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Developing a labour utilisation composite index for New Zealand

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This Note presents a labour utilisation composite index (LUCI) for the New Zealand economy. We use principal component analysis to extract the underlying movements from a set of seventeen labour market variables. The LUCI fits the New Zealand business cycle well, and is particularly useful in situations when different labour market variables give contradictory signals, or when individual labour market variables have idiosyncratic movements.

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  • Jed Armstrong & Günes Kamber & Özer Karagedikli, 2016. "Developing a labour utilisation composite index for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    • Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbans:2016/04
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    1. Viv B. Hall & C. John McDermott, 2011. "A quarterly post-Second World War real GDP series for New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 273-298, March.
    2. Nadezhda Malysheva & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2009. "Heterogeneity in sectoral employment and the business cycle," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 95(Fall), pages 335-355.
    3. Brian Silverstone & Will Bell, 2011. "Gross Labour Market Flows in New Zealand: Some Questions and Answers," Working Papers in Economics 11/15, University of Waikato.
    4. Hess T. Chung & Bruce Fallick & Christopher J. Nekarda & David Ratner, 2014. "Assessing the Change in Labor Market Conditions," FEDS Notes 2014-05-22, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Craig S. Hakkio & Jonathan L. Willis, 2013. "Assessing labor market conditions: the level of activity and the speed of improvement," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue july18, pages 1-2, July.
    6. Stock J.H. & Watson M.W., 2002. "Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 1167-1179, December.
    7. Nikolay Gospodinov & Serena Ng, 2013. "Commodity Prices, Convenience Yields, and Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(1), pages 206-219, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Hodula & Simona Malovana & Jan Frait, 2019. "Introducing a New Index of Households' Macroeconomic Conditions," Working Papers 2019/10, Czech National Bank.
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