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The 1987-89 Locust Plague in Mali : Evidences of the Heterogeneous Impact of Income Shocks on Education Outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Philippe de Vreyer

    (DIAL - Développement, institutions et analyses de long terme)

  • Nathalie Guilbert

    (DIAL - Développement, institutions et analyses de long terme)

  • Sandrine Mesplé-Somps

    (DIAL - Développement, institutions et analyses de long terme)

Abstract

This paper estimates the long run impact of a large income shock, by exploiting the regional variation of the 1987-1989 locust invasion in Mali. Using exhaustive Population Census data, we construct birth cohorts of individuals and compare those born and living in the years and villages affected by locust plagues with other cohorts. We find a clear and strong impact on educational outcomes of children living in rural areas but no impact at all on children living in urban areas. School enrollment of children born or aged less than seven years old at the time of shock is found to be impacted. Children born in 1988-1989, the main years of invasion, are those whose school enrollment has been the most affected by the plague. The negative impact on school enrollment of boys is higher than for girls, but on the other hand, girls attending school and living in rural areas have a lower level of school attainment than boys. Controlling for the potentially selective migration behavior of individuals, differences in educational amenities do not dampen our results. Our results are also robust to different variations of the cut-off cohort.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe de Vreyer & Nathalie Guilbert & Sandrine Mesplé-Somps, 2012. "The 1987-89 Locust Plague in Mali : Evidences of the Heterogeneous Impact of Income Shocks on Education Outcomes," Working Papers hal-00961739, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00961739
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://pse.hal.science/hal-00961739
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    Cited by:

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    3. Valeria Groppo & Kati Kraehnert, 2017. "The impact of extreme weather events on education," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 433-472, April.
    4. Somdeep Chatterjee, 2022. "How Hard Did That Sting? Estimating the Economic Costs of Locust Attacks on Agricultural Production†," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(1), pages 434-459, March.
    5. Nadia Benali (a) and Rochdi Feki (b), 2020. "The Relationship between Natural Disasters, Education, ICT and Economic Growth:Empirical Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 45(4), pages 93-111, December.
    6. Esther Delesalle, 2019. "Good Or Bad Timing? The Effects Of Productivity Shocks On Education And On Schooling Performance," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2019021, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    7. Wang, Jun & Yang, Juan & Li, Bo, 2017. "Pain of disasters: The educational cost of exogenous shocks evidence from Tangshan Earthquake in 1976," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 27-49.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Education; Shocks; Mali; Locust;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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