IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eejocm/v29y2018icp78-112.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric, closed-form, finite-parameter models of multinomial choice

Author

Listed:
  • Brathwaite, Timothy
  • Walker, Joan L.

Abstract

Class imbalance, where there are great differences between the number of observations associated with particular discrete outcomes, is common within transportation and other fields. In the statistics literature, one explanation for class imbalance that has been hypothesized is an asymmetric (rather than the typically symmetric) choice probability function. Unfortunately, few relatively simple models exist for testing this hypothesis in transportation settings—settings that are inherently multinomial. Our paper fills this gap.

Suggested Citation

  • Brathwaite, Timothy & Walker, Joan L., 2018. "Asymmetric, closed-form, finite-parameter models of multinomial choice," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 78-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eejocm:v:29:y:2018:i:c:p:78-112
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2018.01.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755534516301117
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jocm.2018.01.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sungduk Kim & Ming-Hui Chen & Dipak K. Dey, 2008. "Flexible generalized t-link models for binary response data," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(1), pages 93-106.
    2. Edgar C. Merkle & Mark Steyvers, 2013. "Choosing a Strictly Proper Scoring Rule," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 10(4), pages 292-304, December.
    3. Dennis H. Gensch, 1984. "Targeting the Switchable Industrial Customer," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 3(1), pages 41-54.
    4. B.J.T. Morgan, 1988. "Extended Models for Quantal Response Data," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 42(4), pages 253-272, December.
    5. Vijverberg, Chu-Ping C. & Vijverberg, Wim P., 2012. "Pregibit: A Family of Discrete Choice Models," IZA Discussion Papers 6359, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Presnell, Brett & Boos, Dennis D., 2004. "The IOS Test for Model Misspecification," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 99, pages 216-227, January.
    7. McFadden, Daniel, 1980. "Econometric Models for Probabilistic Choice among Products," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(3), pages 13-29, July.
    8. Koenker, Roger & Yoon, Jungmo, 2009. "Parametric links for binary choice models: A Fisherian-Bayesian colloquy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 120-130, October.
    9. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    10. Recker, W. W., 1995. "Discrete choice with an oddball alternative," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 201-211, June.
    11. Aydın Alptekinoğlu & John H. Semple, 2016. "The Exponomial Choice Model: A New Alternative for Assortment and Price Optimization," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(1), pages 79-93, February.
    12. Li, Baibing, 2011. "The multinomial logit model revisited: A semi-parametric approach in discrete choice analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 461-473, March.
    13. Fosgerau, M. & Bierlaire, M., 2009. "Discrete choice models with multiplicative error terms," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 494-505, June.
    14. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521747387, October.
    15. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Jiménez, Pilar & Rivas, Ana, 2008. "Closed form expressions for choice probabilities in the Weibull case," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 373-380, May.
    16. Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Angela Osmetti, 2013. "Modelling small and medium enterprise loan defaults as rare events: the generalized extreme value regression model," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(6), pages 1172-1188, June.
    17. Chorus, Caspar & van Cranenburgh, Sander & Dekker, Thijs, 2014. "Random regret minimization for consumer choice modeling: Assessment of empirical evidence," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(11), pages 2428-2436.
    18. Bhat, Chandra R., 1995. "A heteroscedastic extreme value model of intercity travel mode choice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 471-483, December.
    19. David Revelt & Kenneth Train, 1998. "Mixed Logit With Repeated Choices: Households' Choices Of Appliance Efficiency Level," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 647-657, November.
    20. Steckel, Joel H & Vanhonacker, Wilfried R, 1988. "A Heterogeneous Conditional Logit Model of Choice," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 6(3), pages 391-398, July.
