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Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: A survey and new approaches

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  • Kovacevic, Raimund M.
  • Pflug, Georg Ch.

Abstract

We demonstrate how the problem of determining the ask price for electricity swing options can be considered as a stochastic bilevel program with asymmetric information. Unlike as for financial options, there is no way for basing the pricing method on no-arbitrage arguments. Two main situations are analyzed: if the seller has strong market power he/she might be able to maximize his/her utility, while in fully competitive situations he/she will just look for a price which makes profit and has acceptable risk. In both cases the seller has to consider the decision problem of a potential buyer – the valuation problem of determining a fair value for a specific option contract – and anticipate the buyer’s optimal reaction to any proposed strike price. We also discuss some methods for finding numerical solutions of stochastic bilevel problems with a special emphasis on using duality gap penalizations.

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  • Kovacevic, Raimund M. & Pflug, Georg Ch., 2014. "Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: A survey and new approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(2), pages 389-403.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:237:y:2014:i:2:p:389-403
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2013.12.029
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    Cited by:

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    2. Acuna, Jorge A. & Zayas-Castro, Jose L. & Feijoo, Felipe, 2022. "A bilevel Nash-in-Nash model for hospital mergers: A key to affordable care," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Beck, Yasmine & Ljubić, Ivana & Schmidt, Martin, 2023. "A survey on bilevel optimization under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 311(2), pages 401-426.
    4. Çalcı, Baturay & Leibowicz, Benjamin D. & Bard, Jonathan F. & Jayadev, Gopika G., 2024. "A bilevel approach to multi-period natural gas pricing and investment in gas-consuming infrastructure," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    5. Acuña, Luceny Guzmán & Ríos, Diana Ramírez & Arboleda, Carlos Paternina & Ponzón, Esneyder González, 2018. "Cooperation model in the electricity energy market using bi-level optimization and Shapley value," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 161-168.
    6. Raimund M. Kovacevic, 2019. "Valuation and pricing of electricity delivery contracts: the producer’s view," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 275(2), pages 421-460, April.
    7. Escudero, Laureano F. & Monge, Juan F. & Rodríguez-Chía, Antonio M., 2020. "On pricing-based equilibrium for network expansion planning. A multi-period bilevel approach under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(1), pages 262-279.
    8. Andreani, R. & Júdice, J.J. & Martínez, J.M. & Martini, T., 2016. "Feasibility problems with complementarity constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(1), pages 41-54.

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