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Assessing value at risk with CARE, the Conditional Autoregressive Expectile models

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Taoufik Bouezmarni & Mohamed Doukali & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2024. "Testing Granger non-causality in expectiles," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(1), pages 30-51, January.
  2. Xiu Xu & Andrija Mihoci & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "lCARE -- localizing Conditional AutoRegressive Expectiles," Papers 2009.13215, arXiv.org.
  3. Busetti, Fabio & Caivano, Michele & Delle Monache, Davide & Pacella, Claudia, 2021. "The time-varying risk of Italian GDP," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  4. Yingying Jiang & Fuming Lin & Yong Zhou, 2021. "The kth power expectile regression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(1), pages 83-113, February.
  5. López-Espinosa, Germán & Moreno, Antonio & Rubia, Antonio & Valderrama, Laura, 2015. "Systemic risk and asymmetric responses in the financial industry," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 471-485.
  6. Hamidi, Benjamin & Maillet, Bertrand & Prigent, Jean-Luc, 2014. "A dynamic autoregressive expectile for time-invariant portfolio protection strategies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-29.
  7. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2017. "Extreme M-quantiles as risk measures: From L1 to Lp optimization," TSE Working Papers 17-841, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  8. Alex Huang, 2013. "Value at risk estimation by quantile regression and kernel estimator," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 225-251, August.
  9. Syuhada, Khreshna & Hakim, Arief & Suprijanto, Djoko, 2024. "Assessing systemic risk and connectedness among dirty and clean energy markets from the quantile and expectile perspectives," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  10. Edgars Jakobsons & Steven Vanduffel, 2015. "Dependence Uncertainty Bounds for the Expectile of a Portfolio," Risks, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-25, December.
  11. Zhang, Feipeng & Li, Qunhua, 2017. "A continuous threshold expectile model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 49-66.
  12. Shangyu Xie & Yong Zhou & Alan T. K. Wan, 2014. "A Varying-Coefficient Expectile Model for Estimating Value at Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 576-592, October.
  13. Francesca Mariani & Gloria Polinesi & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2022. "A tail-revisited Markowitz mean-variance approach and a portfolio network centrality," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 425-455, July.
  14. Zongxia Liang & Jianming Xia & Keyu Zhang, 2023. "Equilibrium stochastic control with implicitly defined objective functions," Papers 2312.15173, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  15. Zhang, Feipeng & Xu, Yixiong & Fan, Caiyun, 2023. "Nonparametric inference of expectile-based value-at-risk for financial time series with application to risk assessment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  16. Man, Rebeka & Tan, Kean Ming & Wang, Zian & Zhou, Wen-Xin, 2024. "Retire: Robust expectile regression in high dimensions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
  17. Andrea C. Hupman & Jay Simon, 2023. "The Legacy of Peter Fishburn: Foundational Work and Lasting Impact," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 1-15, March.
  18. Damiano Rossello, 2022. "Performance measurement with expectiles," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 343-374, June.
  19. Taylor, James W., 2021. "Evaluating quantile-bounded and expectile-bounded interval forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 800-811.
  20. Carol Alexander & Jose Maria Sarabia, 2010. "Endogenizing Model Risk to Quantile Estimates," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2010-07, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  21. Song, Song & Ritov, Ya’acov & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2012. "Bootstrap confidence bands and partial linear quantile regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 244-262.
  22. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2018. "Tail expectile process and risk assessment," TSE Working Papers 18-944, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  23. Daouia, Abdelaati & Paindaveine, Davy, 2019. "Multivariate Expectiles, Expectile Depth and Multiple-Output Expectile Regression," TSE Working Papers 19-1022, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Feb 2023.
  24. Huang, Xiaolin & Shi, Lei & Suykens, Johan A.K., 2014. "Asymmetric least squares support vector machine classifiers," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 395-405.
  25. Huang, Alex YiHou, 2010. "An optimization process in Value-at-Risk estimation," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 109-116, August.
  26. Daouia, Abdelaati & Stupfler, Gilles & Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine, 2023. "An expectile computation cookbook," TSE Working Papers 23-1458, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  27. Yundong Tu & Siwei Wang, 2023. "Variable Screening and Model Averaging for Expectile Regressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 574-598, June.
  28. Chao, Shih-Kang & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining, 2012. "Quantile regression in risk calibration," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-006, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  29. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2019. "How to effectively estimate the time-varying risk spillover between crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from the expectile perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  30. Litimein, Ouahiba & Laksaci, Ali & Mechab, Boubaker & Bouzebda, Salim, 2023. "Local linear estimate of the functional expectile regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  31. Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles & Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine, 2022. "Functional estimation of extreme conditional expectiles," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 131-158.
