IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0114217.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Spatial Modeling Approach to Predicting the Secondary Spread of Invasive Species Due to Ballast Water Discharge

Author

Listed:
  • Jennifer L Sieracki
  • Jonathan M Bossenbroek
  • W Lindsay Chadderton

Abstract

Ballast water in ships is an important contributor to the secondary spread of invasive species in the Laurentian Great Lakes. Here, we use a model previously created to determine the role ballast water management has played in the secondary spread of viral hemorrhagic septicemia virus (VHSV) to identify the future spread of one current and two potential invasive species in the Great Lakes, the Eurasian Ruffe (Gymnocephalus cernuus), killer shrimp (Dikerogammarus villosus), and golden mussel (Limnoperna fortunei), respectively. Model predictions for Eurasian Ruffe have been used to direct surveillance efforts within the Great Lakes and DNA evidence of ruffe presence was recently reported from one of three high risk port localities identified by our model. Predictions made for killer shrimp and golden mussel suggest that these two species have the potential to become rapidly widespread if introduced to the Great Lakes, reinforcing the need for proactive ballast water management. The model used here is flexible enough to be applied to any species capable of being spread by ballast water in marine or freshwater ecosystems.

Suggested Citation

  • Jennifer L Sieracki & Jonathan M Bossenbroek & W Lindsay Chadderton, 2014. "A Spatial Modeling Approach to Predicting the Secondary Spread of Invasive Species Due to Ballast Water Discharge," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(12), pages 1-24, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0114217
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0114217
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0114217
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0114217&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0114217?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carol A. Stepien & Joshua E. Brown & Matthew E. Neilson & Mark A. Tumeo, 2005. "Genetic Diversity of Invasive Species in the Great Lakes Versus Their Eurasian Source Populations: Insights for Risk Analysis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(4), pages 1043-1060, August.
    2. Carrasco, L.R. & Mumford, J.D. & MacLeod, A. & Harwood, T. & Grabenweger, G. & Leach, A.W. & Knight, J.D. & Baker, R.H.A., 2010. "Unveiling human-assisted dispersal mechanisms in invasive alien insects: Integration of spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(17), pages 2068-2075.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rincon, Diego F. & Esch, Evan D. & Gutierrez-Illan, Javier & Tesche, Melissa & Crowder, David W., 2024. "Predicting insect population dynamics by linking phenology models and monitoring data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 493(C).
    2. Carrasco, L. Roman & Cook, David & Baker, Richard & MacLeod, Alan & Knight, Jon D. & Mumford, John D., 2012. "Towards the integration of spread and economic impacts of biological invasions in a landscape of learning and imitating agents," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 95-103.
    3. Szalai, Márk & Kiss, József & Kövér, Szilvia & Toepfer, Stefan, 2014. "Simulating crop rotation strategies with a spatiotemporal lattice model to improve legislation for the management of the maize pest Diabrotica virgifera virgifera," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 39-50.
    4. Douma, J.C. & Pautasso, M. & Venette, R.C. & Robinet, C. & Hemerik, L. & Mourits, M.C.M. & Schans, J. & van der Werf, W., 2016. "Pathway models for analysing and managing the introduction of alien plant pests—an overview and categorization," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 339(C), pages 58-67.
    5. Fitzgerald, Katherine & Heller, Nicole & Gordon, Deborah M., 2012. "Modeling the spread of the Argentine ant into natural areas: Habitat suitability and spread from neighboring sites," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 262-272.
    6. Martin Štefánik & Martina Zvaríková & Rudolf Masarovič & Peter Fedor, 2019. "The significance of anthropochory in Hercinothrips femoralis (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) - Short Communication," Plant Protection Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 55(4), pages 262-265.
    7. Stanaway, M.A. & Reeves, R. & Mengersen, K.L., 2011. "Hierarchical Bayesian modelling of plant pest invasions with human-mediated dispersal," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(19), pages 3531-3540.
    8. White, Benedict & Sadler, Rohan & Florec, Veronique & Dominiak, Bernie, 2012. "Economics of Surveillance: a Bioeconomic Assessment of Queensland Fruit Fly," 2012 Conference (56th), February 7-10, 2012, Fremantle, Australia 125741, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0114217. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.