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Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis
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- Krug, Sebastian & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2016. "Shadow banking, financial regulation and animal spirits: An ACE approach," Economics Working Papers 2016-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Karsten Kohler & Benjamin Tippet & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023.
"House price cycles, housing systems, and growth models,"
European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 20(3), pages 461-490, December.
- Kohler, Karsten & Tippet, Ben & Stockhammer, Engelbert, 2022. "House price cycles, housing systems, and growth models," IPE Working Papers 194/2022, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
- Önundur Páll Ragnarsson & Jón Magnús Hannesson & Loftur Hreinsson, 2019. "Financial cycles as early warning indicators - Lessons from the Nordic region," Economics wp80, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Yan, Chuanpeng & Huang, Kevin X.D., 2020. "Financial cycle and business cycle: An empirical analysis based on the data from the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 693-701.
- Ruben Tarne & Dirk Bezemer & Thomas Theobald, 2021.
"The Effect of borrower-specific Loan-to-Value policies on household debt, wealth inequality and consumption volatility,"
IMK Working Paper
212-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Ruben Tarne & Dirk Bezemer & Thomas Theobald, 2021. "The Effect of borrower-specific Loan-to-Value policies on household debt, wealth inequality and consumption volatility," FMM Working Paper 70-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Schüler, Yves S. & Hiebert, Paul P. & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2020. "Financial cycles: Characterisation and real-time measurement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Verona, Fabio, 2016.
"Time–frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 75-79.
- Fabio Verona, 2016. "Time-frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle," CEF.UP Working Papers 1605, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Verona, Fabio, 2016. "Time-frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019.
"Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
- Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021.
"Identifying indicators of systemic risk,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Discussion Papers 33/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Milan Christian Wet & Ilse Botha, 2022. "Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 37-67, March.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2020.
"On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
- Schüler, Yves, 2020. "On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles," Discussion Papers 28/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2019.
"Assessing the cross-country interaction of financial cycles: evidence from a multivariate spectral analysis of the USA and the UK,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 385-398, August.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2017. "Assessing the Cross-Country Interaction of Financial Cycles: Evidence from a Multivariate Spectral Analysis of the US and the UK," IMK Working Paper 182-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Łukasz Markowski & Aleksandra Ostrowska, 2024. "Synchronizacja cyklu gospodarczego i finansowego w krajach Unii Europejskiej," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 2, pages 178-208.
- Hong, Yanran & Li, Pan & Wang, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "New evidence of extreme risk transmission between financial stress and international crude oil markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023.
"Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?,"
Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 551-572.
- Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2022. "Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?," Working Papers PKWP2205, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Klein, Paul-Olivier & Turk-Ariss, Rima, 2022. "Bank capital and economic activity," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018.
"Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis,"
Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 27(6), pages 999-1014.
- Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018. "Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis," Working Papers PKWP1807, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018. "Toward a New Microfounded Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Crisis," LEM Papers Series 2018/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Yang Hu & Yanran Hong & Kai Feng & Jikai Wang, 2023. "Evaluating the Importance of Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Long- and Short-Term Effects and Responses," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 264-286, April.
- Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2020. "Cross-border lending and the international transmission of banking crises," Discussion Papers 2020/13, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Pontines, Victor, 2017.
"The financial cycles in four East Asian economies,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 51-66.
- Victor Pontines, 2016. "The Financial Cycles in Four East Asian Economies," Working Papers wp17, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
- Tarne, Ruben & Bezemer, Dirk & Theobald, Thomas, 2022. "The effect of borrower-specific loan-to-value policies on household debt, wealth inequality and consumption volatility: An agent-based analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Andre Lucas, 2016. "Model-based Business Cycle and Financial Cycle Decomposition for Europe and the U.S," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Jose Barrales‐Ruiz & Rudiger von Arnim & Mikidadu Mohammed, 2023. "Income distribution and economic activity: A frequency domain causal exploration," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 306-327, May.
- Natasha Kang, Da & Marmer, Vadim, 2024.
"Modeling long cycles,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
- Kang, Natasha & Marmer, Vadim, 2020. "Modeling Long Cycles," Economics working papers vadim_marmer-2020-3, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 26 Oct 2020.
