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Exchange rate fluctuations and labour market adjustments in Canadian manufacturing industries

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  • Gabriel Bruneau
  • Kevin Moran

Abstract

We estimate the link between exchange rate fluctuations and the labour input of Canadian manufacturing industries. The analysis is based on a dynamic model of labour demand and the econometric strategy employs a panel two-step approach for cointegrating regressions. Our data are drawn from a panel of 20 manufacturing industries from the KLEMS database and cover a long sample period that includes all cycles of appreciation and depreciation of the Canadian dollar over the last 50 years. Our results indicate that exchange rate fluctuations have significant long-term effects on the labour input of Canada's manufacturing industries, especially for trade-oriented industries, but that these long-term impacts materialize very gradually following shocks.

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  • Gabriel Bruneau & Kevin Moran, 2017. "Exchange rate fluctuations and labour market adjustments in Canadian manufacturing industries," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 72-93, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:50:y:2017:i:1:p:72-93
    DOI: 10.1111/caje.12251
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    1. Gabriel Bruneau & Kevin Moran, 2017. "Exchange rate fluctuations and labour market adjustments in Canadian manufacturing industries," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(1), pages 72-93, February.
    2. Mr. Itai Agur, 2016. "Products and Provinces: A Disaggregated Panel Analysis of Canada’s Manufacturing Exports," IMF Working Papers 2016/193, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Stephen Chan & Jeffrey Chu & Saralees Nadarajah & Joerg Osterrieder, 2017. "A Statistical Analysis of Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-23, May.

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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