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Finding the tipping point -- when sovereign debt turns bad

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Ibrahim Ari & Muammer Koc, 2018. "Sustainable Financing for Sustainable Development: Understanding the Interrelations between Public Investment and Sovereign Debt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-25, October.
  2. Séverine MENGUY, 2019. "Does public indebtedness constrain or can it favor economic growth? A simple analytical modeling," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 1-29.
  3. Konstantin Makrelov & Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Laurence Harris, 2018. "Fiscal multipliers in South Africa: The importance of financial sector dynamics," WIDER Working Paper Series 006, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  4. Kelbesa Abdisa Megersa, 2015. "The laffer curve and the debt-growth link in low-income Sub-Saharan African economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(5), pages 878-892, October.
  5. Yener, Haluk & Soybilgen, Barış & Stengos, Thanasis, 2020. "A general model for financial crises: An application to eurozone crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 202-229.
  6. Robert A Buckle & Amy A Cruickshank, 2013. "The Requirements for Long-Run Fiscal Sustainability," Treasury Working Paper Series 13/20, New Zealand Treasury.
  7. Kelbesa Megersa & Danny Cassimon, 2015. "Public Debt, Economic Growth, and Public Sector Management in Developing Countries: Is There a Link?," Public Administration & Development, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(5), pages 329-346, December.
  8. Freytag , Andreas & Pettersson, Jonatan & Schmied, Julian, 2016. "Debt Relief and Good Governance: New Evidence," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145914, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  9. Maria Manuel Campos & Cristina Checherita-Westphal, 2019. "Economic consequences of high public debt and challenges ahead for the euro area," Working Papers o201904, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  10. Themba Gilbert Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2020. "Public Debt and Economic Growth Nexus in the Euro Area: A Dynamic Panel ARDL Approach," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 67(3), pages 291-310, September.
  11. Vicente Esteve & Cecilio Tamarit, 2018. "Public debt and economic growth in Spain, 1851–2013," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), vol. 12(2), pages 219-249, May.
  12. Łukasz Rawdanowicz, 2014. "Choosing the pace of fiscal consolidation," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2013(1), pages 91-119.
  13. M. Nautet & L. Van Meensel, 2011. "Economic impact of the public debt," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-19, September.
  14. Balázs Égert, 2015. "Public debt, economic growth and nonlinear effects: Myth or reality?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 226-238.
  15. Mohammed Daher Alshammary & Zulkefly Abdul Karim & Norlin Khalid & Riayati Ahmad, 2020. "Debt-Growth Nexus in the MENA Region: Evidence from a Panel Threshold Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-12, November.
  16. Sagire, Lucas & Muriu, Peter W., 2021. "Economic Growth and Public Debt Threshold: New Evidence from An Emerging Economy," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 46(4), pages 105-120, December.
  17. Fauziah ZEN & Michael REGAN, . "Financing ASEAN Connectivity," Books, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number 2013-rpr-15 edited by Fauziah ZEN & Michael REGAN, September.
  18. Blessy Augustine & O.P.C. Muhammed Rafi, 2021. "Public Debt - Economic Growth: Evidence of a Non-linear Relationship," BASE University Working Papers 11/2021, BASE University, Bengaluru, India.
  19. Mr. Geoffrey J Bannister & Mr. Luis D Barrot, 2011. "A Debt Intolerance Framework Applied to Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic," IMF Working Papers 2011/220, International Monetary Fund.
  20. Randall S. Jones & Satoshi Urasawa, 2013. "Restoring Japan's Fiscal Sustainability," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1050, OECD Publishing.
  21. Dreger, Christian & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2013. "Does euro area membership affect the relation between GDP growth and public debt?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 481-486.
  22. Andrea F Presbitero, 2012. "Total Public Debt and Growth in Developing Countries," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 24(4), pages 606-626, September.
  23. Chong Choy Yoke, 2018. "Non-linear Effect of Debt on the Economic Performance of Trans-Pacific Partnership Countries," GATR Journals jfbr147, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
  24. Furceri, Davide & Zdzienicka, Aleksandra, 2012. "How costly are debt crises?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 726-742.
  25. Kummer-Noormamode, Sabina, 2018. "The Relationship between Public Debt and Economic Growth: Nonlinearity and Country-Specificity," MPRA Paper 98075, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  26. Haluk Yener & Thanasis Stengos & M. Ege Yazgan, 2017. "Analysis of the seeds of the debt crisis in Europe," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1589-1610, December.
