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Long-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods
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- Ediev, Dalkhat M. & Sanderson, Warren C. & Scherbov, Sergei, 2019. "The inverse relationship between life expectancy-induced changes in the old-age dependency ratio and the prospective old-age dependency ratio," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 1-10.
- Lucia Zanotto & Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Stefano Mazzuco, 2021. "A Mixture-Function Mortality Model: Illustration of the Evolution of Premature Mortality," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 1-27, March.
- Booth, Heather, 2006. "Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 547-581.
- Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J.G., 2021. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 395-439.
- Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Robert Schoen, 2005. "Age-specific contributions to changes in the period and cohort life expectancy," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(3), pages 63-82.
- Pinheiro, Pedro Cisalpino & Queiroz, Bernardo L, 2018. "Regional Disparities in Brazilian Adult Mortality: an analysis using Modal Age at Death (M) and Compression of Mortality (IQR)," OSF Preprints t2ey3, Center for Open Science.
- Adrian Raftery & Jennifer Chunn & Patrick Gerland & Hana Ševčíková, 2013. "Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(3), pages 777-801, June.
- Heba Soltan Mohamed & M. Masoom Ali & Haitham M. Yousof, 2023. "The Lindley Gompertz Model for Estimating the Survival Rates: Properties and Applications in Insurance," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(5), pages 1199-1216, October.
- Shiro Horiuchi & Nadine Ouellette & Siu Lan Karen Cheung & Jean-Marie Robine, 2013. "Modal age at death: lifespan indicator in the era of longevity extension," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 11(1), pages 37-69.
- Marius D. Pascariu & Ugofilippo Basellini & José Manuel Aburto & Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2020. "The Linear Link: Deriving Age-Specific Death Rates from Life Expectancy," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, October.
- Wong, Chi Heem & Tsui, Albert K., 2015. "Forecasting life expectancy: Evidence from a new survival function," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 208-226.
- Siu Lan Karen Cheung & Jean-Marie Robine & Fred Paccaud & Alfio Marazzi, 2009. "Dissecting the compression of mortality in Switzerland, 1876-2005," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 21(19), pages 569-598.
- Holger Strulik & Sebastian Vollmer, 2013.
"Long-run trends of human aging and longevity,"
Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 26(4), pages 1303-1323, October.
- Holger Strulik & Sebastian Vollmer, 2011. "Long-Run Trends of Human Aging and Longevity," PGDA Working Papers 7311, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
- Alessandro Feraldi & Virginia Zarulli & Stefano Mazzuco & Cristina Giudici, 2024. "Functional data analysis approach in population studies: an application to the gender gap in life expectancy," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 5125-5150, December.
- Heather Booth & Rob Hyndman & Piet de Jong & Leonie Tickle, 2006.
"Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions,"
Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 15(9), pages 289-310.
- Heather Booth & Rob J Hyndman & Leonie Tickle & Piet de Jong, 2006. "Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Monika Papież & Sabina Denkowska, 2010. "The Analysis of Mortality Changes In Selected European Countries in the Period 1960–2006," Statistics in Transition new series, Główny Urząd Statystyczny (Polska), vol. 11(3), pages 563-584, December.
- Duncan Gillespie & Meredith Trotter & Shripad Tuljapurkar, 2014. "Divergence in Age Patterns of Mortality Change Drives International Divergence in Lifespan Inequality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 51(3), pages 1003-1017, June.
- Strulik, Holger, 2015. "Frailty, mortality, and the demand for medical care," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 5-12.
- Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2011. "A Dynamic Extension of the Period Life Table," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 24(34), pages 831-854.
- Alyson van Raalte & Pekka Martikainen & Mikko Myrskylä, 2014. "Lifespan Variation by Occupational Class: Compression or Stagnation Over Time?," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 51(1), pages 73-95, February.
- Gao, Huan & Mamon, Rogemar & Liu, Xiaoming & Tenyakov, Anton, 2015. "Mortality modelling with regime-switching for the valuation of a guaranteed annuity option," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 108-120.
