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Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models

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  • Silvia Gonçalves
  • Benoit Perron

Abstract

This paper proposes and theoretically justifies bootstrap methods for regressions where some of the regressors are factors estimated from a large panel of data. We derive our results under the assumption that T/N→c, where 0≤c<∞ (N and T are the cross-sectional and the time series dimensions, respectively), thus allowing for the possibility that the factor estimation error enters the limiting distribution of the OLS estimator as an asymptotic bias term (as was recently discussed by Ludvigson and Ng (2011)). We consider general residual-based bootstrap methods and provide a set of high-level conditions on the bootstrap residuals and on the idiosyncratic errors such that the bootstrap distribution of a rotated OLS estimator is consistent. We subsequently verify these conditions for a simple wild bootstrap residual-based procedure.
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Suggested Citation

  • Silvia Gonçalves & Benoit Perron, 2012. "Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-12, CIRANO.
    • Handle: RePEc:cir:cirwor:2012s-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2002. "Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 191-221, January.
    2. Yohei Yamamoto, 2019. "Bootstrap inference for impulse response functions in factor‐augmented vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 247-267, March.
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    7. Eichengreen, Barry & Mody, Ashoka & Nedeljkovic, Milan & Sarno, Lucio, 2012. "How the Subprime Crisis went global: Evidence from bank credit default swap spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1299-1318.
    8. Shintani, Mototsugu & Guo, Zi-Yi, 2011. "Finite Sample Performance of Principal Components Estimators for Dynamic Factor Models: Asymptotic vs. Bootstrap Approximations," EconStor Preprints 167627, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    factor model; bootstrap; asymptotic bias; Modèle à facteurs; bootstrap; biais asymptotique;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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