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The Role of Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets: The Integration of Large-Share Wind Power Generation in Denmark

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  • Fatih Karanfil

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Yuanjing Li

Abstract

This paper suggests an innovative idea to examine the functionality of an intraday electricity market by testing causality among its fundamental components. Using Danish and Nordic data, it investigates the main drivers of the price difference between the intraday and day-ahead markets, and causality between wind forecast errors and their counterparts. Our results show that the wind and conventional generation forecast errors significantly cause the intraday price to differ from the day-ahead price, and that the relative intraday price decreases with the unexpected amount of wind generation. Cross-border electricity exchanges are found to be important to handle wind forecast errors. Additionally, some zonal differences with respect to both causality and impulse responses are detected. This paper provides the first evidence on the persuasive functioning of the intraday market in the case of Denmark, whereby intermittent production deviations are effectively reduced, and wind forecast errors are jointly handled through the responses from demand, conventional generation, and intraday international electricity trade.
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  • Fatih Karanfil & Yuanjing Li, 2017. "The Role of Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets: The Integration of Large-Share Wind Power Generation in Denmark," Post-Print hal-01589279, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01589279
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    Cited by:

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    2. Spodniak, Petr & Ollikka, Kimmo & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2019. "The Relevance of Wholesale Electricity Market Places: The Nordic Case," Working Papers 126, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Thomas Kuppelwieser & David Wozabal, 2023. "Intraday power trading: toward an arms race in weather forecasting?," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 45(1), pages 57-83, March.
    4. Spodniak, Petr & Ollikka, Kimmo & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2021. "The impact of wind power and electricity demand on the relevance of different short-term electricity markets: The Nordic case," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    5. Heeseung Moon & Dongsu Lee & Jeongmin Han & Yongtae Yoon & Seungwan Kim, 2021. "Impact of Imbalance Pricing on Variable Renewable Energies with Different Prediction Accuracies: A Korean Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-19, July.
    6. Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Rangel, Lina Escobar & Batlle, Carlos, 2020. "Reforming the colombian electricity market for an efficient integration of renewables: A proposal," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    7. Holmberg, Pär & Tangerås, Thomas & Ahlqvist, Victor, 2018. "Central- versus Self-Dispatch in Electricity Markets," Working Paper Series 1257, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 27 Mar 2019.
    8. Martin de Lagarde, Cyril & Lantz, Frédéric, 2018. "How renewable production depresses electricity prices: Evidence from the German market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 263-277.
    9. Cyril Martin de Lagarde & Frédéric Lantz, 2017. "Impact of Variable Renewable Production on Electriciy Prices in Germany : A Markov Switching Model," Working Papers hal-03187020, HAL.
    10. Christopher Koch & Philipp Maskos, 2020. "Passive Balancing Through Intraday Trading: Whether Interactions Between Short-term Trading and Balancing Stabilize Germany s Electricity System," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 101-112.
    11. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    12. Hohl, Cody & Lo Prete, Chiara & Radhakrishnan, Ashish & Webster, Mort, 2023. "Intraday markets, wind integration and uplift payments in a regional U.S. power system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    13. Ioannis Boukas & Damien Ernst & Thibaut Th'eate & Adrien Bolland & Alexandre Huynen & Martin Buchwald & Christelle Wynants & Bertrand Corn'elusse, 2020. "A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Continuous Intraday Market Bidding," Papers 2004.05940, arXiv.org.
    14. Knaut, Andreas & Paschmann, Martin, 2017. "Decoding Restricted Participation in Sequential Electricity Markets," EWI Working Papers 2017-5, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI), revised 31 Aug 2017.
    15. Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2022. "Short-term risk management of electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    16. Hu, Xiao & Jaraitė, Jūratė & Kažukauskas, Andrius, 2021. "The effects of wind power on electricity markets: A case study of the Swedish intraday market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    17. Olivier F'eron & Peter Tankov & Laura Tinsi, 2020. "Price formation and optimal trading in intraday electricity markets," Papers 2009.04786, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
    18. Juraj Čurpek, 2019. "Time Evolution of Hurst Exponent: Czech Wholesale Electricity Market Study," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 25-44.
    19. Russo, Marianna & Bertsch, Valentin, 2020. "A looming revolution: Implications of self-generation for the risk exposure of retailers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    20. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    21. Rainer Baule & Michael Naumann, 2022. "Flexible Short-Term Electricity Certificates—An Analysis of Trading Strategies on the Continuous Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-28, August.

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