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Threshold Analysis of a Stochastic SIRS Epidemic Model with Logistic Birth and Nonlinear Incidence

Author

Listed:
  • Huyi Wang

    (College of Mathematics and System Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China)

  • Ge Zhang

    (College of Mathematics and System Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China)

  • Tao Chen

    (College of Mathematics and System Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China)

  • Zhiming Li

    (College of Mathematics and System Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China)

Abstract

The paper mainly investigates a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with Logistic birth and nonlinear incidence. We obtain a new threshold value ( R 0 m ) through the Stratonovich stochastic differential equation, different from the usual basic reproduction number. If R 0 m < 1 , the disease-free equilibrium of the illness is globally asymptotically stable in probability one. If R 0 m > 1 , the disease is permanent in the mean with probability one and has an endemic stationary distribution. Numerical simulations are given to illustrate the theoretical results. Interestingly, we discovered that random fluctuations can suppress outbreaks and control the disease.

Suggested Citation

  • Huyi Wang & Ge Zhang & Tao Chen & Zhiming Li, 2023. "Threshold Analysis of a Stochastic SIRS Epidemic Model with Logistic Birth and Nonlinear Incidence," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:7:p:1737-:d:1116370
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cai, Yongli & Kang, Yun & Wang, Weiming, 2017. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 305(C), pages 221-240.
    2. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and general nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ruichao Li & Xiurong Guo, 2024. "Dynamics of a Stochastic SEIR Epidemic Model with Vertical Transmission and Standard Incidence," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, January.
    2. Yassine Sabbar & Mohammad Izadi & Aeshah A. Raezah & Waleed Adel, 2024. "Nonlinear Dynamics of a General Stochastic SIR Model with Behavioral and Physical Changes: Analysis and Application to Zoonotic Tuberculosis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, June.

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