- Szymański Andrzej & Rossa Agnieszka, 2021. "The Complex-Number Mortality Model (CNMM) based on orthonormal expansion of membership functions," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 22(3), pages 31-57, September.
- Wong, Chi Heem & Tsui, Albert K, 2015. "Forecasting Life Expectancy: Evidence from a New Survival Function," CEI Working Paper Series 2015-1, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Edouard Debonneuil & Anne Eyraud-Loisel & Frédéric Planchet, 2018.
"Can Pension Funds Partially Manage Longevity Risk by Investing in a Longevity Megafund?,"
Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-27, July.
- Edouard Debonneuil & Anne Eyraud-Loisel & Frédéric Planchet, 2018. "Can Pension Funds Partially Manage Longevity Risk by Investing in a Longevity Megafund?," Post-Print hal-01571937, HAL.
- Ugofilippo Basellini & Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Adam Lenart, 2019. "Location–Scale Models in Demography: A Useful Re-parameterization of Mortality Models," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(4), pages 645-673, October.
- Yahia Salhi & Pierre-Emmanuel Thérond & Julien Tomas, 2016. "A Credibility Approach of the Makeham Mortality Law," Post-Print hal-01232683, HAL.
- Andrzej Szymański & Agnieszka Rossa, 2021. "The Complex-Number Mortality Model (CNMM) based on orthonormal expansion of membership function," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 22(3), pages 31-57, September.
- Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Queiroz, Bernardo L & Lima, Everton, 2017. "Compression of mortality: the evolution in the variability in the age of death in Latin America," OSF Preprints pdnfk, Center for Open Science.
- María-Dolores Huete-Morales & Esteban Navarrete-Álvarez & María-Jesús Rosales-Moreno & María-José Del-Moral-Ávila & José-Manuel Quesada-Rubio, 2020. "Modelling the survival function of the Spanish population by the Wong–Tsui model with the incorporation of frailty and covariates," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 151-163, August.
- Matthias Börger & Martin Genz & Jochen Ruß, 2018. "Extension, Compression, and Beyond: A Unique Classification System for Mortality Evolution Patterns," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(4), pages 1343-1361, August.
- Shripad Tuljapurkar & Ryan Edwards, 2011.
"Variance in death and its implications for modeling and forecasting mortality,"
Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 24(21), pages 497-526.
- Shripad Tuljapurkar & Ryan D. Edwards, 2009. "Variance in Death and Its Implications for Modeling and Forecasting Mortality," NBER Working Papers 15288, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Fanny Janssen & Leo Wissen & Anton Kunst, 2013. "Including the Smoking Epidemic in Internationally Coherent Mortality Projections," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(4), pages 1341-1362, August.
- Iñaki Permanyer & Jeroen Spijker & Amand Blanes & Elisenda Renteria, 2018. "Longevity and Lifespan Variation by Educational Attainment in Spain: 1960–2015," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(6), pages 2045-2070, December.
- Dustin Brown & Mark Hayward & Jennifer Montez & Robert Hummer & Chi-Tsun Chiu & Mira Hidajat, 2012. "The Significance of Education for Mortality Compression in the United States," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 49(3), pages 819-840, August.
- Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2008. "The modal age at death and the shifting mortality hypothesis," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 19(30), pages 1179-1204.
- A. Roger Thatcher & Shiro Horiuchi & Siu Lan Karen Cheung & Jean-Marie Robine, 2010. "The compression of deaths above the mode," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 22(17), pages 505-538.
- Haberman, Steven & Renshaw, Arthur, 2013. "Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 150-168.
- Dalkhat M. Ediev, 2009. "Extrapolative Projections of Mortality: Towards a More Consistent Method," VID Working Papers 0803, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
- Dalkhat M. Ediev, 2013. "Decompression of Period Old-Age Mortality: When Adjusted for Bias, the Variance in the Ages at Death Shows Compression," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 137-154, July.
