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A Bayesian paired comparison approach for relative accident probability assessment with covariate information

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  • Szwed, P.
  • Dorp, J. Rene van
  • Merrick, J.R.W.
  • Mazzuchi, T.A.
  • Singh, A.

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  • Szwed, P. & Dorp, J. Rene van & Merrick, J.R.W. & Mazzuchi, T.A. & Singh, A., 2006. "A Bayesian paired comparison approach for relative accident probability assessment with covariate information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 157-177, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:169:y:2006:i:1:p:157-177
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    1. McDonald, James B & Butler, Richard J, 1987. "Some Generalized Mixture Distributions with an Application to Unemployment Duration," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(2), pages 232-240, May.
    2. Peter A. Morris, 1974. "Decision Analysis Expert Use," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 20(9), pages 1233-1241, May.
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    4. Dewispelare, Aaron R. & Herren, L. Tandy & Clemen, Robert T., 1995. "The use of probability elicitation in the high-level nuclear waste regulation program," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 5-24, March.
    5. Robert T. Clemen & Robert L. Winkler, 1990. "Unanimity and Compromise Among Probability Forecasters," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(7), pages 767-779, July.
    6. Robert L. Winkler, 1981. "Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(4), pages 479-488, April.
    7. Clemen, Robert T., 1989. "Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 559-583.
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    Cited by:

    1. Suyi Li & Qiang Meng & Xiaobo Qu, 2012. "An Overview of Maritime Waterway Quantitative Risk Assessment Models," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(3), pages 496-512, March.
    2. Antão, P. & Sun, S. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2023. "Quantitative assessment of ship collision risk influencing factors from worldwide accident and fleet data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Hosack, Geoffrey R. & Hayes, Keith R. & Barry, Simon C., 2017. "Prior elicitation for Bayesian generalised linear models with application to risk control option assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 351-361.
    4. Rufo, M.J. & Pérez, C.J. & Martín, J., 2010. "Merging experts' opinions: A Bayesian hierarchical model with mixture of prior distributions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 284-289, November.
    5. J. Dorp & Jason Merrick, 2011. "On a risk management analysis of oil spill risk using maritime transportation system simulation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 187(1), pages 249-277, July.
    6. Park, Kyung S. & Lee, Jae in, 2008. "A new method for estimating human error probabilities: AHP–SLIM," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(4), pages 578-587.
    7. Yu, Qing & Teixeira, Ângelo Palos & Liu, Kezhong & Rong, Hao & Guedes Soares, Carlos, 2021. "An integrated dynamic ship risk model based on Bayesian Networks and Evidential Reasoning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Wang, Huanxin & Liu, Zhengjiang & Wang, Xinjian & Graham, Tony & Wang, Jin, 2021. "An analysis of factors affecting the severity of marine accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    9. Viktor DOLIA & Irina ENGLEZI, 2015. "Determine the safe transport of dangerous goods route," Transport Problems, Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, vol. 10(1), pages 31-44, March.
    10. Özgecan S. Ulusçu & Birnur Özbaş & Tayfur Altıok & İlhan Or, 2009. "Risk Analysis of the Vessel Traffic in the Strait of Istanbul," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(10), pages 1454-1472, October.
    11. Goerlandt, Floris & Montewka, Jakub, 2015. "Maritime transportation risk analysis: Review and analysis in light of some foundational issues," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 115-134.
    12. Jason R. W. Merrick & Rene Van Dorp, 2006. "Speaking the Truth in Maritime Risk Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(1), pages 223-237, February.
    13. Johnston, Reuben & Sarkani, Shahryar & Mazzuchi, Thomas & Holzer, Thomas & Eveleigh, Timothy, 2018. "Multivariate models using MCMCBayes for web-browser vulnerability discovery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 52-61.
    14. Gino J. Lim & Jaeyoung Cho & Selim Bora & Taofeek Biobaku & Hamid Parsaei, 2018. "Models and computational algorithms for maritime risk analysis: a review," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 271(2), pages 765-786, December.
    15. Quigley, John & Hardman, Gavin & Bedford, Tim & Walls, Lesley, 2011. "Merging expert and empirical data for rare event frequency estimation: Pool homogenisation for empirical Bayes models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(6), pages 687-695.

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