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Agricultural land abandonment in the EU within 2015-2030

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In the period 2015-2030 about 11% (more than 20 million ha) of agricultural land in the EU are under high potential risk of abandonment due to factors, related to biophysical land suitability, farm structure and agricultural viability, population and regional specifics. The risk for around 800 thousand ha (0.4%), located in Southern and Eastern Romania, Southwestern France, Southern and central Spain, Portugal, Cyprus, Poland, Latvia and Estonia, is particularly severe. Economic factor and market instruments (including the EU Common Agricultural Policy) could largely mitigate those potential risks in a number, mostly Eastern countries and regions – Estonia, Latvia, Romania, Cyprus. The incremental abandonment within 2015-2030 is nevertheless projected to reach 4.2 million ha net (about 280 thousand ha per year on average) of agricultural land, bringing the total abandoned land to 5.6 million ha by 2030, the equivalent of 3% of total agricultural land.

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  • Carolina Perpina Castillo & Boyan Kavalov & Vasco Diogo & Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Filipe Batista e Silva & Carlo Lavalle, 2018. "Agricultural land abandonment in the EU within 2015-2030," JRC Research Reports JRC113718, Joint Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc113718
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    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC113718
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    1. Chris Jacobs-Crisioni & Vasco Diogo & Carolina Perpina Castillo & Claudia Baranzelli & Filipe Batista e Silva & Konstantin Rosina & Boyan Kavalov & Carlo Lavalle, 2017. "The LUISA Territorial Reference Scenario 2017: A technical description," JRC Research Reports JRC108163, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Unknown, 2005. "Forward," 2005 Conference: Slovenia in the EU - Challenges for Agriculture, Food Science and Rural Affairs, November 10-11, 2005, Moravske Toplice, Slovenia 183804, Slovenian Association of Agricultural Economists (DAES).
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Dax & Karin Schroll & Ingrid Machold & Martyna Derszniak-Noirjean & Bernd Schuh & Mailin Gaupp-Berghausen, 2021. "Land Abandonment in Mountain Areas of the EU: An Inevitable Side Effect of Farming Modernization and Neglected Threat to Sustainable Land Use," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, June.
    2. Giuseppe Cillis & Dina Statuto & Pietro Picuno, 2021. "Historical GIS as a Tool for Monitoring, Preserving and Planning Forest Landscape: A Case Study in a Mediterranean Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, August.
    3. Shinichi Kitano, 2021. "Estimation of Determinants of Farmland Abandonment and Its Data Problems," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, June.
    4. Ionuț Săvulescu & Bogdan-Andrei Mihai & Marina Vîrghileanu & Constantin Nistor & Bogdan Olariu, 2019. "Mountain Arable Land Abandonment (1968–2018) in the Romanian Carpathians: Environmental Conflicts and Sustainability Issues," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-11, November.
    5. Georgios Mamanis & Michael Vrahnakis & Dimitrios Chouvardas & Stamatia Nasiakou & Vassiliki Kleftoyanni, 2021. "Land Use Demands for the CLUE-S Spatiotemporal Model in an Agroforestry Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, October.
    6. Galioto, Francesco & Musotti, Francesco, 2023. "The governance of agricultural lands in marginal areas: A conceptual framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    7. Jaroslav Demko & Ján Machava, 2022. "Tree Resin, a Macroergic Source of Energy, a Possible Tool to Lower the Rise in Atmospheric CO 2 Levels," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural land; LUISA territorial modelling platform; Knowledge Centre for Territorial Policies;
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