The behaviour of betting and currency markets on the night of the EU referendum
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- Auld, Tom & Linton, Oliver, 2019. "The behaviour of betting and currency markets on the night of the EU referendum," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 371-389.
- Tom Auld & Oliver Linton, 2018. "The behaviour of betting and currency markets on the night of the EU referendum," CeMMAP working papers CWP01/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Auld, T. & Linton, O., 2017. "The Behaviour of Betting and Currency Markets on the Night of the EU Referendum," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1750, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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- Akyildirim, Erdinc & Cepni, Oguzhan & Corbet, Shaen & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Forecasting Mid-price Movement of Bitcoin Futures Using Machine Learning," Working Papers 20-2020, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz & Bijak, Jakub & Forster, Jonathan J. & Smith, Peter W.F., 2019. "Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 90-103.
- Auld, T., 2022. "Betting and financial markets are cointegrated on election night," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2263, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Paolo Manasse & Graziano Moramarco & Giulio Trigilia, 2024.
"Exchange rates and political uncertainty: the Brexit case,"
Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(362), pages 621-652, April.
- P. Manasse & G. Moramarco & G. Trigilia, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Political Uncertainty: The Brexit Case," Working Papers wp1141, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Wael Bousselmi & Patrick Sentis & Marc Willinger, 2018.
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- Wael Bousselmi & Patrick Sentis & Marc Willinger, 2020. "Impact of the Brexit vote announcement on long-run market performance," Post-Print hal-03026615, HAL.
- Wael Bousselmi & Patrick Sentis & Marc Willinger, 2018. "Impact of the Brexit vote announcement on long-run market performance," CEE-M Working Papers hal-01954920, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
- Facundo Albornoz & Jake Bradley & Silvia Sonderegger, 2020.
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- Facundo Albornoz & Jake Bradley & Silvia Sonderegger, 2020. "The Brexit referendum and the rise in hate crime; conforming to the new norm," Discussion Papers 2020-06, Nottingham Interdisciplinary Centre for Economic and Political Research (NICEP).
- Facundo Albornoz & Jake Bradley & Silvia Sonderegger, 2022. "Updating the Social Norm: the Case of Hate Crime after the Brexit Referendum," Working Papers 203, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
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More about this item
Keywords
EU referendum; prediction markets; machine learning; efficient markets hypothesis; pairs trading; cointegration; Bayesian methods; exchange rates.;All these keywords.
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-BIG-2018-06-18 (Big Data)
- NEP-CMP-2018-06-18 (Computational Economics)
- NEP-MST-2018-06-18 (Market Microstructure)
- NEP-PAY-2018-06-18 (Payment Systems and Financial Technology)
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