- Massimiliano Menzietti & Maria Francesca Morabito & Manuela Stranges, 2019. "Mortality Projections for Small Populations: An Application to the Maltese Elderly," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-25, March.
- Hwang Yawen & Huang Hong-Chih, 2012. "Modified Logistic Model for Mortality Forecasting and the Application of Mortality-Linked Securities," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Cadena, Meitner & Denuit, Michel, 2016. "Semi-parametric accelerated hazard relational models with applications to mortality projections," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-16.
- Alyson A. van Raalte & Pekka Martikainen & Mikko Myrskylä, 2012. "Lifespan variation by occupational class: compression or stagnation over time?," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2012-010, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
- Trifon Missov & Vladimir Canudas-Romo & James W. Vaupel & Adam Lenart & Laszlo Nemeth, 2015. "The Gompertz force of mortality in terms of the modal age at death," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 32(36), pages 1031-1048.
- Elizabeth Wrigley-Field, 2014. "Mortality Deceleration and Mortality Selection: Three Unexpected Implications of a Simple Model," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 51(1), pages 51-71, February.
- Jorge M. Uribe & Helena Chuliá & Montserrat Guillen, 2018. "Trends in the Quantiles of the Life Table Survivorship Function," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 34(5), pages 793-817, December.
- Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2010. "Three measures of longevity: Time trends and record values," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 47(2), pages 299-312, May.
- Isaac Sasson, 2016. "Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation by Educational Attainment: United States, 1990–2010," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 53(2), pages 269-293, April.
- repec:hal:wpaper:hal-01232683 is not listed on IDEAS
- Han Lin Shang & Rob J Hyndman & Heather Booth, 2010. "A comparison of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Ryan D. Edwards, 2010. "Trends in World Inequality in Life Span Since 1970," NBER Working Papers 16088, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christina Bohk-Ewald & Marcus Ebeling & Roland Rau, 2017. "Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(4), pages 1559-1577, August.
- Joel E. Cohen & Roland Rau & Christina Bohk-Ewald, 2018. "Gompertz, Makeham, and Siler models explain Taylor's law in human mortality data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 38(29), pages 773-842.
- Péter Vékás, 2020. "Rotation of the age pattern of mortality improvements in the European Union," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 28(3), pages 1031-1048, September.
- Annette Baudisch & Jose Manuel Aburto, 2024. "How lifespan and life years lost equate to unity," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 50(24), pages 643-666.
- Han Lin Shang & Heather Booth & Rob Hyndman, 2011. "Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 25(5), pages 173-214.
- Fanny Janssen & Anton Kunst & Johan Mackenbach, 2007. "Variations in the pace of old-age mortality decline in seven European countries, 1950–1999: the role of smoking and other factors earlier in life," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 23(2), pages 171-188, June.
- Ting Li & Yang Yang & James Anderson, 2013. "Mortality Increase in Late-Middle and Early-Old Age: Heterogeneity in Death Processes as a New Explanation," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(5), pages 1563-1591, October.
- Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher & Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Marcus Ebeling, 2015. "Decomposing changes in life expectancy: Compression versus shifting mortality," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 33(14), pages 391-424.
- Nadine Ouellette & Robert Bourbeau, 2011. "Changes in the age-at-death distribution in four low mortality countries: A nonparametric approach," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 25(19), pages 595-628.
- Sergei Scherbov & Dalkhat Ediev, 2016. "Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 34(2), pages 39-62.
- Basellini, Ugofilippo & Kjærgaard, Søren & Camarda, Carlo Giovanni, 2020. "An age-at-death distribution approach to forecast cohort mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 129-143.
- Nan Li & Ronald Lee & Patrick Gerland, 2013. "Extending the Lee-Carter Method to Model the Rotation of Age Patterns of Mortality Decline for Long-Term Projections," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(6), pages 2037-2051, December.
- Dennis M. Feehan, 2018. "Separating the Signal From the Noise: Evidence for Deceleration in Old-Age Death Rates," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(6), pages 2025-2044, December.