  32. Tran, Ngoc M. & Burdejová, Petra & Ospienko, Maria & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2019. "Principal component analysis in an asymmetric norm," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-21.
  33. Wang, Bingling & Li, Yingxing & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2022. "K-expectiles clustering," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  34. Daouia, Abdelaati & Padoan, Simone A. & Stupfler, Gilles, 2023. "Extreme expectile estimation for short-tailed data, with an application to market risk assessment," TSE Working Papers 23-1414, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised May 2024.
  35. Ibrahim M. Almanjahie & Salim Bouzebda & Zoulikha Kaid & Ali Laksaci, 2024. "The local linear functional kNN estimator of the conditional expectile: uniform consistency in number of neighbors," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 87(8), pages 1007-1035, November.
  36. Zaevski, Tsvetelin S. & Nedeltchev, Dragomir C., 2023. "From BASEL III to BASEL IV and beyond: Expected shortfall and expectile risk measures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  37. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2022. "Spillover effects between commodity and stock markets: A SDSES approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  38. Stéphane Girard & Gilles Claude Stupfler & Antoine Usseglio-Carleve, 2021. "Extreme Conditional Expectile Estimation in Heavy-Tailed Heteroscedastic Regression Models," Post-Print hal-03306230, HAL.
  39. Jakobsons Edgars, 2016. "Scenario aggregation method for portfolio expectile optimization," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 33(1-2), pages 51-65, September.
  40. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-040 is not listed on IDEAS
  41. Natalia Nolde & Johanna F. Ziegel, 2016. "Elicitability and backtesting: Perspectives for banking regulation," Papers 1608.05498, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
  42. Bastianin, Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio & Manera, Matteo, 2014. "Causality and predictability in distribution: The ethanol–food price relation revisited," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 152-160.
  43. Carol Alexander & José María Sarabia, 2012. "Quantile Uncertainty and Value‐at‐Risk Model Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(8), pages 1293-1308, August.
  44. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-001 is not listed on IDEAS
  45. Dingshi Tian & Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang, 2018. "Econometric Modeling of Risk Measures: A Selective Review of the Recent Literature," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201807, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2018.
  46. Bellini, Fabio & Klar, Bernhard & Müller, Alfred & Rosazza Gianin, Emanuela, 2014. "Generalized quantiles as risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 41-48.
  47. Abdelaati Daouia & Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler, 2018. "Estimation of tail risk based on extreme expectiles," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 80(2), pages 263-292, March.
  48. Mucahit Aygun & Fabio Bellini & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2023. "Elicitability of Return Risk Measures," Papers 2302.13070, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
  49. Alex YiHou Huang, 2010. "An optimization process in Value‐at‐Risk estimation," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(3), pages 109-116, August.
  50. Mohammedi, Mustapha & Bouzebda, Salim & Laksaci, Ali, 2021. "The consistency and asymptotic normality of the kernel type expectile regression estimator for functional data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
  51. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2021. "Risk spillover between Bitcoin and conventional financial markets: An expectile-based approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  52. Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler & Antoine Usseglio‐Carleve, 2022. "Nonparametric extreme conditional expectile estimation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(1), pages 78-115, March.
  53. Bianconi, Marcelo & Hua, Xiaxin & Tan, Chih Ming, 2015. "Determinants of systemic risk and information dissemination," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 352-368.
  54. Antonio Rubia Serrano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2015. "Measuring Tail-Risk Cross-Country Exposures in the Banking Industry," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-01, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
  55. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Ritov, Ya'acov & Song, Song, 2010. "Partial linear quantile regression and bootstrap confidence bands," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-002, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  56. Righi, Marcelo Brutti & Ceretta, Paulo Sergio, 2015. "A comparison of Expected Shortfall estimation models," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 14-47.
  57. Daouia, Abdelaati & Padoan, Simone A. & Stupfler, Gilles, 2024. "Extreme expectile estimation for short-tailed data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(2).
  58. Tu, Yundong & Wang, Siwei, 2020. "Jackknife model averaging for expectile regressions in increasing dimension," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  59. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-058 is not listed on IDEAS
  60. Zhijie Xiao & Roger Koenker, 2009. "Conditional Quantile Estimation for GARCH Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 725, Boston College Department of Economics.
