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A deep learning ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting

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Cited by:

  1. Jen-Yu Lee & Tien-Thinh Nguyen & Hong-Giang Nguyen & Jen-Yao Lee, 2022. "Towards Predictive Crude Oil Purchase: A Case Study in the USA and Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, May.
  2. Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
  3. Thakur, Jagruti & Hesamzadeh, Mohammad Reza & Date, Paresh & Bunn, Derek, 2023. "Pricing and hedging wind power prediction risk with binary option contracts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  4. Shao, Zhen & Zheng, Qingru & Yang, Shanlin & Gao, Fei & Cheng, Manli & Zhang, Qiang & Liu, Chen, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting the electricity clearing price: A novel BELM based pattern classification framework and a comparative analytic study on multi-layer BELM and LSTM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  5. Jha, Nimish & Kumar Tanneru, Hemanth & Palla, Sridhar & Hussain Mafat, Iradat, 2024. "Multivariate analysis and forecasting of the crude oil prices: Part I – Classical machine learning approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
  6. Yuanrong Wang & Yinsen Miao & Alexander CY Wong & Nikita P Granger & Christian Michler, 2023. "Domain-adapted Learning and Interpretability: DRL for Gas Trading," Papers 2301.08359, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
  7. Tang, Ling & Wu, Yao & Yu, Lean, 2018. "A randomized-algorithm-based decomposition-ensemble learning methodology for energy price forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 526-538.
  8. Liyang Tang, 2020. "Application of Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Input (NARX) neural network in macroeconomic forecasting, national goal setting and global competitiveness assessment," Papers 2005.08735, arXiv.org.
  9. Apostolos Ampountolas & Titus Nyarko Nde & Paresh Date & Corina Constantinescu, 2021. "A Machine Learning Approach for Micro-Credit Scoring," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, March.
  10. Miguel Ángel Rodríguez López & Diego Rodríguez Rodríguez, 2024. "La aplicación de datos masivos en economía de la energía: una revisión," Working Papers 2024-08, FEDEA.
  11. Aziz Ezzat, Ahmed, 2020. "Turbine-specific short-term wind speed forecasting considering within-farm wind field dependencies and fluctuations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
  12. Lean Yu & Yueming Ma, 2021. "A Data-Trait-Driven Rolling Decomposition-Ensemble Model for Gasoline Consumption Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-26, July.
  13. Xiaolei Sun & Jun Hao & Jianping Li, 2022. "Multi-objective optimization of crude oil-supply portfolio based on interval prediction data," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 309(2), pages 611-639, February.
  14. Zhang, Pinyi & Ci, Bicong, 2020. "Deep belief network for gold price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  15. Omer Berat Sezer & Mehmet Ugur Gudelek & Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu, 2019. "Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019," Papers 1911.13288, arXiv.org.
  16. Li, Jingjing & Tang, Ling & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "Forecasting crude oil price with multilingual search engine data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
  17. Lili Pan & Lin Wang & Qianqian Feng, 2022. "A Bibliometric Analysis of Risk Management in Foreign Direct Investment: Insights and Implications," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, June.
  18. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.
  19. Kim, A. & Yang, Y. & Lessmann, S. & Ma, T. & Sung, M.-C. & Johnson, J.E.V., 2020. "Can deep learning predict risky retail investors? A case study in financial risk behavior forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 217-234.
  20. Cheng, Xian & Wu, Peng & Liao, Stephen Shaoyi & Wang, Xuelian, 2023. "An integrated model for crude oil forecasting: Causality assessment and technical efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  21. Zhang, Hong & Nguyen, Hoang & Bui, Xuan-Nam & Pradhan, Biswajeet & Mai, Ngoc-Luan & Vu, Diep-Anh, 2021. "Proposing two novel hybrid intelligence models for forecasting copper price based on extreme learning machine and meta-heuristic algorithms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  22. Parisa Foroutan & Salim Lahmiri, 2024. "Deep learning systems for forecasting the prices of crude oil and precious metals," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-40, December.
  23. Sen, Abhibasu & Dutta Choudhury, Karabi, 2024. "Forecasting the Crude Oil prices for last four decades using deep learning approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  24. Timo Dimitriadis & iaochun Liu & Julie Schnaitmann, 2023. "Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multistep Forecasts Based on Inference on the Boundary," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 412-444.
  25. Jian Ni & Yue Xu, 2023. "Forecasting the Dynamic Correlation of Stock Indices Based on Deep Learning Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 35-55, January.
  26. Huang, Lili & Wang, Jun, 2018. "Global crude oil price prediction and synchronization based accuracy evaluation using random wavelet neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 875-888.
