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Valuation of Commodity-Based Swing Options
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- Jiao Wang & Lima Zhao & Arnd Huchzermeier, 2021. "Operations‐Finance Interface in Risk Management: Research Evolution and Opportunities," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(2), pages 355-389, February.
- Zhang, Xiaokong & Chai, Jian & Tian, Lingyue & Pan, Yue & Wang, Jiaoyan, 2024. "What drives the high-risk spillover of benchmark oil prices into China's LNG market?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
- Guoming Lai & Mulan X. Wang & Sunder Kekre & Alan Scheller-Wolf & Nicola Secomandi, 2011. "Valuation of Storage at a Liquefied Natural Gas Terminal," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(3), pages 602-616, June.
- Dong, Wenfeng & Kang, Boda, 2019. "Analysis of a multiple year gas sales agreement with make-up, carry-forward and indexation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 76-96.
- Anna Maria Gambaro & Nicola Secomandi, 2021. "A Discussion of Non‐Gaussian Price Processes for Energy and Commodity Operations," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(1), pages 47-67, January.
- Yangfang (Helen) Zhou & Alan Scheller-Wolf & Nicola Secomandi & Stephen Smith, 2016. "Electricity Trading and Negative Prices: Storage vs. Disposal," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(3), pages 880-898, March.
- Víctor Manuel García de la Vega & Antonio Ruiz Porras, 2009.
"Modelos Estocásticos para el Precio Spot y del Futuro de Commodities con Alta Volatilidad y Reversión a la Media,"
Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 3(2), pages 1-24.
- García de la Vega, Victor Manuel & Ruiz-Porras, Antonio, 2009. "Modelos estocásticos para el precio spot y del futuro de commodities con alta volatilidad y reversión a la media [Stochastic models for the spot and future prices of commodities with high volatilit," MPRA Paper 23177, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Cartea, Álvaro & Williams, Thomas, 2008.
"UK gas markets: The market price of risk and applications to multiple interruptible supply contracts,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 829-846, May.
- Alvaro Cartea & Thomas Williams, 2006. "UK Gas Markets: the Market Price of Risk and Applications to Multiple Interruptible Supply Contracts," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0608, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Dahlgren, Eric & Leung, Tim, 2015.
"An optimal multiple stopping approach to infrastructure investment decisions,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 251-267.
- Eric Dahlgren & Tim Leung, 2015. "An Optimal Multiple Stopping Approach to Infrastructure Investment Decisions," Papers 1502.00861, arXiv.org.
- E. Nasakkala & J. Keppo, 2008. "Hydropower with Financial Information," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5-6), pages 503-529.
- Soren Christensen & Albrecht Irle & Stephan Jurgens, 2012. "Optimal multiple stopping with random waiting times," Papers 1205.1966, arXiv.org.
- Alejandro Mac Cawley & Maximiliano Cubillos & Rodrigo Pascual, 2020. "A real options approach for joint overhaul and replacement strategies with mean reverting prices," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 286(1), pages 303-324, March.
- R. Mark Reesor & T. James Marshall, 2020. "Forest of Stochastic Trees: A Method for Valuing Multiple Exercise Options," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-31, May.
- Paul Glasserman & Zhenyu Wang, 2011. "Valuing the Treasury's Capital Assistance Program," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(7), pages 1195-1211, July.
- Dong Gu Choi & Daiki Min & Jong-hyun Ryu, 2018. "Economic Value Assessment and Optimal Sizing of an Energy Storage System in a Grid-Connected Wind Farm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-23, March.
- Mario Domingues de Paula Simões & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto & Leonardo Lima Gomes, 2016. "Electricity prices forecast analysis using the extreme value theory," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(1), pages 1-22.
- Aleksandrov, Nikolay & Espinoza, Raphael & Gyurkó, Lajos, 2013.
"Optimal oil production and the world supply of oil,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1248-1263.
- Nikolay Aleksandrov & Raphael Espinoza & Lajos Gyurko, 2012. "Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil," OxCarre Working Papers 092, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
- Karakoyun, Ece Cigdem & Avci, Harun & Kocaman, Ayse Selin & Nadar, Emre, 2023. "Deviations from commitments: Markov decision process formulations for the role of energy storage," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
- Hendrik Kohrs & Hermann Mühlichen & Benjamin R. Auer & Frank Schuhmacher, 2019. "Pricing and risk of swing contracts in natural gas markets," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 77-167, April.
- Tiziano De Angelis & Yerkin Kitapbayev, 2018. "On the Optimal Exercise Boundaries of Swing Put Options," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 43(1), pages 252-274, February.
- Xavier Warin, 2012. "Hedging Swing contract on gas markets," Papers 1208.5303, arXiv.org.
- Edoli, Enrico & Fiorenzani, Stefano & Ravelli, Samuele & Vargiolu, Tiziano, 2013. "Modeling and valuing make-up clauses in gas swing contracts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 58-73.
