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Pricing currency risk in the stock market: Empirical evidence from Finland and Sweden 1970-2009

Author

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  • Jan Antell

    (Hanken School of Economics, Department of Finance and Statistics)

  • Mika Vaihekoski

    (Turku School of Economics (TSE) and Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT))

Abstract

We investigate the role of currency risk on stock markets in two interlinked Nordic countries exhibiting a gradual move from fixed to floating exchange rates. We apply the Ding and Engle (2001) covariance stationary specification in a multivariate GARCH-M setup to test a conditional international asset pricing model. Using a sample period from 1970 to 2009, we find that the currency risk is priced in both stock markets as well as the price to be lower after the flotation of the currencies. We also find the cross-country exchange rate shock from Finland to affect the price of currency risk in Sweden, but not vice versa. Finally, we discuss some of the potential issues in applying multivariate GARCH-M specifications in tests of asset pricing models.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Antell & Mika Vaihekoski, 2011. "Pricing currency risk in the stock market: Empirical evidence from Finland and Sweden 1970-2009," Discussion Papers 63, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:tkk:dpaper:dp63
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    Cited by:

    1. Du, Ding & Hu, Ou, 2012. "Foreign exchange volatility and stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 1202-1216.
    2. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Anwar, Sajid, 2014. "Pricing of the currency risk in the Canadian equity market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 173-194.
    3. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Anwar, Sajid, 2014. "Time-varying exchange rate exposure and exchange rate risk pricing in the Canadian Equity Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 451-463.
    4. Walid Chkili, 2012. "Is currency risk priced for emerging stock markets?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2267-2280.
    5. Karolyi, G. Andrew & Wu, Ying, 2022. "Understanding the pricing of currency risk in global equity markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Du, Ding, 2014. "Persistent exchange-rate movements and stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 36-53.
    7. Benjamin Mudiangombe Mudiangombe & John Weirstrass Muteba Mwamba, 2022. "Dynamic Asymmetric Effect of Currency Risk Pricing of Exchange Rate on Equity Markets: A Regime-Switching Based C-Vine Copulas Method," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-30, August.
    8. Jairo Andrés Rendón, 2020. "Foreign exchange risk in stock returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 430-443, July.
    9. Lamia SEBAI & siwar ELLOUZ, 2022. "Variation de risque mondial, local et de change sur les marches boursiers," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 13(2), pages 2-13, December.
    10. Ahmad, Rubi & Rhee, S. Ghon & Wong, Yuen Meng, 2012. "Foreign exchange market efficiency under recent crises: Asia-Pacific focus," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1574-1592.
    11. Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2014. "Conditional pricing of currency risk in Africa's equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 133-155.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    conditional; international asset pricing model; currency risk; devaluation; multivariate GARCH-M; Finland; Sweden;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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