  27. Douglas Sutherland & Peter Hoeller & Rossana Merola & Volker Ziemann, 2012. "Debt and Macroeconomic Stability," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1003, OECD Publishing.
  28. Markus Eberhardt & Andrea F. Presbitero, 2013. "This Time They’re Different: Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity in the Relationship between Debt and Growth," Discussion Papers 2013/10, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  29. Boukhatem, Jamel & Kaabi, Malèk, 2015. "Dette publique, qualité institutionnelle et croissance économique dans les pays de la région MENA : analyse par la méthode des moments généralisés [Public debt, institutional quality and economic g," MPRA Paper 65756, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2015.
  30. Rossana Merola & Douglas Sutherland, 2013. "Fiscal Consolidation and the Implications of Social Spending for Long-Term Fiscal Sustainability," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 4(3).
  31. Michele Fratianni, 2011. "Riflessioni sulla politica economica italiana in occasione del 150esimo anniversario dell'Unita'," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 53, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
  32. Haytham Y.M. Ewaida, 2017. "The Impact of Sovereign Debt on Growth: An Empirical Study on GIIPS versus JUUSD Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 607-633.
  33. Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2017. "Sharp Threshold Detection Based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-Dimensional Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 250-264, April.
  34. Koffi, Siméon, 2019. "Nonlinear Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," MPRA Paper 96067, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Sep 2019.
  35. Augustine, Blessy & Rafi, O.P.C. Muhammed, 2023. "Public debt - economic growth nexus in emerging and developing economies: Exploring nonlinearity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  36. Christopher Loewald & David Faulkner & Konstantin Makrelov, 2020. "Time consistency and economic growth a case study of south african macroeconomic policy," Working Papers 10421, South African Reserve Bank.
  37. Haluk Yener & Thanasis Stengos & M. Ege Yazgan, 2015. "Survival Maximizing Leverage of an Economy: The Case of Greece," Working Papers 1503, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
  38. Rossana Merola & Douglas Sutherland, 2012. "Fiscal Consolidation: Part 3. Long-Run Projections and Fiscal Gap Calculations," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 934, OECD Publishing.
  39. Kourtellos, Andros & Stengos, Thanasis & Tan, Chih Ming, 2013. "The effect of public debt on growth in multiple regimes," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 35-43.
  40. Gale, William G., 2019. "Fiscal policy with high debt and low interest rates," MPRA Paper 99207, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  41. Duong Thi NHI, . "Vietnam Country Report," Chapters, in: Fauziah ZEN & Michael REGAN (ed.), Financing ASEAN Connectivity, chapter 10, pages 401-429, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
  42. Bettina Fincke & Alfred Greiner, 2015. "On the relation between public debt and economic growth: an empirical investigation," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 137-150.
  43. guo, Min & zhao, jizhi & huang, yixuan, 2014. "国家债务适度规模研究 —基于因子增强阈值模型 [a Study of Moderate Scale of Public Debt - Based on Factor-Augmented Threshold Model]," MPRA Paper 56067, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  44. Ahmed MAAROUFI & Ghazi BOULILA, 2021. "Non-linear effect of public debt on economic growth: The case of Tunisia," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(629), W), pages 121-134, Winter.
  45. Douglas Sutherland & Peter Hoeller & Rossana Merola, 2012. "Fiscal Consolidation: Part 1. How Much is Needed and How to Reduce Debt to a Prudent Level?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 932, OECD Publishing.
  46. Christian Richter & Sara El Asy, 2019. "Is Public Debt Always Harmful to Economic Growth," Working Papers 52, The German University in Cairo, Faculty of Management Technology.
  47. Nikolay Velichkov, 2016. "Effects of Government Debt on Macroeconomic Activity (The Case of Bulgaria)," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 1, pages 24-32, March.
  48. Yun Jung Kim & Jing Zhang, 2021. "The Relationship Between Debt and Output," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(1), pages 230-257, March.
  49. Antoniades, Andreas, 2013. "Recasting the Power Politics of Debt: Structural Power, Hegemonic Stabilisers and Change," MPRA Paper 47015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  50. Sokbae (Simon) Lee & Hyunmin Park & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2014. "A contribution to the Reinhart and Rogoff debate: not 90 percent but maybe 30 percent," CeMMAP working papers CWP39/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  51. Yannis Dafermos, 2015. "The ‘other half’ of the public debt–economic growth relationship: a note on Reinhart and Rogoff," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 12(1), pages 20-28, April.
