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News and narratives in financial systems: Exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment
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- Fang, Yi & Wang, Qi & Wang, Yanru & Yuan, Yan, 2024. "Media sentiment, deposit stability and bank systemic risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1150-1172.
- Nyman, Rickard & Kapadia, Sujit & Tuckett, David, 2021.
"News and narratives in financial systems: Exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
- Nyman, Rickard & Kapadia, Sujit & Tuckett, David & Gregory, David & Ormerod, Paul & Smith, Robert, 2018. "News and narratives in financial systems: exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment," Bank of England working papers 704, Bank of England.
- Aguilar, Pablo & Ghirelli, Corinna & Pacce, Matías & Urtasun, Alberto, 2021.
"Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
- Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Matías Pacce & Alberto Urtasun, 2020. "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Working Papers 2027, Banco de España.
- Matteo Accornero & Mirko Moscatelli, 2018. "Listening to the buzz: social media sentiment and retail depositors' trust," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1165, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Shapiro, Adam Hale & Sudhof, Moritz & Wilson, Daniel J., 2022.
"Measuring news sentiment,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 228(2), pages 221-243.
- Adam Hale Shapiro & Moritz Sudhof & Daniel J. Wilson, 2020. "Measuring News Sentiment," Working Paper Series 2017-1, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Corinna Ghirelli & Juan Peñalosa & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Some implications of new data sources for economic analysis and official statistics," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue JUN.
- Fernandez, Raul & Palma Guizar, Brenda & Rho, Caterina, 2021.
"A sentiment-based risk indicator for the Mexican financial sector,"
Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(3).
- Rho Caterina & Fernández Raúl & Palma Brenda, 2021. "A Sentiment-based Risk Indicator for the Mexican Financial Sector," Working Papers 2021-04, Banco de México.
- Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro & Mohammed Mohsin, 2021. "Time-Varying Dictionary and the Predictive Power of FED Minutes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 149-181, January.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Raquel Caldeira, 2024. "Should Central Banks Care About Text Mining? A Literature Review," Working papers 950, Banque de France.
- Fraccaroli, Nicolò & Giovannini, Alessandro & Jamet, Jean-François & Persson, Eric, 2022. "Ideology and monetary policy. The role of political parties’ stances in the European Central Bank’s parliamentary hearings," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2020.
"Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model,"
Papers
2011.00938, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Kohns, David, 2022. "Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 538, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Shen, Shulin & Xia, Le & Shuai, Yulin & Gao, Da, 2022. "Measuring news media sentiment using big data for Chinese stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Ching Hsu & Tina Yu & Shu-Heng Chen, 2021. "Narrative economics using textual analysis of newspaper data: new insights into the U.S. Silver Purchase Act and Chinese price level in 1928–1936," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 761-785, November.
- Simionescu, Mihaela, 2022. "Econometrics of sentiments- sentometrics and machine learning: The improvement of inflation predictions in Romania using sentiment analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
- Erik Andres-Escayola & Corinna Ghirelli & Luis Molina & Javier J. Pérez & Elena Vidal, 2022. "Using newspapers for textual indicators: which and how many?," Working Papers 2235, Banco de España.
- Goodhart, Charles & Kabiri, Ali, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Bank Profitability in a Low Interest Rate Environment: A Follow-up and a Rejoinder," CEPR Discussion Papers 13752, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Aren Selim & Hamamci Hatice Nayman, 2023. "Mediating Effect of Pleasure-Seeking and Loss Aversion in the Relationship Between Phantasy and Financial Risk Tolerance and the Moderating Role of Confidence," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(2), pages 24-44, December.
- Young Joon Lee & Soohyon Kim & Ki Young Park, 2019. "Deciphering Monetary Policy Board Minutes with Text Mining: The Case of South Korea," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 35, pages 471-511.
- Fraccaroli, Nicolò & Giovannini, Alessandro & Jamet, Jean-Francois & Persson, Eric, 2022. "Ideology and monetary policy: the role of political parties’ stances in the ECB’s parliamentary hearings," Working Paper Series 2655, European Central Bank.