- Natasha Kang & Vadim Marmer, 2020. "Modeling Long Cycles," Papers 2010.13877, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Xia, Fan Dora, 2020. "Forecasting recessions: the importance of the financial cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Amat Adarov, 2022.
"Financial cycles around the world,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3163-3201, July.
- Amat Adarov, 2018. "Financial Cycles Around the World," wiiw Working Papers 145, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022.
"Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis,"
The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2019. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," Discussion Papers 22/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2024.
"An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 105-118, January.
- Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2022. "An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance," Working Papers CIE 153, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Paul-Olivier Klein & Rima Turk-Ariss, 2022. "Bank capital and economic activity," Post-Print hal-03955630, HAL.
- Adam Cagliarini & Fiona Price, 2017. "Exploring the Link between the Macroeconomic and Financial Cycles," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño Acosta, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "How do financial cycles interact? Evidence from the US and the UK," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-024, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Kilponen, Juha & Verona, Fabio, 2016.
"Testing the Q theory of investment in the frequency domain,"
Research Discussion Papers
32/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Juha Kilponen & Fabio Verona, 2017. "Testing the Q theory of investment in the frequency domain," CEF.UP Working Papers 1701, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Zhao, Min & Wu, Zhuo-Cheng & Jia, Kai-Wen & Xiong, Xiong, 2023. "Research on tail risk contagion in international energy markets—The quantile time-frequency volatility spillover perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Lin, Boqiang & Su, Tong, 2021. "Do China's macro-financial factors determine the Shanghai crude oil futures market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Harendra Behera & Saurabh Sharma, 2022. "Characterizing India’s Financial Cycle," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 152-183, June.
- Schüler, Yves S. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Hiebert, Paul, 2017. "Coherent financial cycles for G-7 countries: Why extending credit can be an asset," ESRB Working Paper Series 43, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Moisă ALTĂR & Matei KUBINSCHI & Dinu BARNEA, 2017. "Measuring Financial Cycle Length and Assessing Synchronization using Wavelets," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 18-36, September.
- Hong, Yanran & Ma, Feng & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao, 2022. "How does the COVID-19 outbreak affect the causality between gold and the stock market? New evidence from the extreme Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Mejri, Sami & Aloui, Chaker & Khan, Nasir, 2024. "The gold stock nexus: Assessing the causality dynamics based on advanced multiscale approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-024 is not listed on IDEAS
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2023.
"Global financial cycles since 1880,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Kiel Working Papers 2122, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H, 2020. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Bank of England working papers 867, Bank of England.
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Global financial cycles since 1880," IMFS Working Paper Series 132, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Kilponen, Juha & Verona, Fabio, 2016.
"Testing the Q theory of investment in the frequency domain,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
32/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Juha Kilponen & Fabio Verona, 2017. "Testing the Q theory of investment in the frequency domain," CEF.UP Working Papers 1701, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Iñaki Aldasoro & Stefan Avdjiev & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat, 2023.
"Global and Domestic Financial Cycles: Variations on a Theme,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(5), pages 49-98, December.
- Iñaki Aldasoro & Stefan Avdjiev & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat, 2020. "Global and domestic financial cycles: variations on a theme," BIS Working Papers 864, Bank for International Settlements.
- Christian Menden & Christian R. Proaño, 2017.
"Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1965-1994, December.
- Menden, Christian & Proaño, Christian R., 2017. "Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models," BERG Working Paper Series 126, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Christian Menden & Christian R. Proaño, 2017. "Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models," IMK Working Paper 183-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Jakob Fiedler & Josef Ruzicka & Thomas Theobald, 2019. "The Real-Time Information Content of Financial Stress and Bank Lending on European Business Cycles," IMK Working Paper 198-2019, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Stockhammer, Engelbert & Calvert Jump, Robert & Kohler, Karsten & Cavallero, Julian, 2019.
"Short and medium term financial-real cycles: An empirical assessment,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 81-96.
