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Maximum-likelihood estimation for hidden Markov models

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Driffill, John & Sola, Martin & Kenc, Turalay & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2004. "On Model Selection and Markov Switching: A Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts," CEPR Discussion Papers 4165, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Ahmed Belhadjayed & Grégoire Loeper & Frédéric Abergel, 2016. "Forecasting Trends With Asset Prices," Post-Print hal-01512431, HAL.
  3. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "On an integer-valued stochastic intensity model for time series of counts," MPRA Paper 105406, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Douc, Randal & Olsson, Jimmy & Roueff, François, 2020. "Posterior consistency for partially observed Markov models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 733-759.
  5. Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde, 2009. "What tames the Celtic Tiger? Portfolio implications from a Multivariate Markov Switching model," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(6), pages 463-488.
  6. Guidolin, Massimo & Ono, Sadayuki, 2006. "Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(5-6), pages 480-518.
  7. Rydén, Tobias, 1997. "On recursive estimation for hidden Markov models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 79-96, February.
  8. Kasahara, Hiroyuki & Shimotsu, Katsumi, 2019. "Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in regime switching econometric models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 442-467.
  9. Arielle Beyaert & Juan rez-Castej, 2000. "Switching regime models in the Spanish inter-bank market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 93-112.
  10. Lux, Thomas, 2017. "Estimation of agent-based models using sequential Monte Carlo methods," Economics Working Papers 2017-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  11. Guillou, Armelle & Loisel, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2013. "Estimation of the parameters of a Markov-modulated loss process in insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 388-404.
  12. Olsson, Jimmy & Rydén, Tobias, 2008. "Asymptotic properties of particle filter-based maximum likelihood estimators for state space models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(4), pages 649-680, April.
  13. Hu, Shulan & Wu, Liming, 2011. "Large deviations for random dynamical systems and applications to hidden Markov models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 61-90, January.
  14. Bibi, Abdelouahab & Ghezal, Ahmed, 2015. "Consistency of quasi-maximum likelihood estimator for Markov-switching bilinear time series models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 192-202.
  15. Joanna Rodríguez & Rosa E. Lillo & Pepa Ramírez-Cobo, 2016. "Nonidentifiability of the Two-State BMAP," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 81-106, March.
  16. Mark, Brian L. & Ephraim, Yariv, 2013. "An EM algorithm for continuous-time bivariate Markov chains," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 504-517.
  17. Paul Doukhan & Konstantinos Fokianos & Joseph Rynkiewicz, 2021. "Mixtures of Nonlinear Poisson Autoregressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 107-135, January.
  18. Dannemann, Jorn & Holzmann, Hajo, 2008. "The likelihood ratio test for hidden Markov models in two-sample problems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 1850-1859, January.
  19. Diana J. Cole, 2019. "Parameter redundancy and identifiability in hidden Markov models," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 77(2), pages 105-118, August.
  20. Hiroyuki Kasahara & Katsumi Shimotsu, 2018. "Testing the Number of Regimes in Markov Regime Switching Models," Papers 1801.06862, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
  21. María Luz Gámiz & Nikolaos Limnios & Mari Carmen Segovia-García, 2023. "The continuous-time hidden Markov model based on discretization. Properties of estimators and applications," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 525-550, October.
  22. Genon-Catalot, Valentine, 2003. "A non-linear explicit filter," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 145-154, January.
  23. Chib, Siddhartha, 1996. "Calculating posterior distributions and modal estimates in Markov mixture models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 79-97, November.
  24. Peiming Wang & Martin Puterman, 1999. "Markov Poisson regression models for discrete time series. Part 1: Methodology," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(7), pages 855-869.
  25. Francq, C. & Zakoian, J. -M., 2001. "Stationarity of multivariate Markov-switching ARMA models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(2), pages 339-364, June.
  26. Lacour, Claire, 2008. "Adaptive estimation of the transition density of a particular hidden Markov chain," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(5), pages 787-814, May.
  27. Ramírez Cobo, Josefa, 2008. "On identifiability of MAP processes," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws084613, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  28. Francesco Chincoli & Massimo Guidolin, 2017. "Linear and nonlinear predictability in investment style factors: multivariate evidence," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(6), pages 476-509, October.
  29. Jörn Dannemann & Hajo Holzmann, 2008. "Likelihood Ratio Testing for Hidden Markov Models Under Non‐standard Conditions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 35(2), pages 309-321, June.
  30. Philippe Charlot & Vêlayoudom Marimoutou, 2008. "Hierarchical hidden Markov structure for dynamic correlations: the hierarchical RSDC model," Working Papers halshs-00285866, HAL.
  31. Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 285-302, April.