- Erik Andres-Escayola & Corinna Ghirelli & Luis Molina & Javier J. Perez & Elena Vidal, 2024. "Using Newspapers for Textual Indicators: Guidance Based on Spanish- and Portuguese-Speaking Countries," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 643-692, August.
- Pablo Pastory y Camarasa & Martien Lamers, 2023. "Do Actions Follow Words? How bank sentiment predicts credit growth," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 23/1073, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Marcus Buckmann & Andy Haldane & Anne-Caroline Hüser, 2021.
"Comparing minds and machines: implications for financial stability,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 479-508.
- Buckmann, Marcus & Haldane, Andy & Hüser, Anne-Caroline, 2021. "Comparing minds and machines: implications for financial stability," Bank of England working papers 937, Bank of England.
- Chen, Siyuan & Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Teng, Fei & McLellan, Benjamin C., 2022. "A critical review on deployment planning and risk analysis of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) toward carbon neutrality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
- G.M. Gallo & C.Ongari & S. Borgioli, 2024.
"Financial Returns, Sentiment and Market Volatility: a Dynamic Assessment,"
Working Paper CRENoS
202415, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- Borgioli, Stefano & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Ongari, Chiara, 2024. "Financial returns, sentiment and market volatility. A dynamic assessment," Working Paper Series 2999, European Central Bank.
- Hansson, Magnus, 2021. "Evolution of topics in central bank speech communication," Working Papers in Economics 811, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- Kwon, Yujin & Park, Sung Y., 2023. "Modeling an early warning system for household debt risk in Korea: A simple deep learning approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Le, Richard & Ku, Hyejin, 2022. "Reducing systemic risk in a multi-layer network using reinforcement learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 605(C).
- Łukasz Baszczak, 2023. "Ekonomia narracji – początki nowego nurtu," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 66-81.
- Amer Demirovic & Ali Kabiri & David Tuckett & Rickard Nyman, 2020. "A common risk factor and the correlation between equity and corporate bond returns," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 119-134, March.
- Yu Zhao & Huaming Du & Qing Li & Fuzhen Zhuang & Ji Liu & Gang Kou, 2022. "A Comprehensive Survey on Enterprise Financial Risk Analysis from Big Data Perspective," Papers 2211.14997, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Magnus Hansson, 2021. "Evolution of topics in central bank speech communication," Papers 2109.10058, arXiv.org.
- Saiz, Lorena & Ashwin, Julian & Kalamara, Eleni, 2021. "Nowcasting euro area GDP with news sentiment: a tale of two crises," Working Paper Series 2616, European Central Bank.
- Elena Esposito & Tiziano Rotesi & Alessandro Saia & Mathias Thoenig, 2023.
"Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(6), pages 1461-1504, June.
- Esposito, Elena & Esposito, Elena & Saia, Alessandro & Thoenig, Mathias, 2021. "Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War," CEPR Discussion Papers 15938, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Citterio, Alberto, 2024. "Bank failure prediction models: Review and outlook," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Sonja Tilly & Giacomo Livan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasting with statistically validated knowledge graphs," Papers 2104.10457, arXiv.org.
- Yuting Chen & Don Bredin & Valerio Potì & Roman Matkovskyy, 2022.
"COVID risk narratives: a computational linguistic approach to the econometric identification of narrative risk during a pandemic,"
Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 17-61, March.
- Yuting Chen & Don Bredin & Valerio Potì & Roman Matkovskyy, 2022. "COVID risk narratives: a computational linguistic approach to the econometric identification of narrative risk during a pandemic," Post-Print hal-04021587, HAL.
- Chen, Jianyu & Zhang, Jianshun, 2023. "Crude oil price shocks, volatility spillovers, and global systemic financial risk transmission mechanisms: Evidence from the stock and foreign exchange markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
- Youngjoon Lee & Soohyon Kim & Ki Young Park, 2018. "Deciphering Monetary Policy Committee Minutes with Text Mining Approach: A Case of South Korea," Working papers 2018rwp-132, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Mark Fenton‐O'Creevy & David Tuckett, 2022. "Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(3-4), September.
- Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2023. "Sentiment-based indicators of real estate market stress and systemic risk: international evidence," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 355-382, September.
