Afshar & Shakibi, Hamid & Sobhani, Behnam, 2023. "Building energy consumption prediction using multilayer perceptron neural network-assisted models; comparison of different optimization algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    5. Yan, Xiuying & Ji, Xingxing & Meng, Qinglong & Sun, Hang & Lei, Yu, 2024. "A hybrid prediction model of improved bidirectional long short-term memory network for cooling load based on PCANet and attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    6. Hisham Alghamdi & Ghulam Hafeez & Sajjad Ali & Safeer Ullah & Muhammad Iftikhar Khan & Sadia Murawwat & Lyu-Guang Hua, 2023. "An Integrated Model of Deep Learning and Heuristic Algorithm for Load Forecasting in Smart Grid," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-22, November.
    7. Lu, Shengdong & Yang, Xinle & Bu, Shujuan & Li, Weikang & Yu, Ning & Wang, Xin & Dai, Wenzhi & Liu, Xunan, 2024. "Performance and parameter prediction of SCR–ORC system based on data–model fusion and twin data–driven," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    8. Dong, Juan & Zhu, Yuanjun & Cui, Ningbo & Jia, Xiaoxu & Guo, Li & Qiu, Rangjian & Shao, Ming’an, 2024. "Estimating crop evapotranspiration of wheat-maize rotation system using hybrid convolutional bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network with grey wolf algorithm in Chinese Loess Plateau region," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    9. Yan, Yi & Wang, Xuerui & Li, Ke & Li, Chengdong & Tian, Chongyi & Shao, Zhuliang & Li, Ji, 2024. "Stochastic optimisation of district integrated energy systems based on a hybrid probability forecasting model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    10. Filipe Rodrigues & Carlos Cardeira & João M. F. Calado & Rui Melicio, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting of Electricity Demand for the Residential Sector Based on Modelling Techniques: A Systematic Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-26, May.
    11. Akash Mahajan & Srijita Das & Wencong Su & Van-Hai Bui, 2024. "Bayesian-Neural-Network-Based Approach for Probabilistic Prediction of Building-Energy Demands," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-21, November.
    12. Pesantez, Jorge E. & Li, Binbin & Lee, Christopher & Zhao, Zhizhen & Butala, Mark & Stillwell, Ashlynn S., 2023. "A Comparison Study of Predictive Models for Electricity Demand in a Diverse Urban Environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    13. Atif Maqbool Khan & Artur Wyrwa, 2024. "A Survey of Quantitative Techniques in Electricity Consumption—A Global Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-38, September.
    14. Sepideh Radhoush & Bradley M. Whitaker & Hashem Nehrir, 2023. "An Overview of Supervised Machine Learning Approaches for Applications in Active Distribution Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-29, August.
    15. Mustafa Saglam & Catalina Spataru & Omer Ali Karaman, 2023. "Forecasting Electricity Demand in Turkey Using Optimization and Machine Learning Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-23, June.
    16. Aristeidis Mystakidis & Paraskevas Koukaras & Nikolaos Tsalikidis & Dimosthenis Ioannidis & Christos Tjortjis, 2024. "Energy Forecasting: A Comprehensive Review of Techniques and Technologies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-33, March.
    17. Renxi Gong & Zhihuan Wei & Yan Qin & Tao Liu & Jiawei Xu, 2024. "Short-Term Electrical Load Forecasting Based on IDBO-PTCN-GRU Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-24, September.
    18. Paraskevas Koukaras & Akeem Mustapha & Aristeidis Mystakidis & Christos Tjortjis, 2024. "Optimizing Building Short-Term Load Forecasting: A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-26, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Yanmei & Hasan, Najmul & Deng, Changrui & Bao, Yukun, 2022. "Multivariate empirical mode decomposition based hybrid model for day-ahead peak load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    2. Zhang, Jinliang & Siya, Wang & Zhongfu, Tan & Anli, Sun, 2023. "An improved hybrid model for short term power load prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    3. Zang, Haixiang & Xu, Ruiqi & Cheng, Lilin & Ding, Tao & Liu, Ling & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2021. "Residential load forecasting based on LSTM fusing self-attention mechanism with pooling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    4. Zhang, Jinliang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Li, Dezhi & Tan, Zhongfu & Zhou, Jianhua, 2018. "Short term electricity load forecasting using a hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 774-781.
    5. Shi, Jiaqi & Li, Chenxi & Yan, Xiaohe, 2023. "Artificial intelligence for load forecasting: A stacking learning approach based on ensemble diversity regularization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    6. Fernández, Joaquín Delgado & Menci, Sergio Potenciano & Lee, Chul Min & Rieger, Alexander & Fridgen, Gilbert, 2022. "Privacy-preserving federated learning for residential short-term load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    7. Xiao, Liye & Shao, Wei & Liang, Tulu & Wang, Chen, 2016. "A combined model based on multiple seasonal patterns and modified firefly algorithm for electrical load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 135-153.
    8. Sun, Hongchang & Niu, Yanlei & Li, Chengdong & Zhou, Changgeng & Zhai, Wenwen & Chen, Zhe & Wu, Hao & Niu, Lanqiang, 2022. "Energy consumption optimization of building air conditioning system via combining the parallel temporal convolutional neural network and adaptive opposition-learning chimp algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    9. Luo, X.J. & Oyedele, Lukumon O. & Ajayi, Anuoluwapo O. & Akinade, Olugbenga O. & Owolabi, Hakeem A. & Ahmed, Ashraf, 2020. "Feature extraction and genetic algorithm enhanced adaptive deep neural network for energy consumption prediction in buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    10. Namrye Son, 2021. "Comparison of the Deep Learning Performance for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-25, November.
    11. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    12. Pesantez, Jorge E. & Li, Binbin & Lee, Christopher & Zhao, Zhizhen & Butala, Mark & Stillwell, Ashlynn S., 2023. "A Comparison Study of Predictive Models for Electricity Demand in a Diverse Urban Environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    13. Zizhen Cheng & Li Wang & Yumeng Yang, 2023. "A Hybrid Feature Pyramid CNN-LSTM Model with Seasonal Inflection Month Correction for Medium- and Long-Term Power Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-18, March.
    14. Hyunsoo Kim & Jiseok Jeong & Changwan Kim, 2022. "Daily Peak-Electricity-Demand Forecasting Based on Residual Long Short-Term Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-17, November.
    15. Guillaume Guerard & Hugo Pousseur & Ihab Taleb, 2021. "Isolated Areas Consumption Short-Term Forecasting Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-23, November.
    16. Ping Jiang & Zeng Wang & Kequan Zhang & Wendong Yang, 2017. "An Innovative Hybrid Model Based on Data Pre-Processing and Modified Optimization Algorithm and Its Application in Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-29, July.
    17. Brucke, Karoline & Arens, Stefan & Telle, Jan-Simon & Steens, Thomas & Hanke, Benedikt & von Maydell, Karsten & Agert, Carsten, 2021. "A non-intrusive load monitoring approach for very short-term power predictions in commercial buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    18. Gonçalves, Rui & Ribeiro, Vitor Miguel & Pereira, Fernando Lobo, 2023. "Variable Split Convolutional Attention: A novel Deep Learning model applied to the household electric power consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    19. Imani, Maryam, 2021. "Electrical load-temperature CNN for residential load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    20. Thomas Steens & Jan-Simon Telle & Benedikt Hanke & Karsten von Maydell & Carsten Agert & Gian-Luca Di Modica & Bernd Engel & Matthias Grottke, 2021. "A Forecast-Based Load Management Approach for Commercial Buildings Demonstrated on an Integration of BEV," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-25, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:268:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223000543. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.