- Angelica Gianfreda & Derek Bunn, 2018. "A Stochastic Latent Moment Model for Electricity Price Formation," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS46, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- Möst, Dominik & Keles, Dogan, 2010. "A survey of stochastic modelling approaches for liberalised electricity markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 543-556, December.
- Yangfang (Helen) Zhou & Alan Scheller‐Wolf & Nicola Secomandi & Stephen Smith, 2019. "Managing Wind‐Based Electricity Generation in the Presence of Storage and Transmission Capacity," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 28(4), pages 970-989, April.
- Warren J. Hahn & James S. Dyer, 2011. "A Discrete Time Approach for Modeling Two-Factor Mean-Reverting Stochastic Processes," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 8(3), pages 220-232, September.
- d'Halluin, Y. & Forsyth, P.A. & Vetzal, K.R., 2007. "Wireless network capacity management: A real options approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 584-609, January.
- Nicola Secomandi, 2010. "Optimal Commodity Trading with a Capacitated Storage Asset," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(3), pages 449-467, March.
- Kovacevic, Raimund M. & Pflug, Georg Ch., 2014. "Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: A survey and new approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(2), pages 389-403.
- Rodrigo S. Targino & Gareth W. Peters & Georgy Sofronov & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2013. "Optimal insurance purchase strategies via optimal multiple stopping times," Papers 1312.0424, arXiv.org.
- M. Wahab & Chi-Guhn Lee, 2011. "Pricing swing options with regime switching," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 185(1), pages 139-160, May.
- M’hamed Gaïgi & Stéphane Goutte & Idris Kharroubi & Thomas Lim, 2021.
"Optimal risk management problem of natural resources: application to oil drilling,"
Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 147-166, February.
- M’hamed Gaîgi & Stéphane Goutte & Idris Kharroubi & Thomas Lim, 2019. "Optimal risk management problem of natural resources: Application to oil drilling," Working Papers halshs-01968000, HAL.
- Vincent Lemaire & Gilles Pag`es & Christian Yeo, 2023. "Swing contract pricing: with and without Neural Networks," Papers 2306.03822, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Felix, Bastian Joachim & Weber, Christoph, 2012. "Gas storage valuation applying numerically constructed recombining trees," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 178-187.
- Selvaprabu Nadarajah & François Margot & Nicola Secomandi, 2015. "Relaxations of Approximate Linear Programs for the Real Option Management of Commodity Storage," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(12), pages 3054-3076, December.
- Owen Q. Wu & Derek D. Wang & Zhenwei Qin, 2012. "Seasonal Energy Storage Operations with Limited Flexibility: The Price-Adjusted Rolling Intrinsic Policy," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 14(3), pages 455-471, July.
- Rodrigo S. Targino & Gareth W. Peters & Georgy Sofronov & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2017. "Optimal Exercise Strategies for Operational Risk Insurance via Multiple Stopping Times," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 487-518, June.
- Hahn, Warren J. & Dyer, James S., 2008. "Discrete time modeling of mean-reverting stochastic processes for real option valuation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 534-548, January.
- Hanfeld, Marc & Schlüter, Stephan, 2016. "Operating a swing option on today's gas markets: How least squares Monte Carlo works and why it is beneficial," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 10/2016, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
- Matt Thompson & Matt Davison & Henning Rasmussen, 2009. "Natural gas storage valuation and optimization: A real options application," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(3), pages 226-238, April.
- Giorgia Callegaro & Luciano Campi & Valeria Giusto & Tiziano Vargiolu, 2017.
"Utility indifference pricing and hedging for structured contracts in energy markets,"
Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 85(2), pages 265-303, April.
- Giorgia Callegaro & Luciano Campi & Valeria Giusto & Tiziano Vargiolu, 2014. "Utility indifference pricing and hedging for structured contracts in energy markets," Papers 1407.7725, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
- Callegaro, Giorgia & Campi, Luciano & Giusto, Valeria & Vargiolu, Tiziano, 2017. "Utility indifference pricing and hedging for structured contracts in energy markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68953, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Sripad K. Devalkar & Ravi Anupindi & Amitabh Sinha, 2011. "Integrated Optimization of Procurement, Processing, and Trade of Commodities," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(6), pages 1369-1381, December.
- Guoming Lai & François Margot & Nicola Secomandi, 2010. "An Approximate Dynamic Programming Approach to Benchmark Practice-Based Heuristics for Natural Gas Storage Valuation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 58(3), pages 564-582, June.
- Marcus Eriksson & Jukka Lempa & Trygve Nilssen, 2014.
"Swing options in commodity markets: a multidimensional Lévy diffusion model,"
Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 79(1), pages 31-67, February.
- Marcus Eriksson & Jukka Lempa & Trygve Kastberg Nilssen, 2013. "Swing options in commodity markets: A multidimensional L\'evy diffusion model," Papers 1302.6399, arXiv.org.
- Cartea, Álvaro & González-Pedraz, Carlos, 2012.
