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Understanding the dynamics of hepatitis B transmission: A stochastic model with vaccination and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

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  • Wu, Shuying
  • Yuan, Sanling
  • Lan, Guijie
  • Zhang, Tonghua

Abstract

In this paper, we explore and analyze a stochastic epidemiological model with vaccination and two mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes to describe the dynamics of HBV transmission. Our study begins by deriving a sufficient condition for the extinction of hepatitis B. Additionally, we determine the presence of a stationary distribution using the Markov process stability theory. Next, we utilize algebraic equation theory and the associated Fokker-Planck equation to derive an explicit expression for the unique probability density function. To validate our theoretical findings, we conduct several numerical simulations using hepatitis B data provided by the World Health Organization (WHO). The results of these simulations support and complement our analytical approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Shuying & Yuan, Sanling & Lan, Guijie & Zhang, Tonghua, 2024. "Understanding the dynamics of hepatitis B transmission: A stochastic model with vaccination and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 476(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:apmaco:v:476:y:2024:i:c:s0096300324002340
    DOI: 10.1016/j.amc.2024.128766
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing & Zhou, Baoquan & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Stationary distribution and probability density function of a stochastic SIRSI epidemic model with saturation incidence rate and logistic growth," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Khan, Tahir & Khan, Amir & Zaman, Gul, 2018. "The extinction and persistence of the stochastic hepatitis B epidemic model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 123-128.
    3. Zhang, Xiaofeng & Yuan, Rong, 2021. "A stochastic chemostat model with mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and Monod-Haldane response function," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 394(C).
    4. Zhou, Baoquan & Han, Bingtao & Jiang, Daqing, 2021. "Ergodic property, extinction and density function of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and general stochastic perturbations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Zhang, Shengqiang & Yuan, Sanling & Zhang, Tonghua, 2022. "A predator-prey model with different response functions to juvenile and adult prey in deterministic and stochastic environments," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 413(C).
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    7. Zhou, Baoquan & Jiang, Daqing & Dai, Yucong & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2021. "Stationary distribution and probability density function of a stochastic SVIS epidemic model with standard incidence and vaccination strategies," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
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