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The LUISA Territorial Reference Scenario 2017: A technical description

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This report describes all the changes done to the LUISA modelling approach in the development of the LUISA Territorial Reference Scenario 2017. Key changes are updates to the base year (now 2012), and updates to the macro and meso-level sectoral projections on demography, economy and agriculture that partially drive the model. Furthermore, the Territorial Reference Scenario 2017 is the first to benefit from a new approach for modelling interactions between land function and land cover, a Net Present Value approach for modelling land-use changes, an overhaul of the way land abandonment is modelled, and the inclusion of a new dynamic sub-model for regional residential density change. Many model inputs have been added or modified. Lastly, new quality checks and many usability changes ensure model consistency and make operating the model easier.

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  • Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Vasco Diogo & Carolina Perpina Castillo & Claudia Baranzelli & Filipe Batista e Silva & Konstantin Rosina & Boyan Kavalov & Carlo Lavalle, 2017. "The LUISA Territorial Reference Scenario 2017: A technical description," JRC Research Reports JRC108163, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc108163
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    1. Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Claudia Baranzelli & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Trends in the EU agricultural land within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC113717, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Agricultural land abandonment in the EU within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC113718, Joint Research Centre.
    3. Carolina Perpiña Castillo & Eloína Coll Aliaga & Carlo Lavalle & José Carlos Martínez Llario, 2020. "An Assessment and Spatial Modelling of Agricultural Land Abandonment in Spain (2015–2030)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, January.
    4. Annamaria Felli & Francesco Zullo, 2024. "Legislative Foundations: Exploring Land Take Laws and Urban Regeneration Policies in Italy and Europe," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-17, May.
    5. Andrius Kučas & Boyan Kavalov & Carlo Lavalle, 2020. "Living Cost Gap in the European Union Member States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-26, October.
    6. Druga, Michal & Minár, Jozef, 2023. "Cost distance and potential accessibility as alternative spatial approximators of human influence in LUCC modelling," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Francesco Dottori & Lorenzo Mentaschi & Alessandra Bianchi & Lorenzo Alfieri & Luc Feyen, 2023. "Cost-effective adaptation strategies to rising river flood risk in Europe," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(2), pages 196-202, February.
    8. Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Ricardo Ribeiro Barranco & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Claudia Baranzelli & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Territorial Fact and Trends in the EU Rural Areas within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC114016, Joint Research Centre.
    9. De Toni, Andrea & Di Martino, Paolo & Dax, Thomas, 2021. "Location matters. Are science and policy arenas facing the Inner Peripheries challenges in EU?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

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