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A Competing Risks Analysis of the Determinants of Low Completion Rates in the Canadian Apprenticeship System

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  • Dostie, Benoit

Abstract

In this paper, we estimate the determinants of low (and slow) completion rates with a competing risk duration model using data from the National Apprenticeship Survey (NAS) 2007. This allows us to distinguish the impact age and duration dependence on the probability of dropping out. We find older apprentices are less likely to transit toward completion after age 28. We also find duration dependence to be positive, meaning transition probabilities to completion increase with apprenticeship duration. However, the positive effect dies out quickly after 10 years of apprenticeship.

Suggested Citation

  • Dostie, Benoit, 2010. "A Competing Risks Analysis of the Determinants of Low Completion Rates in the Canadian Apprenticeship System," CLSSRN working papers clsrn_admin-2010-29, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 21 Oct 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:ubc:clssrn:clsrn_admin-2010-29
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    File URL: http://www.clsrn.econ.ubc.ca/workingpapers/CLSRN%20Working%20Paper%20no.%2067%20-%20Dostie.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David J. Farber & A. Harvey Belitsky & Jack Barbash, 1967. "Apprenticeship in the United States: Labor Market Forces and Social Policy," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 2(1), pages 70-96.
    2. Cihan Bilginsoy, 2005. "Delivering Skills: Apprenticeship Program Sponsorship and Transition from Training," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2005_01, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    3. Donata Bessey & Uschi Backes-Gellner, 2007. "Premature Apprenticeship Terminations: An Economic Analysis," Economics of Education Working Paper Series 0002, University of Zurich, Department of Business Administration (IBW).
    4. Brunello, Giorgio, 2009. "The Effect of Economic Downturns on Apprenticeships and Initial Workplace Training: A Review of the Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 4326, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Howard Gospel, 1994. "The Survival of Apprenticeship Training: A British, American, Australian Comparison," British Journal of Industrial Relations, London School of Economics, vol. 32(4), pages 505-522, December.
    6. Cihan Bilginsoy, 2003. "The Hazards of Training: Attrition and Retention in Construction Industry Apprenticeship Programs," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 57(1), pages 54-67, October.
    7. Elbaum, Bernard, 1989. "Why Apprenticeship Persisted in Britain But Not in the United States," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(2), pages 337-349, June.
    8. Donata Bessey & Uschi Backes-Gellner, 2008. "Dropping out and revising educational decisions: Evidence from vocational education," Economics of Education Working Paper Series 0040, University of Zurich, Department of Business Administration (IBW).
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    Cited by:

    1. Katja Seidel, 2016. "Job Characteristics and their Effect on the Intention to Quit Apprenticeship," Working Paper Series in Economics 362, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
    2. Katja Seidel, 2016. "Apprenticeship: The Intention to Quit and the Role of Secondary Jobs in It," Working Paper Series in Economics 361, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Apprenticeship training; human capital; competing risks model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education

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