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Economic sentiments and money demand stability in the CEECs

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  • Valentina MERA
  • Monica POP SILAGHI
  • Camélia TURCU

Abstract

This paper aims at building a money demand function that takes account of the heterogeneities of the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) in the context of the European integration. We extend the traditional specification of money demand to capture the effects of a change in agents’ expectations regarding the dynamics of economic activity. The traditional determinants of the demand for money (real GDP, interest rate, inflation rate) are found to be significant and have the expected sign. Above this, we also find that the role of economic sentiments - captured through the European sentiment indicator (ESI) - is significant in explaining the money demand: consumers’ and investors’ gloomy expectations concerning future economic developments trigger an increase in the domestic money demand, due to precautionary reasons. Our results also suggest that a currency substitution effect, against both euro and USD, is present in the CEECs.
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Suggested Citation

  • Valentina MERA & Monica POP SILAGHI & Camélia TURCU, 2019. "Economic sentiments and money demand stability in the CEECs," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2694, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    • Handle: RePEc:leo:wpaper:2694
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    2. del Río, Cristina & Ferrer, Elena & López-Arceiz, Francisco J., 2024. "Analyst optimism and market sentiment: Evidence from European corporate sustainability reporters," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Lebre DE Freitas, Miguel, 2022. "International currency substitution and the demand for money in the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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