- Engelbert Stockhammer & Robert Calvert Jump & Karsten Kohler & Julian Cavallero, 2018. "Short and medium term financial-real cycles: An empirical assessment," FMM Working Paper 29-2018, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Ashe, Sinéad & Egan, Paul, 2023. "Examining financial and business cycle interaction using cross recurrence plot analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Mundra, Sruti & Bicchal, Motilal, 2024. "Financial cycle comovement with monetary and macroprudential policy and global factors: Evidence from India," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_032 is not listed on IDEAS
- Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2021. "Market sentiment, financial fragility, and economic activity: The role of corporate securities issuance," Discussion Papers 2021/6, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Amat Adarov, 2017. "Financial Cycles in Credit, Housing and Capital Markets: Evidence from Systemic Economies," wiiw Working Papers 140, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
- Uch, Raksmey & Miyamoto, Hiroaki & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2021. "Effects of a banking crisis on credit growth in developing countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
- Xi, Yue & Zeng, Qing & Lu, Xinjie & Huynh, Toan L.D., 2022. "Oil and renewable energy stock markets: Unique role of extreme shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Jian-Min & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Research on stock volatility risk and investor sentiment contagion from the perspective of multi-layer dynamic network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Milan Christian de Wet, 2021. "Modelling the Australasian Financial Cycle: A Markov-Regime Switching Approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 14(1), pages 69-79, June.
- Tihana Škrinjarić & Maja Bukovšak, 2022. "New Indicators of Credit Gap in Croatia: Improving the Calibration of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer," Working Papers 69, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Xin Tian & Jan Jacobs & Jakob de Haan, 2022. "Alternative Measures for the Global Financial Cycle: Do They Make a Difference?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9730, CESifo.
- Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Gunay, Samet & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Destek, Mehmet Akif & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Tuna, Fatih, 2022. "The impact of digital finance on the natural resource market: Evidence from DeFi, oil, and gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_014 is not listed on IDEAS
- Shengnan Lv & Zeshui Xu & Xuecheng Fan & Yong Qin & Marinko Skare, 2023. "The mean reversion/persistence of financial cycles: Empirical evidence for 24 countries worldwide," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 11-47, March.
- Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Karsten Kohler & Robert Calvert Jump, 2022. "Estimating Nonlinear Business Cycle Mechanisms with Linear Vector Autoregressions: A Monte Carlo Study," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1077-1100, October.
- Greg Farrell & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 123-144, June.
- Verona, Fabio, 2016.
"Time–frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 75-79.
- Fabio Verona, 2016. "Time-frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle," CEF.UP Working Papers 1605, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Verona, Fabio, 2016. "Time-frequency characterization of the U.S. financial cycle," Research Discussion Papers 14/2016, Bank of Finland.
- Esti Kemp & Rene van Stralen & Alexandros Vardoulakis & Peter J. Wierts, 2018. "The Non-Bank Credit Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-076, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Tzaawa-Krenzler, Mary, 2023. "Sticky information and the Taylor principle," IMFS Working Paper Series 189, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Stefan Ederer & Miriam Rehm, 2018. "Making sense of Piketty’s ‘fundamental laws’ in a Post-Keynesian framework," Working Papers PKWP1808, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Malgorzata Porada - Rochon, 2020. "The Length of Financial Cycle and its Impact on Business Cycle in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 1278-1290.
- Gross, Marco, 2022. "Beautiful cycles: A theory and a model implying a curious role for interest," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term!," Working Paper Series 2138, European Central Bank.
- Deepal Basak & Mr. Yunhui Zhao, 2018. "Does Financial Tranquility Call for Stringent Regulation?," IMF Working Papers 2018/123, International Monetary Fund.
- Hiebert, Paul & Jaccard, Ivan & Schüler, Yves, 2018. "Contrasting financial and business cycles: Stylized facts and candidate explanations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 72-80.
- Dalia Mansour-Ibrahim, 2023. "Are the Eurozone Financial and Business Cycles Convergent Across Time and Frequency?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 389-427, January.
- Friedrich Lucke, 2022. "The Great Moderation and the Financial Cycle," Working Papers REM 2022/0238, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.