- Svetlana Drobyazko & Anna Barwinska-Malajowicz & Boguslaw Slusarczyk & Olga Chubukova & Taliat Bielialov, 2020. "Risk Management in the System of Financial Stability of the Service Enterprise," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-15, November.
- Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2023. "Analysing financial stability reports as crisis predictors with the use of text-mining," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Alistair Macaulay & Wenting Song, 2022.
"Narrative-Driven Fluctuations in Sentiment: Evidence Linking Traditional and Social Media,"
Economics Series Working Papers
973, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Alistair Macaulay & Wenting Song, 2023. "Narrative-Driven Fluctuations in Sentiment: Evidence Linking Traditional and Social Media," Staff Working Papers 23-23, Bank of Canada.
- Macaulay, Alistair & Song, Wenting, 2022. "Narrative-Driven Fluctuations in Sentiment: Evidence Linking Traditional and Social Media," MPRA Paper 113620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Forbes, William, 2024. "Unconscious thoughts as a spur and halt on good financial decisioning making," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Eleni Kalamara & Arthur Turrell & Chris Redl & George Kapetanios & Sujit Kapadia, 2022.
"Making text count: Economic forecasting using newspaper text,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 896-919, August.
- Kalamara, Eleni & Turrell, Arthur & Redl, Chris & Kapetanios, George & Kapadia, Sujit, 2020. "Making text count: economic forecasting using newspaper text," Bank of England working papers 865, Bank of England.
- Martina Dattilo & Fabio Padovano, 2023. "Evaluating the quality of UNESCO World Heritage List: a comparison with the Baedeker's guidebooks," Post-Print hal-04388046, HAL.
- Dooruj Rambaccussing & Craig Menzies & Andrzej Kwiatkowski, 2022. "Look who’s Talking: Individual Committee members’ impact on inflation expectations," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 305, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
- Mariña Martínez-Malvar & Laura Baselga-Pascual, 2020. "Bank Risk Determinants in Latin America," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-20, September.
- Mariano González-Sánchez & M. Encina Morales de Vega, 2021. "Influence of Bloomberg’s Investor Sentiment Index: Evidence from European Union Financial Sector," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-21, February.
- Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.
- Fernando Delbianco & Andrés Fioriti & Fernando Tohmé & Federico Contiggiani, 2022. "A Tale of two narratives: assessing the sociological hypothesis of the appeal of the US dollar in Argentina," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3519-3537, October.
- Goodhart, C. A. E. & Kabiri, Ali, 2019. "Monetary policy and bank profitability in a low interest rate environment: a follow-up and a rejoinder," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100968, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Anesti, Nikoleta & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George, 2021. "Forecasting UK GDP growth with large survey panels," Bank of England working papers 923, Bank of England.
- Lange, Kai-Robin & Reccius, Matthias & Schmidt, Tobias & Müller, Henrik & Roos, Michael W. M. & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Towards extracting collective economic narratives from texts," Ruhr Economic Papers 963, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Johnson, Samuel G. B., 2019. "Toward a cognitive science of markets: Economic agents as sense-makers," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Aromi, J. Daniel, 2020. "Linking words in economic discourse: Implications for macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1517-1530.
- Maureen Cowhey & Seung Jung Lee & Thomas Popeck Spiller & Cindy M. Vojtech, 2022. "Sentiment in Bank Examination Reports and Bank Outcomes," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-077, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Yijun Liu & Xiaokun Jin & Yunrui Zhang, 2024. "Identifying risks in temporal supernetworks: an IO-SuperPageRank algorithm," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Ashwin,Julian & Rao,Vijayendra & Biradavolu,Monica Rao & Chhabra,Aditya & Haque,Arshia & Khan,Afsana Iffat & Krishnan,Nandini, 2022. "A Method to Scale-Up Interpretative Qualitative Analysis, with an Application toAspirations in Cox’s Bazaar, Bangladesh," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10046, The World Bank.
- Wang, Gang-Jin & Chen, Yan & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi, 2024. "Systemic risk prediction using machine learning: Does network connectedness help prediction?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).