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UK gas markets: The market price of risk and applications to multiple interruptible supply contracts

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  • Cartea, Álvaro
  • Williams, Thomas

Abstract

We employ the Schwartz and Smith [Schwartz, E., and J. Smith, 2000, Short-term variations and long-term dynamics in commodity prices, Management Science 46, 893-911.] model to explore the dynamics of the UK gas markets. We discuss in detail the short-term and long-term market prices of risk borne by the market players and how deviations from expected cyclical storage affect the short-term market price of risk. Finally, we illustrate an application of the model by pricing interruptible supply contracts that are currently traded in the UK.

Suggested Citation

  • Cartea, Álvaro & Williams, Thomas, 2008. "UK gas markets: The market price of risk and applications to multiple interruptible supply contracts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 829-846, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:30:y:2008:i:3:p:829-846
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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