IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v221y2010i17p2068-2075.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Unveiling human-assisted dispersal mechanisms in invasive alien insects: Integration of spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models

Author

Listed:
  • Carrasco, L.R.
  • Mumford, J.D.
  • MacLeod, A.
  • Harwood, T.
  • Grabenweger, G.
  • Leach, A.W.
  • Knight, J.D.
  • Baker, R.H.A.

Abstract

Capturing the spread of biological invasions in heterogeneous landscapes is a complex modelling task where information on both dispersal and population dynamics needs to be integrated. Spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models have rarely been combined to assist in the study of human-assisted long-distance dispersal events.

Suggested Citation

  • Carrasco, L.R. & Mumford, J.D. & MacLeod, A. & Harwood, T. & Grabenweger, G. & Leach, A.W. & Knight, J.D. & Baker, R.H.A., 2010. "Unveiling human-assisted dispersal mechanisms in invasive alien insects: Integration of spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(17), pages 2068-2075.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:221:y:2010:i:17:p:2068-2075
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.05.012
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380010002644
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.05.012?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Piñeiro, Gervasio & Perelman, Susana & Guerschman, Juan P. & Paruelo, José M., 2008. "How to evaluate models: Observed vs. predicted or predicted vs. observed?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 216(3), pages 316-322.
    2. Christelle Robinet & Alain Roques & Hongyang Pan & Guofei Fang & Jianren Ye & Yanzhuo Zhang & Jianghua Sun, 2009. "Role of Human-Mediated Dispersal in the Spread of the Pinewood Nematode in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(2), pages 1-10, February.
    3. Le Maitre, David C. & Krug, Rainer M. & Hoffmann, John H. & Gordon, Anthony J. & Mgidi, Theresa N., 2008. "Hakea sericea: Development of a model of the impacts of biological control on population dynamics and rates of spread of an invasive species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 212(3), pages 342-358.
    4. Trnka, M. & Muška, F. & Semerádová, D. & Dubrovský, M. & Kocmánková, E. & Žalud, Z., 2007. "European Corn Borer life stage model: Regional estimates of pest development and spatial distribution under present and future climate," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 61-84.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Martin Štefánik & Martina Zvaríková & Rudolf Masarovič & Peter Fedor, 2019. "The significance of anthropochory in Hercinothrips femoralis (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) - Short Communication," Plant Protection Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 55(4), pages 262-265.
    2. Douma, J.C. & Pautasso, M. & Venette, R.C. & Robinet, C. & Hemerik, L. & Mourits, M.C.M. & Schans, J. & van der Werf, W., 2016. "Pathway models for analysing and managing the introduction of alien plant pests—an overview and categorization," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 339(C), pages 58-67.
    3. Stanaway, M.A. & Reeves, R. & Mengersen, K.L., 2011. "Hierarchical Bayesian modelling of plant pest invasions with human-mediated dispersal," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(19), pages 3531-3540.
    4. Carrasco, L. Roman & Cook, David & Baker, Richard & MacLeod, Alan & Knight, Jon D. & Mumford, John D., 2012. "Towards the integration of spread and economic impacts of biological invasions in a landscape of learning and imitating agents," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 95-103.
    5. Fitzgerald, Katherine & Heller, Nicole & Gordon, Deborah M., 2012. "Modeling the spread of the Argentine ant into natural areas: Habitat suitability and spread from neighboring sites," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 262-272.
    6. Jennifer L Sieracki & Jonathan M Bossenbroek & W Lindsay Chadderton, 2014. "A Spatial Modeling Approach to Predicting the Secondary Spread of Invasive Species Due to Ballast Water Discharge," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(12), pages 1-24, December.
    7. White, Benedict & Sadler, Rohan & Florec, Veronique & Dominiak, Bernie, 2012. "Economics of Surveillance: a Bioeconomic Assessment of Queensland Fruit Fly," 2012 Conference (56th), February 7-10, 2012, Fremantle, Australia 125741, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    8. Szalai, Márk & Kiss, József & Kövér, Szilvia & Toepfer, Stefan, 2014. "Simulating crop rotation strategies with a spatiotemporal lattice model to improve legislation for the management of the maize pest Diabrotica virgifera virgifera," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 39-50.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Booth, Shawn & Walters, William J & Steenbeek, Jeroen & Christensen, Villy & Charmasson, Sabine, 2020. "An Ecopath with Ecosim model for the Pacific coast of eastern Japan: Describing the marine environment and its fisheries prior to the Great East Japan earthquake," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 428(C).