"How much should we pay for interconnecting electricity markets? A real options approach,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 14-30.
- Cartea, Álvaro & González-Pedraz, Carlos, 2010. "How much should we pay for interconnecting electricity markets? A real options approach," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB wb103206, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa de la Empresa.
- Chris Kenyon & Andrew Green, 2016. "Option-Based Pricing of Wrong Way Risk for CVA," Papers 1609.00819, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
- Christian Bender, 2011. "Dual pricing of multi-exercise options under volume constraints," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 1-26, January.
- Tapio Behrndt & Ren-Raw Chen, 2022. "A New Look at the Swing Contract: From Linear Programming to Particle Swarm Optimization," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, May.
- Nicola Secomandi & Guoming Lai & François Margot & Alan Scheller-Wolf & Duane J. Seppi, 2015. "Merchant Commodity Storage and Term-Structure Model Error," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 17(3), pages 302-320, July.
- Christian Bender & Nikolai Dokuchaev, 2013. "A First-Order BSPDE for Swing Option Pricing," Papers 1305.3988, arXiv.org.
- Francisco Bernal & Emmanuel Gobet & Jacques Printems, 2020. "Volatility Uncertainty Quantification in a Stochastic Control Problem Applied to Energy," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 135-159, March.
- Nikodinoska, Dragana & Käso, Mathias & Müsgens, Felix, 2022. "Solar and wind power generation forecasts using elastic net in time-varying forecast combinations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
- Jinniao Qiu & Antony Ware & Yang Yang, 2024. "Stochastic Path-Dependent Volatility Models for Price-Storage Dynamics in Natural Gas Markets and Discrete-Time Swing Option Pricing," Papers 2406.16400, arXiv.org.
- Nicola Secomandi & Sunder Kekre, 2014. "Optimal Energy Procurement in Spot and Forward Markets," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 16(2), pages 270-282, May.
- Fernandes, Gláucia & Lima Gomes, Leonardo & Teixeira Brandão, Luiz Eduardo, 2019. "Mitigating Hydrological Risk with Energy Derivatives," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 528-535.
- Liu, Xiaoran & Ronn, Ehud I., 2020. "Using the binomial model for the valuation of real options in computing optimal subsidies for Chinese renewable energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- N. Aleksandrov & B. Hambly, 2010. "A dual approach to multiple exercise option problems under constraints," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 71(3), pages 503-533, June.
- René Carmona & Savas Dayanik, 2008. "Optimal Multiple Stopping of Linear Diffusions," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 33(2), pages 446-460, May.
- Nicolas Curin & Michael Kettler & Xi Kleisinger-Yu & Vlatka Komaric & Thomas Krabichler & Josef Teichmann & Hanna Wutte, 2021. "A deep learning model for gas storage optimization," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1021-1037, December.
- John Schoenmakers, 2012. "A pure martingale dual for multiple stopping," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 319-334, April.
- Secomandi, Nicola & Seppi, Duane J., 2014. "Real Options and Merchant Operations of Energy and Other Commodities," Foundations and Trends(R) in Technology, Information and Operations Management, now publishers, vol. 6(3-4), pages 161-331, July.
- Nadarajah, Selvaprabu & Secomandi, Nicola, 2023. "A review of the operations literature on real options in energy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(2), pages 469-487.
- Roberto Daluiso & Emanuele Nastasi & Andrea Pallavicini & Giulio Sartorelli, 2020. "Pricing commodity swing options," Papers 2001.08906, arXiv.org.
- Nicolas Essis-Breton & Patrice Gaillardetz, 2020. "Fast Lower and Upper Estimates for the Price of Constrained Multiple Exercise American Options by Single Pass Lookahead Search and Nearest-Neighbor Martingale," Papers 2002.11258, arXiv.org.
- Nicola Secomandi, 2010. "On the Pricing of Natural Gas Pipeline Capacity," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 12(3), pages 393-408, October.
- Abel Cadenillas & Robert Elliott & Hong Miao & Zhenyu Wu, 2009. "Risk-Hedging in Real Estate Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 16(4), pages 265-285, December.
- Nadarajah, Selvaprabu & Margot, François & Secomandi, Nicola, 2017. "Comparison of least squares Monte Carlo methods with applications to energy real options," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(1), pages 196-204.
- Kourouvakalis, Stylianos, 2008. "Méthodes numériques pour la valorisation d'options swings et autres problèmes sur les matières premières," Economics Thesis from University Paris Dauphine, Paris Dauphine University, number 123456789/116 edited by Geman, Hélyette.
- Ross Baldick & Sergey Kolos & Stathis Tompaidis, 2006. "Interruptible Electricity Contracts from an Electricity Retailer's Point of View: Valuation and Optimal Interruption," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(4), pages 627-642, August.
- Pflug, Georg C. & Broussev, Nikola, 2009. "Electricity swing options: Behavioral models and pricing," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(3), pages 1041-1050, September.