  27. Abdollahi, Hooman & Ebrahimi, Seyed Babak, 2020. "A new hybrid model for forecasting Brent crude oil price," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  28. Radosław Puka & Bartosz Łamasz & Marek Michalski, 2021. "Effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks in Hedging against WTI Crude Oil Price Risk," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-26, June.
  29. Sun, Shaolong & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2018. "Interval decomposition ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 274-287.
  30. Wenhui Zhao & Tong Li & Danyang Xu & Zhaohua Wang, 2024. "A global forecasting method of heterogeneous household short-term load based on pre-trained autoencoder and deep-LSTM model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 339(1), pages 227-259, August.
  31. Safari, Ali & Davallou, Maryam, 2018. "Oil price forecasting using a hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 49-58.
  32. Mst. Shapna Akter & Hossain Shahriar & Reaz Chowdhury & M. R. C. Mahdy, 2022. "Forecasting the Risk Factor of Frontier Markets: A Novel Stacking Ensemble of Neural Network Approach," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, August.
  33. Jiangwei Liu & Xiaohong Huang, 2021. "Forecasting Crude Oil Price Using Event Extraction," Papers 2111.09111, arXiv.org.
  34. Junyong Wu & Chen Shi & Meiyang Shao & Ran An & Xiaowen Zhu & Xing Huang & Rong Cai, 2019. "Reactive Power Optimization of a Distribution System Based on Scene Matching and Deep Belief Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, August.
  35. Guo, Jingjun & Zhao, Zhengling & Sun, Jingyun & Sun, Shaolong, 2022. "Multi-perspective crude oil price forecasting with a new decomposition-ensemble framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  36. Nikseresht, Ali & Amindavar, Hamidreza, 2024. "Energy demand forecasting using adaptive ARFIMA based on a novel dynamic structural break detection framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
  37. Feng, Qianqian & Sun, Xiaolei & Hao, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2021. "Predictability dynamics of multifactor-influenced installed capacity: A perspective of country clustering," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  38. Hong, Ying-Yi & Satriani, Thursy Rienda Aulia, 2020. "Day-ahead spatiotemporal wind speed forecasting using robust design-based deep learning neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  39. Amar Rao & Marco Tedeschi & Kamel Si Mohammed & Umer Shahzad, 2024. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Energy Commodities Prices Forecasting: Evidence from a Hybrid Deep Learning Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3295-3315, December.
  40. Liwen Ling & Dabin Zhang & Shanying Chen & Amin W. Mugera, 2020. "Can online search data improve the forecast accuracy of pork price in China?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 671-686, July.
  41. Bhatia, Kushagra & Mittal, Rajat & Varanasi, Jyothi & Tripathi, M.M., 2021. "An ensemble approach for electricity price forecasting in markets with renewable energy resources," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  42. Syed Muhammad Mohsin & Tahir Maqsood & Sajjad Ahmed Madani, 2022. "Solar and Wind Energy Forecasting for Green and Intelligent Migration of Traditional Energy Sources," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-20, December.
  43. Wang, Jue & Zhou, Hao & Hong, Tao & Li, Xiang & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A multi-granularity heterogeneous combination approach to crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  44. Xu, Kunliang & Niu, Hongli, 2023. "Denoising or distortion: Does decomposition-reconstruction modeling paradigm provide a reliable prediction for crude oil price time series?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  45. Wu, Yu-Xi & Wu, Qing-Biao & Zhu, Jia-Qi, 2019. "Improved EEMD-based crude oil price forecasting using LSTM networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 114-124.
  46. Wang, Minggang & Zhao, Longfeng & Du, Ruijin & Wang, Chao & Chen, Lin & Tian, Lixin & Eugene Stanley, H., 2018. "A novel hybrid method of forecasting crude oil prices using complex network science and artificial intelligence algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 480-495.
  47. Hu, Huanling & Wang, Lin & Peng, Lu & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2020. "Effective energy consumption forecasting using enhanced bagged echo state network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  48. Gun Il Kim & Beakcheol Jang, 2023. "Petroleum Price Prediction with CNN-LSTM and CNN-GRU Using Skip-Connection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, January.
  49. Abdollahi, Hooman, 2020. "A novel hybrid model for forecasting crude oil price based on time series decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
  50. Suryanarayana, Gowri & Lago, Jesus & Geysen, Davy & Aleksiejuk, Piotr & Johansson, Christian, 2018. "Thermal load forecasting in district heating networks using deep learning and advanced feature selection methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 141-149.
  51. Xiao Yang & Weiqing Liu & Dong Zhou & Jiang Bian & Tie-Yan Liu, 2020. "Qlib: An AI-oriented Quantitative Investment Platform," Papers 2009.11189, arXiv.org.