  32. James Y. Dai & Peter B. Gilbert & Benoît R. Mâsse, 2012. "Partially Hidden Markov Model for Time-Varying Principal Stratification in HIV Prevention Trials," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 52-65, March.
  33. Hiroyuki Kasahara & Katsumi Shimotsu, 2017. "Asymptotic Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator in Regime Switching Econometric Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1049, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  34. Verschuren, Robert Matthijs, 2022. "Frequency-severity experience rating based on latent Markovian risk profiles," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 379-392.
  35. Genon-Catalot, Valentine & Laredo, Catherine, 2006. "Leroux's method for general hidden Markov models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 116(2), pages 222-243, February.
  36. Rachel MacKay Altman, 2004. "Assessing the Goodness-of-Fit of Hidden Markov Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 444-450, June.
  37. Zhao, Haibing & Fung, Wing Kam, 2016. "A powerful FDR control procedure for multiple hypotheses," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 60-70.
  38. Maruotti, Antonello & Punzo, Antonio, 2017. "Model-based time-varying clustering of multivariate longitudinal data with covariates and outliers," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 475-496.
  39. Massimo Guidolin, 2013. "Markov switching models in asset pricing research," Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 1, pages 3-44, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  40. Kenwin Maung, 2021. "Estimating high-dimensional Markov-switching VARs," Papers 2107.12552, arXiv.org.
  41. Chaojun Li & Yan Liu, 2020. "Asymptotic Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator in Regime-Switching Models with Time-Varying Transition Probabilities," Papers 2010.04930, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
  42. Lux, Thomas, 2018. "Estimation of agent-based models using sequential Monte Carlo methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 391-408.
  43. Tingting Cui & Pengfei Wang & Wensheng Zhu, 2021. "Covariate-adjusted multiple testing in genome-wide association studies via factorial hidden Markov models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 30(3), pages 737-757, September.
  44. Antonio Punzo & Salvatore Ingrassia & Antonello Maruotti, 2021. "Multivariate hidden Markov regression models: random covariates and heavy-tailed distributions," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1519-1555, June.
  45. repec:jss:jstsof:36:i07 is not listed on IDEAS
  46. Leland E. Farmer, 2021. "The discretization filter: A simple way to estimate nonlinear state space models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(1), pages 41-76, January.
  47. Xia, Ye-Mao & Tang, Nian-Sheng, 2019. "Bayesian analysis for mixture of latent variable hidden Markov models with multivariate longitudinal data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 190-211.
  48. Anton Molyboha & Michael Zabarankin, 2012. "Stochastic Optimization of Sensor Placement for Diver Detection," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(2), pages 292-312, April.
  49. Massimo Guidolin & Stuart Hyde, 2008. "Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK," Working Papers 2008-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  50. Holger Fink & Yulia Klimova & Claudia Czado & Jakob Stöber, 2017. "Regime Switching Vine Copula Models for Global Equity and Volatility Indices," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-38, January.
  51. Turner, Rolf, 2008. "Direct maximization of the likelihood of a hidden Markov model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(9), pages 4147-4160, May.
  52. Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 285-302, April.
  53. Smith Aaron, 2012. "Markov Breaks in Regression Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-35, May.
  54. Wenguang Sun & T. Tony Cai, 2009. "Large‐scale multiple testing under dependence," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(2), pages 393-424, April.
  55. Catherine Matias & Vincent Miele, 2017. "Statistical clustering of temporal networks through a dynamic stochastic block model," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(4), pages 1119-1141, September.
  56. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Touche, Nassim, 2019. "Integer-valued stochastic volatility," MPRA Paper 91962, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Feb 2019.
  57. G. Nuel, 2019. "Moments of the Count of a Regular Expression in a Heterogeneous Random Sequence," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 875-887, September.
  58. Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed & Gr'egoire Loeper & Fr'ed'eric Abergel, 2015. "Forecasting trends with asset prices," Papers 1504.03934, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2015.
  59. Paolo Giudici & Tobias Ryden & Pierre Vandekerkhove, 2000. "Likelihood-Ratio Tests for Hidden Markov Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 56(3), pages 742-747, September.
  60. Driffill John & Kenc Turalay & Sola Martin & Spagnolo Fabio, 2009. "The Effects of Different Parameterizations of Markov-Switching in a CIR Model of Bond Pricing," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1-24, March.
  61. Yushu Li & Simon Reese, 2014. "Wavelet improvement in turning point detection using a hidden Markov model: from the aspects of cyclical identification and outlier correction," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(6), pages 1481-1496, December.
  62. Ramírez Cobo, Josefa, 2009. "Non-identifiability of the two state Markovian Arrival process," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws097121, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
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