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Analyzing Zero Returns to Education in Germany: Heterogeneous Effects and Skill Formation

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  • Kamhöfer, Daniel
  • Schmitz, Hendrik

Abstract

We analyze the causal effect of education on old-age cognitive abilities using German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data and regional variation in mandatory years of schooling and the supply of schools. Our outcome variable is the score an individual reaches in an ultra-short intelligence test. We explain this score, using instrumented education. Instrumental variable estimation is necessary since on the one hand, schooling is highly affected by cognitive skills (reverse causality), and, on the other hand, both are influenced by third factors like income and health (possibly omitted variable bias). Using variations in education policy in the German federal states we are able to instrument education for three groups of students which cover all levels of educational achievement. Unlike previous studies this allows us to estimate three different local average treatment effects. The estimated effects range from 14% to 53% of a standard deviation. We find the strongest effect for students with intermediate education.

Suggested Citation

  • Kamhöfer, Daniel & Schmitz, Hendrik, 2013. "Analyzing Zero Returns to Education in Germany: Heterogeneous Effects and Skill Formation," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79910, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc13:79910
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation

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