  52. Indranil SenGupta & William Nganje & Erik Hanson, 2021. "Refinements of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard Model: An Analysis of Crude Oil Price with Machine Learning," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 39-55, March.
  53. Sun, Xiaolei & Chen, Xiuwen & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Multi-scale interactions between economic policy uncertainty and oil prices in time-frequency domains," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  54. Kui Wang & Jie Wan & Gang Li & Hao Sun, 2022. "A Hybrid Algorithm-Level Ensemble Model for Imbalanced Credit Default Prediction in the Energy Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-18, July.
  55. Huang, Wenyang & Gao, Tianxiao & Hao, Yun & Wang, Xiuqing, 2023. "Transformer-based forecasting for intraday trading in the Shanghai crude oil market: Analyzing open-high-low-close prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  56. David Alaminos & M. Belén Salas & Manuel A. Fernández-Gámez, 2022. "Quantum Computing and Deep Learning Methods for GDP Growth Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 803-829, February.
  57. Zhao, Yidan & Li, Hong, 2023. "Understanding municipal solid waste production and diversion factors utilizing deep-learning methods," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  58. Jun Hao & Xiaolei Sun & Qianqian Feng, 2020. "A Novel Ensemble Approach for the Forecasting of Energy Demand Based on the Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-25, January.
  59. Guo, Lili & Huang, Xinya & Li, Yanjiao & Li, Houjian, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil futures price using machine learning methods: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  60. Ehsan Hoseinzade & Saman Haratizadeh, 2018. "CNNPred: CNN-based stock market prediction using several data sources," Papers 1810.08923, arXiv.org.
  61. Mehmet Sahiner, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion During Major Crises: An Early Warning Approach Based on a Deep Learning Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2435-2499, June.
  62. Melike Bildirici & Nilgun Guler Bayazit & Yasemen Ucan, 2020. "Analyzing Crude Oil Prices under the Impact of COVID-19 by Using LSTARGARCHLSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, June.
  63. Zheng, Li & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "A novel interval-based hybrid framework for crude oil price forecasting and trading," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  64. Lin, Ling & Jiang, Yong & Xiao, Helu & Zhou, Zhongbao, 2020. "Crude oil price forecasting based on a novel hybrid long memory GARCH-M and wavelet analysis model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 543(C).
  65. Marcus Vinicius Santos & Fernando Morgado-Dias & Thiago C. Silva, 2023. "Oil Sector and Sentiment Analysis—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-29, June.
  66. Özgür Ömer Ersin & Melike Bildirici, 2023. "Financial Volatility Modeling with the GARCH-MIDAS-LSTM Approach: The Effects of Economic Expectations, Geopolitical Risks and Industrial Production during COVID-19," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, April.
  67. Gonçalves, Rui & Ribeiro, Vitor Miguel & Pereira, Fernando Lobo & Rocha, Ana Paula, 2019. "Deep learning in exchange markets," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 38-51.
  68. Athanasia Dimitriadou & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2018. "Oil Market Efficiency under a Machine Learning Perspective," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-12, October.
  69. Li, Jianping & Li, Guowen & Liu, Mingxi & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Wei, Lu, 2022. "A novel text-based framework for forecasting agricultural futures using massive online news headlines," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 35-50.
  70. Huck, Nicolas, 2019. "Large data sets and machine learning: Applications to statistical arbitrage," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(1), pages 330-342.
  71. Indranil Ghosh & Manas K. Sanyal & R. K. Jana, 2021. "Co-movement and Dynamic Correlation of Financial and Energy Markets: An Integrated Framework of Nonlinear Dynamics, Wavelet Analysis and DCC-GARCH," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 503-527, February.
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  79. Ke Yan & Yuting Dai & Meiling Xu & Yuchang Mo, 2019. "Tunnel Surface Settlement Forecasting with Ensemble Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
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  84. Kolesnikova, A. & Yang, Y. & Lessmann, S. & Ma, T. & Sung, M.-C. & Johnson, J.E.V., 2019. "Can Deep Learning Predict Risky Retail Investors? A Case Study in Financial Risk Behavior Forecasting," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-023, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  85. Brown, Bijon & Schoney, Richard & Nolan, James, 2021. "Assessing the food vs. fuel issue: An agent-based simulation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  86. Lu, Quanying & Li, Yuze & Chai, Jian & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "Crude oil price analysis and forecasting: A perspective of “new triangle”," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
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  90. Li, Jinchao & Zhu, Shaowen & Wu, Qianqian, 2019. "Monthly crude oil spot price forecasting using variational mode decomposition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 240-253.
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