    21. Vijverberg, Wim P., 2000. "Betit: A Family That Nests Probit and Logit," IZA Discussion Papers 222, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    22. Gneiting, Tilmann & Raftery, Adrian E., 2007. "Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 359-378, March.
    23. Mattsson, Lars-Göran & Weibull, Jörgen W. & Lindberg, Per Olov, 2014. "Extreme values, invariance and choice probabilities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 81-95.
    24. Robert L. Winkler, 1994. "Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(11), pages 1395-1405, November.
    25. Briesch R.A. & Chintagunta P.K. & Matzkin R.L., 2002. "Semiparametric Estimation of Brand Choice Behavior," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 973-982, December.
    26. Nakayama, Shoichiro & Chikaraishi, Makoto, 2015. "Unified closed-form expression of logit and weibit and its extension to a transportation network equilibrium assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P3), pages 672-685.
    27. Daryl Pregibon, 1980. "Goodness of Link Tests for Generalized Linear Models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 29(1), pages 15-24, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dubey, Subodh & Bansal, Prateek & Daziano, Ricardo A. & Guerra, Erick, 2020. "A Generalized Continuous-Multinomial Response Model with a t-distributed Error Kernel," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 114-141.
    2. Arkoudi, Ioanna & Krueger, Rico & Azevedo, Carlos Lima & Pereira, Francisco C., 2023. "Combining discrete choice models and neural networks through embeddings: Formulation, interpretability and performance," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    3. Frederik Priem & Philip Stessens & Frank Canters, 2020. "Microsimulation of Residential Activity for Alternative Urban Development Scenarios: A Case Study on Brussels and Flemish Brabant," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-28, March.
    4. Tinessa, Fiore & Marzano, Vittorio & Papola, Andrea, 2020. "Mixing distributions of tastes with a Combination of Nested Logit (CoNL) kernel: Formulation and performance analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1-23.
    5. Ioanna Arkoudi & Carlos Lima Azevedo & Francisco C. Pereira, 2021. "Combining Discrete Choice Models and Neural Networks through Embeddings: Formulation, Interpretability and Performance," Papers 2109.12042, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    6. Stephen D. Wong & Jacquelyn C. Broader & Joan L. Walker & Susan A. Shaheen, 2023. "Understanding California wildfire evacuee behavior and joint choice making," Transportation, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1165-1211, August.
    7. Wong, Stephen D & Pel, Adam J & Shaheen, Susan A & Chorus, Caspar G, 2020. "Fleeing from Hurricane Irma: Empirical Analysis of Evacuation Behavior Using Discrete Choice Theory," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt02f296df, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    8. Tomhave, Benjamin J. & Khani, Alireza, 2022. "Refined choice set generation and the investigation of multi-criteria transit route choice behavior," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 484-500.
    9. Francisco C. Pereira, 2019. "Rethinking travel behavior modeling representations through embeddings," Papers 1909.00154, arXiv.org.
    10. Rico Krueger & Michel Bierlaire & Thomas Gasos & Prateek Bansal, 2020. "Robust discrete choice models with t-distributed kernel errors," Papers 2009.06383, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    11. Rodrigues, Filipe, 2022. "Scaling Bayesian inference of mixed multinomial logit models to large datasets," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 1-17.
    12. Tran, Yen & Yamamoto, Toshiyuki & Sato, Hitomi & Miwa, Tomio & Morikawa, Takayuki, 2020. "The analysis of influences of attitudes on mode choice under highly unbalanced mode share patterns," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    13. Tinessa, Fiore, 2021. "Closed-form random utility models with mixture distributions of random utilities: Exploring finite mixtures of qGEV models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 262-288.
