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Stationary distribution and probability density function of a stochastic SIRSI epidemic model with saturation incidence rate and logistic growth

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  • Han, Bingtao
  • Jiang, Daqing
  • Zhou, Baoquan
  • Hayat, Tasawar
  • Alsaedi, Ahmed

Abstract

Focusing on the results of Rajasekar (2020) and the continuous dynamics of stochastic differential equation (SDE) developed by Mao (1997), a stochastic SIRSI epidemic model with saturation incidence rate and logistic growth is investigated in this paper. First, we propose and prove that the unique solution of stochastic model is globally positive. By constructing some suitable Lyapunov functions, the sufficient condition R0h>1 is obtained for the unique stationary distribution which has ergodicity property. Next, by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation, we derive the approximate probability density function around the quasi-endemic equilibrium of the stochastic system. The above stationary distribution and density function can reveal all statistical properties of the disease persistence. In addition, by comparison with other existing articles, our developed theoretical results and some numerical simulations are introduced at the end of this paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing & Zhou, Baoquan & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Stationary distribution and probability density function of a stochastic SIRSI epidemic model with saturation incidence rate and logistic growth," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:142:y:2021:i:c:s0960077920309115
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110519
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong, 2018. "Threshold behavior in a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with standard incidence and regime switching," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 316(C), pages 310-325.
    2. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing, 2019. "Stationary distribution of a stochastic staged progression HIV model with imperfect vaccination," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 527(C).
    3. Cai, Yongli & Kang, Yun & Wang, Weiming, 2017. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 305(C), pages 221-240.
    4. Caraballo, Tomás & Fatini, Mohamed El & Khalifi, Mohamed El & Gerlach, Richard & Pettersson, Roger, 2020. "Analysis of a stochastic distributed delay epidemic model with relapse and Gamma distribution kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Rajasekar, S.P. & Pitchaimani, M., 2020. "Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and nonlinear incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 377(C).
    6. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and general nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    7. Yakui Xue & Tiantian Li, 2013. "Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth," Abstract and Applied Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2013, pages 1-11, November.
    8. Zhou, Baoquan & Zhang, Xinhong & Jiang, Daqing, 2020. "Dynamics and density function analysis of a stochastic SVI epidemic model with half saturated incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. Li, Jinhui & Teng, Zhidong & Wang, Guangqing & Zhang, Long & Hu, Cheng, 2017. "Stability and bifurcation analysis of an SIR epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 63-71.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Han, Bingtao & Hayat, Tasawar, 2022. "Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 15-44.
    2. Mu, Xiaojie & Jiang, Daqing, 2024. "Dynamics caused by the mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process in a stochastic predator–prey model with stage structure," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    3. Rajchakit, G. & Sriraman, R. & Vignesh, P. & Lim, C.P., 2021. "Impulsive effects on Clifford-valued neural networks with time-varying delays: An asymptotic stability analysis," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 407(C).
    4. Saha, Pritam & Mondal, Bapin & Ghosh, Uttam, 2023. "Dynamical behaviors of an epidemic model with partial immunity having nonlinear incidence and saturated treatment in deterministic and stochastic environments," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    5. Rao, Feng & Kang, Yun, 2023. "Dynamics of a stochastic prey–predator system with prey refuge, predation fear and its carry-over effects," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P1).

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