  52. Craigwell, Roland & Greenidge, Kevin & Thomas, Chrystal & Drakes, Lisa, 2012. "Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt: Evidence from the Caribbean," MPRA Paper 40936, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  53. Kazakova, Maria & Nesterova, Kristina, 2015. "Long-Term Forecast of the Main Parameters of the Budgetary System of Russia," Published Papers 2309, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  54. Xu, Jianguo & Zhang, Xun, 2014. "China's sovereign debt: A balance-sheet perspective," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 55-73.
  55. Alfonso Mendoza-Velazquez & Heidi J. Smith & Diego Mendoza-Martinez, 2022. "Subnational Regional Growth, Debt Thresholds and Sustainability," Working Paper Series Sobre México 2022001, Sobre México. Temas en economía.
  56. Anis Chowdhury & Iyanatul Islam, 2012. "The Debate on Expansionary Fiscal Consolidation: How Robust is the Evidence?," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 23(3), pages 13-38, September.
  57. Michele Fratianni & Antonio Maria Rinaldi & Paolo Savona, 2013. "Una proposta per ridurre il fardello del debito pubblico italiano," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 81, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
  58. Wissem Khanfir, 2019. "Threshold Effect of Public Debt on Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Selected North African Countries," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 3, pages 429-436, September.
  59. María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2016. "Public debt and economic growth: An empirical evaluation," Working Papers 16-06, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
  60. repec:ilo:ilowps:478371 is not listed on IDEAS
  61. Islam, Iyanatul, & Ahmed, Ishraq. & Roy, Rathin. & Ramos, Raquel., 2012. "Macroeconomic policy advice and the Article IV consultations a development perspective," ILO Working Papers 994783713402676, International Labour Organization.
  62. Markus Eberhardt, 2013. "Nonlinearities in the Relationship between Debt and Growth: Evidence from Co-Summability Testing," Discussion Papers 2013/06, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  63. Mindaugas Butkus & Diana Cibulskiene & Lina Garsviene & Janina Seputiene, 2022. "Role of Uncertainty in Debt-Growth Nexus," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2022(1), pages 58-78.
  64. Rutayisire, J.Musoni, 2021. "Public debt dynamics and nonlinear effects on economic growth : evidence from Rwanda," MPRA Paper 110931, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  65. Chuku, Chuku & Lang, Lin & Lim, King Yoong, 2023. "Public debt, Chinese loans and optimal exploration–extraction in Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
  66. Dammann, Felix & Rodosthenous, Néofytos & Villeneuve, Stéphane, 2023. "Debt management game and debt ceiling," TSE Working Papers 23-1430, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  67. Andrew Hodge & Sriram Shankar, 2016. "Single-Variable Threshold Effects in Ordered Response Models With an Application to Estimating the Income-Happiness Gradient," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 42-52, January.
  68. repec:agr:journl:v:4(605):y:2015:i:4(605):p:189-198 is not listed on IDEAS
  69. Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev & Eugene Goryunov & Laurence Kotlikoff, 2015. "Theoretical foundations of fiscal gap as a long-term fiscal sustainability indicator and its estimates for Russia," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 168P, pages 1-58.
  70. Mindaugas Butkus & Diana Cibulskiene & Lina Garsviene & Janina Seputiene, 2021. "The Heterogeneous Public Debt–Growth Relationship: The Role of the Expenditure Multiplier," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-22, April.
  71. Eunji Kim & Yoonhee Ha & Sangheon Kim, 2017. "Public Debt, Corruption and Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-30, March.
  72. Thien Hao Van & Van Cuong Hoang, 2018. "Determine the External Debt Threshold of the Southeast Asian Countries: Analysis Using Laffer Curve?," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(3), pages 1038-1045.
  73. Hidalgo, Javier & Lee, Jungyoon & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2019. "Robust inference for threshold regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 291-309.
  74. Konstantin Makrelov & Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Laurence Harris, 2018. "Fiscal multipliers in South Africa: The importance of financial sector dynamics," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-6, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  75. Diptes C. P. Bhimjee, 2023. "The euro area sovereign debt crisis and the sovereign debt Laffer curve: a historic assessment for 1999–2014," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
  76. Goryunov, Yevgeniy (Горюнов, Евгений), 2016. "Theoretical foundations, properties and interpretation of the budget gap indicators [Теоретические Основы, Свойства И Интерпретация Индикаторов Бюджетного Разрыва]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 2, pages 112-132, April.