  61. Fracasso, Laís Martins & Müller, Fernanda Maria & Ramos, Henrique Pinto & Righi, Marcelo Brutti, 2023. "Is there a risk premium? Evidence from thirteen measures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 182-199.
  62. Tae-Hwy Lee & Aman Ullah & He Wang, 2019. "The Second-Order Asymptotic Properties of Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 81(1), pages 201-233, September.
  63. Xu, Xiu & Mihoci, Andrija & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "lCARE - localizing conditional autoregressive expectiles," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 198-220.
  64. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2010-002 is not listed on IDEAS
  65. Chao, Shih-Kang & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Huang, Chen, 2016. "Multivariate factorisable sparse asymmetric least squares regression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-058, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  66. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Ling, Chengxiu, 2018. "How Sensitive are Tail-related Risk Measures in a Contamination Neighbourhood?," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-010, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  67. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2021. "Systemic-systematic risk in financial system: A dynamic ranking based on expectiles," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 330-365.
  68. Yao, Yinhong & Li, Jianping & Sun, Xiaolei, 2021. "Measuring the risk of Chinese Fintech industry: evidence from the stock index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  69. Ren, Rui & Lu, Meng-Jou & Li, Yingxing & Härdle, Wolfgang, 2021. "Financial Risk Meter based on expectiles," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2021-008, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  70. Marcel, Bräutigam & Marie, Kratz, 2018. "On the Dependence between Quantiles and Dispersion Estimators," ESSEC Working Papers WP1807, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
  71. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2012-006 is not listed on IDEAS
  72. Stupfler, Gilles & Yang, Fan, 2018. "Analyzing And Predicting Cat Bond Premiums: A Financial Loss Premium Principle And Extreme Value Modeling," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(1), pages 375-411, January.
  73. Marcel Brautigam & Marie Kratz, 2020. "The Impact of the Choice of Risk and Dispersion Measure on Procyclicality," Papers 2001.00529, arXiv.org.
  74. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-052 is not listed on IDEAS
  75. Gao, Suhao & Yu, Zhen, 2023. "Parametric expectile regression and its application for premium calculation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 242-256.
  76. Duran, Esra Akdeniz & Guo, Mengmeng & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2010. "A confidence corridor for expectile functions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-004, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  77. Bingzhen Geng & Yang Liu & Yimiao Zhao, 2024. "Value-at-Risk- and Expectile-based Systemic Risk Measures and Second-order Asymptotics: With Applications to Diversification," Papers 2404.18029, arXiv.org.
  78. Tran, Ngoc Mai & Osipenko, Maria & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2014. "Principal component analysis in an asymmetric norm," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-001, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  79. Ying Fu & Kien Ng & Boray Huang & Huei Huang, 2015. "Portfolio optimization with transaction costs: a two-period mean-variance model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 233(1), pages 135-156, October.
  80. Lina Liao & Cheolwoo Park & Hosik Choi, 2019. "Penalized expectile regression: an alternative to penalized quantile regression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(2), pages 409-438, April.
  81. Abdelaati Daouia & Simone A. Padoan & Gilles Stupfler, 2024. "Extreme expectile estimation for short-tailed data," Post-Print hal-04672516, HAL.
  82. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Dingshi Tian, 2018. "Assessing Tail Risk Using Expectile Regressions with Partially Varying Coefficients," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201804, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2018.
  83. Ren, Rui & Lu, Meng-Jou & Li, Yingxing & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2022. "Financial Risk Meter FRM based on Expectiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  84. Mengmeng Guo & Wolfgang Härdle, 2012. "Simultaneous confidence bands for expectile functions," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(4), pages 517-541, October.
  85. repec:dau:papers:123456789/15232 is not listed on IDEAS
  86. Marcel Bräutigam & Marie Kratz, 2018. "On the Dependence between Quantiles and Dispersion Estimators," Working Papers hal-02296832, HAL.
  87. Johanna F. Ziegel, 2013. "Coherence and elicitability," Papers 1303.1690, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2014.
  88. James Ming Chen, 2018. "On Exactitude in Financial Regulation: Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and Expectiles," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, June.
  89. Daouia, Abdelaati & Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles, 2021. "ExpectHill estimation, extreme risk and heavy tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 97-117.
  90. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2023. "Measuring Systemic Risk Using Multivariate Quantile-Located ES Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-72.
  91. Yen, Yu-Min & Yen, Tso-Jung, 2021. "Testing forecast accuracy of expectiles and quantiles with the extremal consistent loss functions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 733-758.
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