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Foreign aid,poverty and economic growth in developing countries: A dynamic panel data causality analysis

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  • Mahembe, Edmore
  • Odhiambo, Nicholas M

Abstract

This article examines the causal relationship between foreign aid, poverty and economic growth in 82 developing countries for the period 1981?2013. Taking advantage of the recently developed dynamic panel data estimation techniques, the paper tests for both panel unit roots and cointegration before employing the panel vector error-correction model (VECM) Granger causality test. The main findings are that in the short run, there was evidence of (a) a bidirectional causal relationship between economic growth and poverty; (b) a unidirectional causal relationship from economic growth to foreign aid; and (c) unidirectional causality from poverty to foreign aid. In the long-run, the study found that (a) foreign aid tends to converge to its long-run equilibrium path in response to changes in economic growth and poverty; and (b) both economic growth and poverty jointly Granger cause foreign aid.

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  • Mahembe, Edmore & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2019. "Foreign aid,poverty and economic growth in developing countries: A dynamic panel data causality analysis," Working Papers 25170, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:uza:wpaper:25170
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    4. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Demet Beton Kalmaz, 2020. "Ongoing Debate Between Foreign Aid and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Wavelet Analysis," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 101(5), pages 2032-2051, September.
    5. Rosdiana Sijabat, 2022. "The Association of Economic Growth, Foreign Aid, Foreign Direct Investment and Gross Capital Formation in Indonesia: Evidence from the Toda–Yamamoto Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Simplice A. Asongu & Peter Agyemang-Mintah, 2024. "The relationship between inequality and poverty in developing countries: mitigating role of virtual social network and internet access in schools," Working Papers 24/011, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
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    8. Samson Edo & Oluwatoyin Matthew & Ifeoluwa Ogunrinola, 2022. "Foreign Development Assistance and Macroeconomic Policy Stance: The Underlying Levers of Growth in Emerging SSA Countries," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 20(4 (Winter), pages 353-374.
    9. Yao Hongxing & Olivier Joseph Abban & Alex Dankyi Boadi, 2021. "Foreign aid and economic growth: Do energy consumption, trade openness and CO2 emissions matter? A DSUR heterogeneous evidence from Africa’s trading blocs," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(6), pages 1-25, June.
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