  77. M. P. Afanas’ev & N. N. Shash, 2021. "From Surplus to Deficit Fiscal Policy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 476-484, September.
  78. Jae Young Jang & Erdal Atukeren, 2019. "Sustainable Local Currency Debt: An Analysis of Foreigners’ Korea Treasury Bonds Investments Using a LA-VARX Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-23, June.
  79. Walid BENAYED & Foued Badr GABSI & Samia OMRANE BELGUITH, 2015. "Threshold Effect of Public Debt on Domestic Investment: Evidence from Selected African Countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(605), W), pages 189-198, Winter.
  80. Mstislav Afanasyev & Nataliya Shash, 2016. "Microeconomic Effects Of Growing Public Debt On The Russian Economy," Public administration issues, Higher School of Economics, issue 5, pages 46-59.
  81. Bodrova, Vera & Gvozdeva, Margarita & Kazakova, Maria, 2015. "Methods of Long-term Forecasting: Comparative Analysis and Foreign Experience of Applying," Published Papers 2310, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  82. Shvets, Serhii, 2017. "Internal public debt and economic growth: a case study of Ukraine," MPRA Paper 103873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
  83. Chaoyi Chen & Yiguo Sun, 2018. "Monte Carlo Comparison for Nonparametric Threshold Estimators," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, August.
  84. Siméon Koffi, 2019. "Nonlinear Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries [Impact non linéaire de la dette publique sur la croissance: Evidence à partir des pays de l'Afrique ," Post-Print hal-02293757, HAL.
  85. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Lau, Evan, 2017. "Fiscal sustainability in an emerging market economy: When does public debt turn bad?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 99-113.
  86. Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud & Jan M. Podivinsky, 2015. "Federal government debt and economic growth: Evidence from Malaysia," Progress in Development Studies, , vol. 15(3), pages 253-256, July.
  87. Kazakova, Maria & Trunin, Pavel, 2015. "Long-Term Prognosis of Basic Demographic and Macroeconomic Indicators in Russia," Published Papers 2308, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  88. Thammarak Moenjak & Kengjai Watjanapukka & Oramone Chantapant & Teeravit Pobsukhirun, 2010. "New Globalization: Risks and Opportunities for Thailand in the Next Decade," Working Papers 2010-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
  89. Ouyang, Alice Y. & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2014. "What determines external debt tipping points?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 215-225.
  90. D'Andrea, Sara, 2022. "A Meta-Analysis on the Debt-Growth Relationship," MPRA Paper 114409, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  91. Fir Nejc, 2022. "Does Debt Have Threshold Effects on Medium-Term Growth? Evidence from European Union Countries," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 68(2), pages 1-18, June.
  92. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Kingdom of the Netherlands-Aruba: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/259, International Monetary Fund.
  93. Atul A. DAR & Sal AMIRKHALKHALI, 2014. "On The Impact Of Public Debt On Economic Growth," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 21-32.
  94. Martins, Luis F., 2021. "The US debt–growth nexus along the business cycle," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  95. Law, Siong Hook & Ng, Chee Hung & Kutan, Ali M. & Law, Zhi Kei, 2021. "Public debt and economic growth in developing countries: Nonlinearity and threshold analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 26-40.
  96. Mustafa Koroglu, 2019. "Growth and Debt: An Endogenous Smooth Coefficient Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, February.
  97. F Marchionne & S Parekh, 2015. "Growth, Debt, and Inequality," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 20(2), pages 67-94, September.
  98. Guillaume Cléaud & Francisco de Castro Fernández & Jorge Durán Laguna & Lucia Granelli & Martin Hallet & Anne Jaubertie & Carlos Maravall Rodriguez & Diana Ognyanova & Balazs Palvolgyi & Tsvetan Tsali, 2019. "Cruising at Different Speeds: Similarities and Divergences between the German and the French Economies," European Economy - Discussion Papers 103, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  99. Susanne Neheider & Ludger Schuknecht, 2013. "Wachstum und Konsolidierung: ein Gegensatz?: zur Diskussion um "Austeritätspolitik" und "Wachstumsfalle"," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(2), pages 25-37.
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