    2. I. Marková & D. Janouš & M. Pavelka & J. Macků & K. Havránková & K. Rejšek & M.V. Marek, 2016. "Potential changes in Czech forest soil carbon stocks under different climate change scenarios," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 62(12), pages 537-544.
    3. Davide Rassati & Massimo Faccoli & Robert A Haack & Robert J Rabaglia & Edoardo Petrucco Toffolo & Andrea Battisti & Lorenzo Marini, 2016. "Bark and Ambrosia Beetles Show Different Invasion Patterns in the USA," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, July.
    4. Matty Demont & Marie Cerovska & Wim Daems & Koen Dillen & József Fogarasi & Erik Mathijs & František Muška & Josef Soukup & Eric Tollens, 2008. "Ex Ante Impact Assessment under Imperfect Information: Biotechnology in New Member States of the EU," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(3), pages 463-486, September.
    5. Bjørn Økland & Olav Skarpaas & Martin Schroeder & Christer Magnusson & Åke Lindelöw & Karl Thunes, 2010. "Is Eradication of the Pinewood Nematode (Bursaphelenchus xylophilus) Likely? An Evaluation of Current Contingency Plans," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(9), pages 1424-1439, September.
    6. Shuang Liu & David I Stern, 2008. "A Meta-Analysis of Contingent Valuation Studies in Coastal and Near-Shore Marine Ecosystems," Socio-Economics and the Environment in Discussion (SEED) Working Paper Series 2008-15, CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems.
    7. Michael Gbenga Ogungbuyi & Juan P. Guerschman & Andrew M. Fischer & Richard Azu Crabbe & Caroline Mohammed & Peter Scarth & Phil Tickle & Jason Whitehead & Matthew Tom Harrison, 2023. "Enabling Regenerative Agriculture Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-25, May.
    8. Sileshi, Gudeta & Hailu, Girma & Nyadzi, Gerson I., 2009. "Traditional occupancy–abundance models are inadequate for zero-inflated ecological count data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(15), pages 1764-1775.
    9. Lehmann, Niklaus & Finger, Robert & Klein, Tommy & Calanca, Pierluigi & Walter, Achim, 2013. "Adapting crop management practices to climate change: Modeling optimal solutions at the field scale," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 55-65.
    10. Machovina, Brian & Feeley, Kenneth J., 2013. "Climate change driven shifts in the extent and location of areas suitable for export banana production," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 83-95.
    11. Ojeda, Jonathan J. & Volenec, Jeffrey J. & Brouder, Sylvie M. & Caviglia, Octavio P. & Agnusdei, Mónica G., 2018. "Modelling stover and grain yields, and subsurface artificial drainage from long-term corn rotations using APSIM," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 154-171.
    12. Correndo, Adrian A. & Hefley, Trevor J. & Holzworth, Dean P. & Ciampitti, Ignacio A., 2021. "Revisiting linear regression to test agreement in continuous predicted-observed datasets," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    13. Vasileiadis, V.P. & Sattin, M. & Otto, S. & Veres, A. & Pálinkás, Z. & Ban, R. & Pons, X. & Kudsk, P. & van der Weide, R. & Czembor, E. & Moonen, A.C. & Kiss, J., 2011. "Crop protection in European maize-based cropping systems: Current practices and recommendations for innovative Integrated Pest Management," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(7), pages 533-540, September.
    14. Soliman, T. & Hengeveld, G.M. & Robinet, C. & Mourits, Monique & van der Werf, Wopke & Oude Lansink, Alfons G.J.M., 2011. "A Risk Assessment Model on Pine Wood Nematode in the EU," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 116010, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Steingruber, Sandra Martina, 2020. "Improved empirical models for predicting nitrogen retention in lakes and reservoirs," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 416(C).
    16. Lavaud, Romain & La Peyre, Megan K. & Casas, Sandra M. & Bacher, Cédric & La Peyre, Jérôme F., 2017. "Integrating the effects of salinity on the physiology of the eastern oyster, Crassostrea virginica, in the northern Gulf of Mexico through a Dynamic Energy Budget model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 363(C), pages 221-233.
    17. Chen, Xin & Yu, Le & Du, Zhenrong & Liu, Zhu & Qi, Yuan & Liu, Tao & Gong, Peng, 2022. "Toward sustainable land use in China: A perspective on China’s national land surveys," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    18. Miroslav Trnka & Josef Eitzinger & Daniela Semerádová & Petr Hlavinka & Jan Balek & Martin Dubrovský & Gerhard Kubu & Petr Štěpánek & Sabina Thaler & Martin Možný & Zdeněk Žalud, 2011. "Expected changes in agroclimatic conditions in Central Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(1), pages 261-289, September.
    19. Sasaki, Fumiya & Shiba, Takuya & Matsukura, Keiichiro, 2024. "Novel method of determining parameters for the effective accumulated temperature model by using seasonal pest occurrence data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 490(C).
    20. Maiorano, Andrea & Bregaglio, Simone & Donatelli, Marcello & Fumagalli, Davide & Zucchini, Antonio, 2012. "Comparison of modelling approaches to simulate the phenology of the European corn borer under future climate scenarios," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 245(C), pages 65-74.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:221:y:2010:i:17:p:2068-2075. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.