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Conditional Pricing of Currency Risk in Africa's Equity Market

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  • Kodongo, Odongo
  • Ojah, Kalu

Abstract

In this paper, we sought to establish whether Africa's volatile currencies drive equity risk premium. We use the stochastic discount factor (SDF) framework to estimate various conditional specifications of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model through generalized method of moments technique. Our results show strong evidence of conditional, time-varying currency risk premium in equity returns. Currency risk is also perceived by international investors as important in informing the equities pricing kernel. We also find evidence that international investors are worried about Africa's small size equity markets and build anticipated low trading into their pricing calculus.

Suggested Citation

  • Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2018. "Conditional Pricing of Currency Risk in Africa's Equity Market," Working Papers 5861512d-a0d7-46f8-8fb8-b, African Economic Research Consortium.
    • Handle: RePEc:aer:wpaper:5861512d-a0d7-46f8-8fb8-b59fb1fc161c
    Note: African Economic Research Consortium
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    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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