    14. Li, Dawei & Feng, Siqi & Song, Yuchen & Lai, Xinjun & Bekhor, Shlomo, 2023. "Asymmetric closed-form route choice models: Formulations and comparative applications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    15. S. Van Cranenburgh & S. Wang & A. Vij & F. Pereira & J. Walker, 2021. "Choice modelling in the age of machine learning -- discussion paper," Papers 2101.11948, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    16. Gu, Yu & Chen, Anthony & Kitthamkesorn, Songyot, 2022. "Weibit choice models: Properties, mode choice application and graphical illustrations," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    17. Subodh Dubey & Prateek Bansal & Ricardo A. Daziano & Erick Guerra, 2019. "A Generalized Continuous-Multinomial Response Model with a t-distributed Error Kernel," Papers 1904.08332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tinessa, Fiore, 2021. "Closed-form random utility models with mixture distributions of random utilities: Exploring finite mixtures of qGEV models," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 262-288.
    2. Tinessa, Fiore & Marzano, Vittorio & Papola, Andrea, 2020. "Mixing distributions of tastes with a Combination of Nested Logit (CoNL) kernel: Formulation and performance analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1-23.
    3. del Castillo, J.M., 2016. "A class of RUM choice models that includes the model in which the utility has logistic distributed errors," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-20.
    4. Li, Dawei & Feng, Siqi & Song, Yuchen & Lai, Xinjun & Bekhor, Shlomo, 2023. "Asymmetric closed-form route choice models: Formulations and comparative applications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    5. Chikaraishi, Makoto & Nakayama, Shoichiro, 2016. "Discrete choice models with q-product random utilities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 576-595.
    6. Aydın Alptekinoğlu & John H. Semple, 2016. "The Exponomial Choice Model: A New Alternative for Assortment and Price Optimization," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(1), pages 79-93, February.
    7. Nakayama, Shoichiro & Chikaraishi, Makoto, 2015. "Unified closed-form expression of logit and weibit and its extension to a transportation network equilibrium assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P3), pages 672-685.
    8. Gu, Yu & Chen, Anthony & Kitthamkesorn, Songyot, 2022. "Weibit choice models: Properties, mode choice application and graphical illustrations," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    9. Shi, Haolun & Yin, Guosheng, 2018. "Boosting conditional logit model," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 48-63.
    10. Dubey, Subodh & Bansal, Prateek & Daziano, Ricardo A. & Guerra, Erick, 2020. "A Generalized Continuous-Multinomial Response Model with a t-distributed Error Kernel," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 114-141.
    11. Rico Krueger & Michel Bierlaire & Thomas Gasos & Prateek Bansal, 2020. "Robust discrete choice models with t-distributed kernel errors," Papers 2009.06383, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    12. Paleti, Rajesh, 2018. "Generalized multinomial probit Model: Accommodating constrained random parameters," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 248-262.
    13. Mattsson, Lars-Göran & Weibull, Jörgen W. & Lindberg, Per Olov, 2014. "Extreme values, invariance and choice probabilities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 81-95.
    14. Aydın Alptekinoğlu & John H. Semple, 2021. "Heteroscedastic Exponomial Choice," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 69(3), pages 841-858, May.
    15. Calabrese, Raffaella & Crook, Jonathan, 2020. "Spatial contagion in mortgage defaults: A spatial dynamic survival model with time and space varying coefficients," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(2), pages 749-761.
    16. Li, Baibing, 2011. "The multinomial logit model revisited: A semi-parametric approach in discrete choice analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 461-473, March.
    17. Joan L. Walker & Moshe Ben-Akiva & Denis Bolduc, 2007. "Identification of parameters in normal error component logit-mixture (NECLM) models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 1095-1125.
    18. Subodh Dubey & Prateek Bansal & Ricardo A. Daziano & Erick Guerra, 2019. "A Generalized Continuous-Multinomial Response Model with a t-distributed Error Kernel," Papers 1904.08332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    19. Qi Feng & J. George Shanthikumar & Mengying Xue, 2022. "Consumer Choice Models and Estimation: A Review and Extension," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(2), pages 847-867, February.
    20. Tan, Heqing & Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony, 2024. "On endogenously distinguishing inactive paths in stochastic user equilibrium: A convex programming approach with a truncated path choice model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eejocm:v:29:y:2018:i:c:p:78-112. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-choice-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.